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KFUM Oslo crestKFUM Oslo
v
Aalesund crestAalesund

Eliteserien | Sun 13 Sep, 16:00

KFUM Oslo v Aalesund Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

KFUM Oslo face Aalesund in Eliteserien on Sun 13 Sep, 16:00. KFUM Oslo come in with 7 recent points and 1 goals per match, while Aalesund have 5 points and 2.2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

KFUM Oslo to Win

  • At 2.4, KFUM Oslo to Win implies roughly 42%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 48%.
  • KFUM Oslo have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for Aalesund.
  • KFUM Oslo have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the KFUM Oslo to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • KFUM Oslo sit 14 in the table, while Aalesund sit 15, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 48% for KFUM Oslo to Win sits against roughly 42% implied by the current price. KFUM Oslo have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for Aalesund.

Model chance vs price48% model chance against roughly 42% implied
Positive
KFUM Oslo have the stronger recent points return, taking 7.Visible data support
Positive
KFUM Oslo have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: KFUM Oslo Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers KFUM Oslo have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for Aalesund. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

KFUM Oslo to Win evidence

KFUM Oslo have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for Aalesund.

KFUM Oslo have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the KFUM Oslo Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

KFUM Oslo sit 14 in the table, while Aalesund sit 15, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

KFUM Oslo to Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    KFUM Oslo4.2
    Avg corners for
    Aalesund6.6
    KFUM Oslo10.2
    Avg total corners
    Aalesund14
    KFUM Oslo1.6
    Avg yellow cards
    Aalesund1.4
    KFUM Oslo10.4
    Avg shots
    Aalesund17.8
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

    Continue the research

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    KFUM Oslo1
    Avg goals scored
    Aalesund2.2
    KFUM Oslo1.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Aalesund2.8
    KFUM Oslo60%
    BTTS rate
    Aalesund80%
    KFUM Oslo40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Aalesund60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
    2.35
    Check odds @ 2.35
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 40%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickKFUM Oslo to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 48% vs implied 42% · edge +6.7 pts
    2.4
    Check odds @ 2.4
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    KFUM Oslo Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 58%
    1.78
    Check odds @ 1.78
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    KFUM Oslo to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    KFUM Oslo

    LLDWW
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 2D 5L
    06 Sep 2026A Molde0-2
    30 Aug 2026A Start1-4
    15 Aug 2026H Lillestrom1-1
    07 Aug 2026A Sandefjord1-0
    02 Aug 2026H Kristiansund BK2-1

    Aalesund

    WLDDL
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 6D 3L
    04 Sep 2026H Start2-0
    30 Aug 2026A Viking1-2
    16 Aug 2026H Valerenga5-5
    09 Aug 2026A Ham-Kam1-1
    02 Aug 2026H Tromso2-6
    Market aligned with main pickKFUM Oslo to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 48% vs implied 42% · edge +6.7 pts
    2.4
    Check odds @ 2.4
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 77%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    KFUM Oslo Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 58%
    1.78
    Check odds @ 1.78
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0KFUM Oslo wins
    1Draws
    4Aalesund wins
    12 Apr 2026Aalesund v KFUM Oslo2-2
    29 Oct 2021KFUM Oslo v Aalesund2-4
    23 May 2021Aalesund v KFUM Oslo1-0
    18 Sep 2019Aalesund v KFUM Oslo2-1
    21 Jul 2019KFUM Oslo v Aalesund2-4
    Market aligned with main pickKFUM Oslo to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 48% vs implied 42% · edge +6.7 pts
    2.4
    Check odds @ 2.4
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    The head-to-head sample gives context for KFUM Oslo to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Eliteserien

    KFUM Oslo19
    Played
    Aalesund19
    KFUM Oslo1.1
    Avg goals for
    Aalesund1.6
    KFUM Oslo1.7
    Avg goals against
    Aalesund2.3
    KFUM Oslo5
    Clean sheets
    Aalesund1
    Market aligned with main pickKFUM Oslo to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 48% vs implied 42% · edge +6.7 pts
    2.4
    Check odds @ 2.4
    Load more odds for this section
    KFUM Oslo Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 58%
    1.78
    Check odds @ 1.78
    Season data supports KFUM Oslo to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    14KFUM Oslo19195410-13
    15Aalesund1819397-13
    KFUM Oslo sit in position 14, while Aalesund sit in position 15, so table pressure belongs in the KFUM Oslo to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%KFUM Oslo Over 2.5
    60%Aalesund Over 2.5
    4H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: KFUM Oslo sit at 40% and Aalesund sit at 60% with the H2H average at 4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Betting context

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