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Rosenborg crestRosenborg
v
Tromso crestTromso

Eliteserien | Sat 12 Sep, 17:00

Rosenborg v Tromso Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 08:36 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Rosenborg hosts Tromso in a key Eliteserien clash where both sides have shown attacking intent this season. Rosenborg, sitting 6th with 27 points, have scored at a rate of 2.4 goals per game but also concede 1.6 on average, indicating open play. Tromso, 3rd with 35 points, mirror this offensive output with 2.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match. Both teams have a history of games with multiple goals, setting the stage for an entertaining encounter with attacking freedom and defensive vulnerabilities on display.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Rosenborg averages 2.4 goals scored and concedes 1.6 per game this season.
  • Tromso matches Rosenborg's 2.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match rate.
  • Rosenborg has an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, Tromso 60% this season.
  • Their last 10 meetings average 3.3 goals per game, indicating high-scoring potential.
  • Both teams average a combined 27.6 shots per game, showing offensive pressure.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 69% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, supported by both teams' strong attacking records and defensive openness. Rosenborg's high Over 2.5 rate (80%) and Tromso's consistent goal-scoring underline the likelihood of multiple goals. The average of 3.3 goals in their last 10 meetings further confirms a trend toward open, high-scoring matches. The price offers positive value with a 7.3% edge, making this a compelling bet based on current form and historical data.

Model Chance69%
Strong positive
Rosenborg Over 2.5 Rate80%
Strong positive
Tromso Over 2.5 Rate60%
Positive
H2H Average Goals3.3 goals per match
Positive
Value Edge7.3% positive
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with both Rosenborg and Tromso pushing forward aggressively. Rosenborg's home advantage and their higher Over 2.5 rate suggest they will drive the tempo, while Tromso's attacking players are capable of exploiting defensive gaps. The data supports a high-scoring match, making Over 2.5 Goals a well-founded pick.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential

“This fixture features two sides with potent offenses and leaky defenses, creating fertile ground for multiple goals. Rosenborg's strong home scoring and Tromso's sharp attackers make Over 2.5 Goals a logical expectation.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Rosenborg averages 2.4 goals scored and concedes 1.6 per game this season.

Tromso matches Rosenborg's 2.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match rate.

Rosenborg has an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, Tromso 60% this season.

Their last 10 meetings average 3.3 goals per game, indicating high-scoring potential.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals tally is 3.3 per game, demonstrating a clear trend toward high-scoring encounters.
  • This sample suggests a tempo and style conducive to multiple goals, with both teams historically contributing to open, attacking matches.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Rosenborg7
Avg corners for
Tromso4.6
Rosenborg13.8
Avg total corners
Tromso8.6
Rosenborg2
Avg yellow cards
Tromso1.4
Rosenborg14.8
Avg shots
Tromso12.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Rosenborg averages 7 corners and 14.8 shots per game, while Tromso records 4.6 corners and 12.8 shots. Rosenborg's higher shot volume and set-piece opportunities suggest sustained attacking pressure, complemented by moderate card counts indicating a competitive but not overly aggressive match environment.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Rosenborg2.4
Avg goals scored
Tromso2.4
Rosenborg1.6
Avg goals conceded
Tromso1.6
Rosenborg60%
BTTS rate
Tromso60%
Rosenborg80%
Over 2.5 goals
Tromso60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 62% · edge +7.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 87%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams average 2.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, with Rosenborg boasting an 80% Over 2.5 rate and Tromso 60%. Their last 10 encounters have yielded an average of 3.3 goals, highlighting a consistent pattern of open, attacking matches with goals at both ends.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 62% · edge +7.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Tromso to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Tromso Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Rosenborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Rosenborg to WinBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively at 1.62, reflecting a 61.7% implied chance against the model's 69% probability. This positive indicates the market underestimates the likelihood of multiple goals, making it a price-sensitive but solid option for bettors.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Rosenborg

WLWWL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 3L
05 Sep 2026H Ham-Kam4-0
30 Aug 2026A Bodo/Glimt2-4
14 Aug 2026H Viking2-1
09 Aug 2026A Lillestrom2-0
02 Aug 2026A Brann2-3

Tromso

LDLWW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
06 Sep 2026A Kristiansund BK0-2
30 Aug 2026H Sarpsborg 08 FF0-0
16 Aug 2026A Molde2-3
02 Aug 2026A Aalesund6-2
18 Jul 2026A Ham-Kam4-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 48% · edge +12.4 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 79%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Tromso to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Tromso Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Rosenborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Rosenborg to WinBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Recent form data shows Rosenborg with 9 points and Tromso with 7 points from their last matches, both maintaining high goal-scoring rates of 2.4 goals per game. Rosenborg's 80% Over 2.5 rate this season contrasts with Tromso's 60%, but both indicate a strong tendency toward matches with multiple goals.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Rosenborg wins
1Draws
5Tromso wins
06 Apr 2026Tromso v Rosenborg2-0
22 Nov 2025Tromso v Rosenborg1-0
27 Jul 2025Rosenborg v Tromso4-1
04 Aug 2024Rosenborg v Tromso1-0
20 May 2024Tromso v Rosenborg3-2
09 Mar 2024Rosenborg v Tromso3-0
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 62% · edge +7.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Tromso to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Rosenborg to WinBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
The head-to-head record over 10 matches shows an average of 3.3 goals per game, supporting the expectation of multiple goals in this fixture. This consistent pattern of goal-rich games between Rosenborg and Tromso provides a strong historical foundation for the Over 2.5 Goals selection.
Season team stats

Eliteserien

Rosenborg19
Played
Tromso19
Rosenborg1.6
Avg goals for
Tromso1.8
Rosenborg1.4
Avg goals against
Tromso1.2
Rosenborg7
Clean sheets
Tromso9
Best odds for this sectionTromso to WinBet365 guide price · Model 33% vs implied 21% · edge +11.5 pts
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Load more odds for this section
Tromso Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Rosenborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Rosenborg to WinBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Season-long stats reveal both teams average 2.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, underscoring offensive strength paired with defensive vulnerabilities. Rosenborg's higher corner and shot averages reflect a more aggressive attacking style, supporting the likelihood of an open game with multiple scoring opportunities.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Tromso3519105412
6Rosenborg27198385
Rosenborg sits 6th with 27 points, while Tromso is 3rd with 35 points, reflecting their competitive stature in the league. While standings provide background, the attacking and defensive profiles of both teams are more indicative of a high-scoring match than table position alone.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Rosenborg Over 2.5
60%Tromso Over 2.5
3.3H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals tally is 3.3 per game, demonstrating a clear trend toward high-scoring encounters. This sample suggests a tempo and style conducive to multiple goals, with both teams historically contributing to open, attacking matches.

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