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Kalmar FF crestKalmar FF
v
Djurgardens IF crestDjurgardens IF

Allsvenskan | Mon 07 Sep, 18:00

Kalmar FF v Djurgardens IF Stats

Data last updated: Sun 06 Sep 2026, 08:41 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Djurgardens IF visit Kalmar FF in a crucial Allsvenskan clash where the visitors are in strong form, sitting third in the table with 35 points compared to Kalmar FF's 13th place and 19 points. Djurgardens IF have been efficient offensively, averaging 2 goals per game recently, while Kalmar FF have struggled to score, netting just 0.6 goals per match. The tactical setup suggests Djurgardens IF will press for control and capitalize on Kalmar's defensive vulnerabilities, making this a pivotal fixture for both sides as the season progresses.

BT4Y best bet

Djurgardens IF to Win

  • Djurgardens IF hold a commanding 3rd place with 35 points, showing consistent winning form.
  • Kalmar FF have scored only 0.6 goals per game recently, struggling offensively.
  • Djurgardens IF average 13.8 shots and 5 shots on target per game, indicating strong attacking pressure.
  • Head-to-head matches average 3.1 goals, suggesting openness and scoring opportunities.
  • Djurgardens IF's defensive record is solid with 0.8 goals conceded per game, supporting their win chances.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Djurgardens IF with a 70% chance to win, reflecting their superior recent form, offensive output, and defensive solidity compared to Kalmar FF. Djurgardens IF's higher shot volume and goal threat from key players like M. Lien underpin this . The offer positive value with a 14.4% edge, indicating the market underestimates their chances. No data limitations affect this analysis, making the selection a well-supported choice based on current season dynamics and player contributions.

Model Win Probability70%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance55.6%
Positive
Value Edge14.4%
Strong positive
Recent Goal Scoring2 goals per game for Djurgardens IF
Strong positive
Defensive Record0.8 goals conceded per game by Djurgardens IF
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Djurgardens IF's superior form and attacking firepower make them the clear favorites to secure victory. Their ability to create and convert chances, combined with a solid defensive record, provides a strong foundation for success against a struggling Kalmar FF side. Tactical discipline and key player performances will be decisive.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Djurgardens IF bring a balanced attack and disciplined defense into this fixture, with players like M. Anderson driving their goal threat. Their consistent form and ability to control matches make them the logical choice to win here.”

Key Data Signals

Djurgardens IF to Win evidence

Djurgardens IF hold a commanding 3rd place with 35 points, showing consistent winning form.

Kalmar FF have scored only 0.6 goals per game recently, struggling offensively.

Djurgardens IF average 13.8 shots and 5 shots on target per game, indicating strong attacking pressure.

Head-to-head matches average 3.1 goals, suggesting openness and scoring opportunities.

What To Watch In The Data

Djurgardens IF to Win notes

  • The last 10 head-to-head matches between these teams have averaged 3.1 goals, indicating a tendency for open, attacking games.
  • This trend suggests a higher tempo and potential for multiple scoring opportunities, aligning with Djurgardens IF's offensive strengths and Kalmar FF's defensive vulnerabilities.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Kalmar FF4.2
Avg corners for
Djurgardens IF5.2
Kalmar FF12.2
Avg total corners
Djurgardens IF7
Kalmar FF0.8
Avg yellow cards
Djurgardens IF1.2
Kalmar FF11
Avg shots
Djurgardens IF13.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Djurgardens IF average 5.2 corners and 13.8 shots per game, reflecting sustained attacking pressure and territorial control. Their slightly higher card count (1.2 yellows per game) suggests a competitive edge but disciplined enough to avoid excessive fouling, supporting controlled aggression in this match.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Kalmar FF0.6
Avg goals scored
Djurgardens IF2
Kalmar FF1.8
Avg goals conceded
Djurgardens IF0.8
Kalmar FF40%
BTTS rate
Djurgardens IF20%
Kalmar FF40%
Over 2.5 goals
Djurgardens IF60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 46% · edge +8.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 77%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 59%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 41%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Recent data shows Djurgardens IF average 2 goals per game while Kalmar FF score only 0.6, pointing to a likely open game with scoring chances. However, Djurgardens IF have a low BTTS rate of 20%, indicating they often keep clean sheets, so goals may come mainly from the visitors.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickDjurgardens IF to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 56% · edge +14.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Djurgardens IF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 59%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The market price for Djurgardens IF to win reflects a 55.6% implied chance, which is notably below the model's 70% probability, indicating a positive value opportunity. This suggests bettors can find an edge backing Djurgardens IF, as their form and stats justify a higher likelihood of victory than the imply.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Kalmar FF

