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Friendlies Clubs | Sun 09 Aug, 14:30

Liverpool v Monaco Stats

Data last updated: Sat 08 Aug 2026, 08:34 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Liverpool faces Monaco in a pre-season friendly that offers both teams a chance to test their squads ahead of the competitive season. Monaco arrives with positive momentum, having secured points recently and showing defensive solidity. Liverpool's data is limited, reflecting early preparation stages and squad rotation. The match will likely reveal tactical adjustments and player fitness levels, with Monaco aiming to capitalize on their current form and Liverpool seeking to build cohesion under fresh conditions. The friendly nature adds unpredictability, but Monaco's recent performances suggest they can challenge effectively.

BT4Y best bet

Monaco to Win

  • Monaco holds a 70% to win, indicating strong in their form.
  • Recent form favors Monaco with 7 points and a positive goal difference in friendlies.
  • Monaco's over 2.5 goals rate stands at 50%, matching their BTTS rate, showing balanced attacking and defensive play.
  • Liverpool data is limited, increasing uncertainty but Monaco's consistent stats provide a clearer picture.
  • No head-to-head history adds to the unpredictability, emphasizing current form and squad readiness.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Monaco to win with a 70% chance, driven by their recent unbeaten run and positive goal difference in friendlies. Monaco's balanced attack and defense, reflected in their 50% over 2.5 goals and BTTS rates, suggest they can control the game tempo and capitalize on Liverpool's limited match readiness. The thinner Liverpool data sample highlights the value of Monaco's consistent form and tactical stability, making this pick a solid choice despite the friendly's inherent unpredictability.

Model Chance70%
Strong positive
Recent FormMonaco unbeaten with 7 points
Strong positive
Goal Trends50% Over 2.5 Goals rate
Positive
Data QualityLimited Liverpool data
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Monaco's current form and tactical cohesion make them the stronger side in this friendly. Their positive recent results and balanced attack-defense profile provide a clear edge over Liverpool, who are still integrating players and strategies. Monaco's ability to maintain pressure and exploit openings should see them secure the win in this preparatory fixture.

Main risk

Liverpool have lost only two of their last 18 matches at Anfield, but six ended as draws.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Monaco's steady form and tactical discipline stand out in this friendly, giving them a clear advantage over a Liverpool side still finding rhythm and consistency.”

Key Data Signals

Monaco to Win evidence

Monaco holds a 70% to win, indicating strong in their form.

Recent form favors Monaco with 7 points and a positive goal difference in friendlies.

Monaco's over 2.5 goals rate stands at 50%, matching their BTTS rate, showing balanced attacking and defensive play.

Liverpool data is limited, increasing uncertainty but Monaco's consistent stats provide a clearer picture.

What To Watch In The Data

Monaco to Win notes

  • Over the last five friendlies, Monaco has maintained a 50% rate for matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating a propensity for open play and goal opportunities.
  • This trend suggests a lively match tempo with chances for both teams, though Monaco's balanced defense may limit Liverpool's scoring chances in this encounter.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickMonaco to WinBet365 guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
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BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Monaco Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
The for Monaco to win reflect a strong model at 70%, suggesting good value given their recent unbeaten streak and positive goal difference. While the friendly nature typically softens betting edges, Monaco's consistent form and Liverpool's limited data sample justify this price as a watch-worthy opportunity rather than a speculative punt.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Liverpool-
Avg goals scored
Monaco2
Liverpool-
Avg goals conceded
Monaco1.5
Liverpool-
BTTS rate
Monaco50%
Liverpool-
Over 2.5 goals
Monaco50%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 68%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Monaco's 50% rates for both over 2.5 goals and BTTS in recent friendlies indicate balanced attacking and defensive performances. This suggests matches involving Monaco tend to have moderate scoring with both teams contributing, aligning with a dynamic game environment where Monaco can leverage their offensive capabilities while maintaining defensive discipline.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Liverpool

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Liverpool yet.

Monaco

WDLW
Last 52W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 1L
06 Aug 2026H Getafe1-0
31 Jul 2026H Cercle Brugge2-2
25 Jul 2026A Sporting CP0-2
18 Jul 2026H Saint-Priest5-2
Market aligned with main pickMonaco to WinBet365 guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
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Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Monaco Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Monaco's recent form is strong, with 7 points gained and a positive goal difference in friendlies, highlighting effective attacking and defensive balance. Liverpool's limited data and zero points reflect early-season adjustments and squad experimentation, placing Monaco in a favorable position to control the match tempo and outcome.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Liverpool wins
0Draws
0Monaco wins
Market aligned with main pickMonaco to WinBet365 guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
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BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
No previous meetings between Liverpool and Monaco exist to inform this fixture, increasing reliance on current form and tactical analysis. This absence of head-to-head data emphasizes the importance of recent performance trends and squad readiness in predicting the match outcome.
Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Liverpool0
Played
Monaco4
Liverpool0
Avg goals for
Monaco2
Liverpool0
Avg goals against
Monaco1.5
Liverpool0
Clean sheets
Monaco1
Market aligned with main pickMonaco to WinBet365 guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
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Monaco Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Monaco's season-level stats from recent friendlies show a balanced attack and defense, supporting the pick for a win. Their ability to score and concede moderately suggests tactical flexibility and resilience, which can be decisive against a Liverpool side still integrating players and strategies.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Liverpool Over 2.5
50%Monaco Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five friendlies, Monaco has maintained a 50% rate for matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating a propensity for open play and goal opportunities. This trend suggests a lively match tempo with chances for both teams, though Monaco's balanced defense may limit Liverpool's scoring chances in this encounter.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Liverpool v Monaco prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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