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Liverpool crestLiverpool
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Monaco crestMonaco

Friendlies Clubs | Sun 09 Aug, 14:30

Liverpool v Monaco Stats

Data last updated: Tue 08 Sep 2026, 20:39 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Liverpool face Monaco in Friendlies Clubs on Sun 09 Aug, 14:30. For Monaco, it is another important examination before their Conference League playoff campaign begins. A 3-1 scoreline fits Liverpool’s solid home record and attacking firepower, combined with Monaco’s tendency to concede away and maintain scoring form.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Both Teams To Score YES

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 67%, above the 27% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 1.5, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 67%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • Liverpool’s pre-season shows strong attacking output but defensive fragility, conceding six goals in three friendlies.
  • Monaco have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 0 for Liverpool.
Price warning

Both Teams To Score YES is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 67% while the model sits nearer 27% (-39.7 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Under 2.5 Goals shows a +15 pts edge at 2.62.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 27% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 67% implied by the current price. Monaco have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 0 for Liverpool. Liverpool’s pre-season shows strong attacking output but defensive fragility, conceding six goals in three friendlies.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 67% implied
Negative
Monaco have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points.Visible data support
Positive
Liverpool’s pre-season shows strong attacking output but defensive fragility.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Liverpool Win is the preferred angle because liverpool’s pre-season shows strong attacking output but defensive fragility, conceding six goals in three friendlies. Monaco have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 0 for Liverpool. Liverpool have lost only two of their last 18 matches at Anfield, but six ended as draws.

Main risk

Liverpool have lost only two of their last 18 matches at Anfield, but six ended as draws.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Liverpool’s pre-season shows strong attacking output but defensive fragility, conceding six goals in three friendlies.

Monaco have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 0 for Liverpool.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickLiverpool to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 67% · edge -39.7 pts
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 67%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Liverpool Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    1.38
    Check odds @ 1.38
    Liverpool to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Liverpool-
    Avg goals scored
    Monaco2
    Liverpool-
    Avg goals conceded
    Monaco1.5
    Liverpool-
    BTTS rate
    Monaco50%
    Liverpool-
    Over 2.5 goals
    Monaco50%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 67%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 68%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Liverpool

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Liverpool yet.

    Monaco

    WDLW
    Last 52W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 1D 1L
    06 Aug 2026H Getafe1-0
    31 Jul 2026H Cercle Brugge2-2
    25 Jul 2026A Sporting CP0-2
    18 Jul 2026H Saint-Priest5-2
    Market aligned with main pickLiverpool to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 67% · edge -39.7 pts
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Liverpool Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    1.38
    Check odds @ 1.38
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Liverpool wins
    0Draws
    0Monaco wins
    Market aligned with main pickLiverpool to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 67% · edge -39.7 pts
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 67%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Liverpool to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    Friendlies Clubs

    Liverpool2
    Played
    Monaco6
    Liverpool1
    Avg goals for
    Monaco1.8
    Liverpool1.5
    Avg goals against
    Monaco1.7
    Liverpool1
    Clean sheets
    Monaco1
    Market aligned with main pickLiverpool to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 67% · edge -39.7 pts
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Liverpool Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    1.38
    Check odds @ 1.38
    Season data supports Liverpool to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -Liverpool Over 2.5
    50%Monaco Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    Liverpool’s pre-season shows strong attacking output but defensive fragility, conceding six goals in three friendlies.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.