LDLLD
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
29 Aug 2026A Halmstad0-1
23 Aug 2026A Vasteras SK FK0-0
16 Aug 2026H Hammarby FF0-4
09 Aug 2026A IFK Goteborg2-3
01 Aug 2026A BK Hacken1-1

Djurgardens IF

WWWLL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 1D 2L
03 Sep 2026A Mjallby AIF2-0
31 Aug 2026H Mjallby AIF4-0
24 Aug 2026A Malmo FF3-0
16 Aug 2026H AIK Stockholm1-3
10 Aug 2026A Vasteras SK FK0-1
Market aligned with main pickDjurgardens IF to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 56% · edge +14.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Djurgardens IF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Djurgardens IF have accumulated 9 points recently, showcasing a strong run of form compared to Kalmar FF's 2 points. Their ability to score 2 goals per game while conceding less than one highlights their balanced performance. This momentum suggests Djurgardens IF are well-positioned to control the match and secure a win.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Kalmar FF wins
1Draws
6Djurgardens IF wins
12 Apr 2026Djurgardens IF v Kalmar FF3-2
06 Oct 2024Djurgardens IF v Kalmar FF1-1
20 Jul 2024Kalmar FF v Djurgardens IF2-1
12 Nov 2023Kalmar FF v Djurgardens IF2-1
08 May 2023Djurgardens IF v Kalmar FF3-1
14 Aug 2022Djurgardens IF v Kalmar FF3-2
Market aligned with main pickDjurgardens IF to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 56% · edge +14.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 59%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The head-to-head record over 10 matches shows an average of 3.1 goals per game, indicating historically open contests. While this supports the likelihood of goals, it only weakly supports the outright win for Djurgardens IF, as past results have varied. Current form and season stats provide stronger guidance for this match outcome.
Season team stats

Allsvenskan

Kalmar FF19
Played
Djurgardens IF19
Kalmar FF1.1
Avg goals for
Djurgardens IF2.3
Kalmar FF1.5
Avg goals against
Djurgardens IF1
Kalmar FF3
Clean sheets
Djurgardens IF9
Market aligned with main pickDjurgardens IF to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 56% · edge +14.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Djurgardens IF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Across the season, Djurgardens IF rank 3rd with 35 points, reflecting consistent high-level performances. Their average goals scored and conceded per game demonstrate a potent attack combined with a resilient defense, supporting their capacity to win against lower-ranked teams like Kalmar FF, who sit 13th with a weaker offensive record.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Djurgardens IF3519112624
13Kalmar FF19195410-8
Djurgardens IF's 3rd place standing with a substantial points gap over Kalmar FF underscores their superior season performance and consistency. While Kalmar FF faces pressure near the relegation zone, Djurgardens IF's position reflects stability and ambition, adding psychological and tactical advantages heading into this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Kalmar FF Over 2.5
60%Djurgardens IF Over 2.5
3.1H2H avg goals
The last 10 head-to-head matches between these teams have averaged 3.1 goals, indicating a tendency for open, attacking games. This trend suggests a higher tempo and potential for multiple scoring opportunities, aligning with Djurgardens IF's offensive strengths and Kalmar FF's defensive vulnerabilities.

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Prediction context

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