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KFUM Oslo crestKFUM Oslo
v
Bodo/Glimt crestBodo/Glimt

Eliteserien | Sun 12 Jul, 13:30

KFUM Oslo v Bodo/Glimt Stats

Data last updated: Mon 24 Aug 2026, 18:18 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

KFUM Oslo face Bodo/Glimt in Eliteserien on Sun 12 Jul, 13:30. Bodo/Glimt have scored 28 goals in 11 matches, pushing their recent four league games well past the 2.5 line. The hosts have recorded wins against Rosenborg and Sarpsborg, while they also held Tromso to a 0-0 draw in their latest outing.

BT4Y best bet

Or adjusting the line to Over 1

  • At 15/2, Or adjusting the line to Over 1 implies roughly 12%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • Relying on rare transitions means finishing efficiency is critical at home.
  • Bodo/Glimt have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 5 for KFUM Oslo.
  • Bodo/Glimt have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Or adjusting the line to Over 1 angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • KFUM Oslo sit 12 in the table, while Bodo/Glimt sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 27% for Or adjusting the line to Over 1 sits against roughly 12% implied by the current price. Bodo/Glimt have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 5 for KFUM Oslo. Relying on rare transitions means finishing efficiency is critical at home.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 12% implied
Strong positive
Bodo/Glimt have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points.Visible data support
Positive
Bodo/Glimt have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Relying on rare transitions means finishing efficiency is critical.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: KFUM Oslo Win is the preferred angle because relying on rare transitions means finishing efficiency is critical at home. Bodo/Glimt have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 5 for KFUM Oslo. The most obvious concern is attacking output.

Main risk

The most obvious concern is attacking output.

Key Data Signals

Or adjusting the line to Over 1 evidence

Relying on rare transitions means finishing efficiency is critical at home.

Bodo/Glimt have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 5 for KFUM Oslo.

Bodo/Glimt have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the KFUM Oslo Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

KFUM Oslo sit 12 in the table, while Bodo/Glimt sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Or adjusting the line to Over 1 notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    KFUM Oslo3.8
    Avg corners for
    Bodo/Glimt6.4
    KFUM Oslo9.8
    Avg total corners
    Bodo/Glimt7.6
    KFUM Oslo2
    Avg yellow cards
    Bodo/Glimt0.2
    KFUM Oslo8.6
    Avg shots
    Bodo/Glimt18.6
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    2
    Check odds @ 2
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    Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 50%
    1.78
    Check odds @ 1.78
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 56%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    KFUM Oslo1
    Avg goals scored
    Bodo/Glimt2.8
    KFUM Oslo1.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Bodo/Glimt1
    KFUM Oslo40%
    BTTS rate
    Bodo/Glimt60%
    KFUM Oslo40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Bodo/Glimt80%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 82% vs implied 89% · edge -7.7 pts
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
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    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 63%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 41%
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 41%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Over 1.5 Goals does not fully support the current price: recent Over 2.5 rates are 40% for KFUM Oslo and 80% for Bodo/Glimt, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickKFUM Oslo to WinBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 18% · edge +8.8 pts
    5.5
    Check odds @ 5.5
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    KFUM Oslo Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 63%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 56%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    KFUM Oslo to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    KFUM Oslo

    DWLLD
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 3D 5L
    29 May 2026H Tromso0-0
    25 May 2026H Rosenborg2-0
    16 May 2026A Brann1-2
    10 May 2026H Viking0-2
    03 May 2026A Valerenga2-2

    Bodo/Glimt

    DWWWL
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 2D 2L
    29 May 2026A Rosenborg2-2
    24 May 2026H Brann3-1
    20 May 2026A Start4-1
    16 May 2026H Tromso5-0
    04 May 2026H Molde0-1
    Market aligned with main pickKFUM Oslo to WinBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 18% · edge +8.8 pts
    5.5
    Check odds @ 5.5
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    KFUM Oslo Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0KFUM Oslo wins
    2Draws
    3Bodo/Glimt wins
    22 Apr 2026Bodo/Glimt v KFUM Oslo2-1
    21 Nov 2025KFUM Oslo v Bodo/Glimt1-2
    27 Apr 2025Bodo/Glimt v KFUM Oslo3-0
    27 Jul 2024KFUM Oslo v Bodo/Glimt1-1
    24 May 2024Bodo/Glimt v KFUM Oslo2-2
    Market aligned with main pickKFUM Oslo to WinBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 18% · edge +8.8 pts
    5.5
    Check odds @ 5.5
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    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 63%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    The head-to-head sample gives context for KFUM Oslo to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Eliteserien

    KFUM Oslo17
    Played
    Bodo/Glimt17
    KFUM Oslo1.1
    Avg goals for
    Bodo/Glimt2.5
    KFUM Oslo1.6
    Avg goals against
    Bodo/Glimt0.7
    KFUM Oslo5
    Clean sheets
    Bodo/Glimt10
    Market aligned with main pickKFUM Oslo to WinBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 18% · edge +8.8 pts
    5.5
    Check odds @ 5.5
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    KFUM Oslo Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3
    Season data supports KFUM Oslo to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Bodo/Glimt4117132231
    12KFUM Oslo1917548-8
    KFUM Oslo sit in position 12, while Bodo/Glimt sit in position 1, so table pressure belongs in the Or adjusting the line to Over 1 assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%KFUM Oslo Over 2.5
    80%Bodo/Glimt Over 2.5
    3H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: KFUM Oslo sit at 40% and Bodo/Glimt sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    KFUM Oslo v Bodo/Glimt prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Betting context

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