Football Stats Hub

Kelty Hearts crestKelty Hearts
v
Edinburgh City crestEdinburgh City

League Two | Sat 19 Sep, 15:00

Kelty Hearts v Edinburgh City Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 07:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Kelty Hearts and Edinburgh City meet in a League Two clash where attacking intent is evident from both sides. Kelty Hearts have scored 1.4 goals per game but conceded 2.4, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Edinburgh City boasts a stronger attack with 2.8 goals per game and a tighter defense conceding 1.4. Both teams have shown a propensity for high-scoring matches recently, with Kelty Hearts hitting over 2.5 goals in 80% of their games and Edinburgh City in 60%. This fixture promises an open contest with offensive opportunities on both ends, setting the stage for a potentially goal-rich encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Kelty Hearts have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season.
  • Edinburgh City averages 2.8 goals scored per game, showing strong attacking form.
  • Recent head-to-head matches average 3.8 goals per game, indicating a high-scoring history.
  • Both teams have shown BTTS rates of 80% (Kelty Hearts) and 60% (Edinburgh City), supporting goal chances.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 72.8% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, well above the implied 61.7% from current , indicating clear value. Both teams demonstrate attacking strengths and defensive frailties, with Kelty Hearts conceding 2.4 goals per game and Edinburgh City scoring 2.8. The high average goals in their last 10 meetings (3.8) further supports the likelihood of a goal-laden match. The data quality is solid, with no limitations affecting the home or away team stats, reinforcing in this selection.

Model Chance72.8%
Strong positive
Implied Chance61.7%
Neutral
Value Edge11.1%
Strong positive
Kelty Hearts Goals Against2.4 per game
Strong positive
Edinburgh City Goals For2.8 per game
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with both Kelty Hearts and Edinburgh City pushing forward aggressively. Kelty Hearts' defensive vulnerabilities combined with Edinburgh City's potent attack suggest multiple goals are likely. The data supports a lively encounter with Over 2.5 Goals as a fitting selection based on recent scoring trends and head-to-head history.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Over 2.5 Goals

“This fixture features two sides with attacking intent and defensive gaps, making Over 2.5 Goals a compelling choice. The historical goal averages and current form underline the potential for a high-scoring match.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Kelty Hearts have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season.

Edinburgh City averages 2.8 goals scored per game, showing strong attacking form.

Recent head-to-head matches average 3.8 goals per game, indicating a high-scoring history.

Both teams have shown BTTS rates of 80% (Kelty Hearts) and 60% (Edinburgh City), supporting goal chances.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last 10 head-to-head matches average 3.8 goals per game, a clear indicator of high-scoring encounters between these teams.
  • This trend, combined with recent season data, suggests a continuation of open games with multiple goals, supporting the Over 2.5 Goals market.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Kelty Hearts1.4
Avg goals scored
Edinburgh City2.8
Kelty Hearts2.4
Avg goals conceded
Edinburgh City1.4
Kelty Hearts80%
BTTS rate
Edinburgh City60%
Kelty Hearts80%
Over 2.5 goals
Edinburgh City60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 62% · edge +11.1 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Both teams have high BTTS rates—80% for Kelty Hearts and 60% for Edinburgh City—indicating frequent mutual scoring. Combined with their goal averages and a 3.8 goals per game average in their last 10 meetings, this match is likely to feature multiple goals and both teams finding the net.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 62% · edge +11.1 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Edinburgh City Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 62%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Edinburgh City to WinBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Kelty Hearts Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Kelty Hearts to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced at implying a 61.7% chance, while the model estimates a 72.8% probability, highlighting a strong value opportunity. This discrepancy is driven by both teams' attacking output and defensive records, making the current price attractive for bettors seeking goal markets.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

League Two fixtures and predictionsplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Kelty Hearts

LWLWL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 4L
12 Sep 2026A Clyde1-4
05 Sep 2026H Annan Athletic2-1
29 Aug 2026A Stranraer0-2
22 Aug 2026H Dumbarton3-1
15 Aug 2026A Elgin City1-4

Edinburgh City

WLDWW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 2L
12 Sep 2026H Stirling Albion7-3
05 Sep 2026A Clyde2-3
28 Aug 2026H Forfar Athletic1-1
22 Aug 2026H Annan Athletic1-0
15 Aug 2026A Dumbarton3-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 77% vs implied 62% · edge +15 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Edinburgh City Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 62%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Edinburgh City to WinBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Kelty Hearts Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Kelty Hearts to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Kelty Hearts have recorded 80% Over 2.5 Goals in recent matches, while Edinburgh City has a 60% rate, reflecting consistent goal-scoring encounters. Their recent form data aligns with an expectation of a high-scoring contest, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals selection.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Kelty Hearts wins
2Draws
3Edinburgh City wins
30 Mar 2024Kelty Hearts v Edinburgh City3-1
13 Feb 2024Kelty Hearts v Edinburgh City3-2
03 Feb 2024Edinburgh City v Kelty Hearts0-3
07 Oct 2023Edinburgh City v Kelty Hearts1-4
19 Jul 2023Edinburgh City v Kelty Hearts3-5
22 Apr 2023Edinburgh City v Kelty Hearts2-2
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 62% · edge +11.1 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Edinburgh City to WinBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Kelty Hearts to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
The historical head-to-head record shows an average of 3.8 goals per game over 10 matches, strongly supporting the likelihood of a high-scoring fixture. This trend is a meaningful background factor reinforcing the expectation of Over 2.5 Goals in this meeting.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

League Two

Kelty Hearts7
Played
Edinburgh City7
Kelty Hearts1.4
Avg goals for
Edinburgh City2.3
Kelty Hearts2.1
Avg goals against
Edinburgh City2
Kelty Hearts0
Clean sheets
Edinburgh City2
Best odds for this sectionEdinburgh City Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Load more odds for this section
Edinburgh City to WinBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Kelty Hearts Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Kelty Hearts to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Season-long statistics show Kelty Hearts concede 2.4 goals per game, a significant defensive weakness, while Edinburgh City scores 2.8 goals per game, highlighting offensive strength. These contrasting profiles support a match with multiple goals and an open tempo.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Kelty Hearts97304-5
8Edinburgh City673222
Kelty Hearts sit 6th and Edinburgh City 8th in League Two, both competitive but not under extreme pressure. The standings suggest motivation to secure points through attacking play rather than defensive caution, which can contribute to a more open and goal-rich match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Kelty Hearts Over 2.5
60%Edinburgh City Over 2.5
3.8H2H avg goals
The last 10 head-to-head matches average 3.8 goals per game, a clear indicator of high-scoring encounters between these teams. This trend, combined with recent season data, suggests a continuation of open games with multiple goals, supporting the Over 2.5 Goals market.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

More stats pages

Dumbarton v SpartansLeague Two · Sat 19 Sep 15:00Forfar Athletic v Annan AthleticLeague Two · Sat 19 Sep 15:00Stirling Albion v ClydeLeague Two · Sat 19 Sep 15:00Elgin City v StranraerLeague Two · Sat 19 Sep 15:00

Competition and hubs

League Two hubLeague Two fixtures and predictionsplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets research

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre