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Jordan crestJordan
v
Argentina crestArgentina

World Cup | Sun 28 Jun, 03:00

Jordan v Argentina Stats

Data last updated: Fri 24 Jul 2026, 04:14 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Jordan face Argentina in World Cup on Sun 28 Jun, 03:00. Group J Leaders Meet a Brave Debutant With One Last Point to Prove. Jordan have suffered successive defeats and struggle deeply against elite defensive units, making an Argentina victory with a clean sheet the most logical statistical trend.

BT4Y lean · price warning

, even if Argentina wins the match

  • At 40/85, , even if Argentina wins the match implies roughly 68%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • Defensive Resiliency: Total Goals Conceded
  • Argentina have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for Jordan.
  • Argentina have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the , even if Argentina wins the match angle more than a raw possession edge.
Price warning

, even if Argentina wins the match is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 68% while the model sits nearer 27% (-41 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +15 pts edge at 2.62.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 27% for , even if Argentina wins the match sits against roughly 68% implied by the current price. Argentina have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for Jordan. Defensive Resiliency: Total Goals Conceded

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 68% implied
Negative
Argentina have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points.Visible data support
Positive
Argentina have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Defensive Resiliency: Total Goals ConcededArticle support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Jordan Win is the preferred angle because defensive Resiliency: Total Goals Conceded Argentina have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for Jordan. That creates a slightly awkward but useful problem for Lionel Scaloni.

Main risk

That creates a slightly awkward but useful problem for Lionel Scaloni.

Key Data Signals

, even if Argentina wins the match evidence

Defensive Resiliency: Total Goals Conceded

Argentina have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for Jordan.

Argentina have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Jordan Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

, even if Argentina wins the match notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Jordan1
    Avg goals scored
    Argentina2.5
    Jordan2.5
    Avg goals conceded
    Argentina0
    Jordan100%
    BTTS rate
    Argentina0%
    Jordan100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Argentina50%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 65% · edge +9.6 pts
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
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    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 29%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickJordan to WinBet365 guide price · Model 20% vs implied 5% · edge +15 pts
    19
    Check odds @ 19
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    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 75%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Jordan Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 29%
    7
    Check odds @ 7
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 35%
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
    Jordan to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Jordan2
    Avg corners for
    Argentina1.5
    Jordan9
    Avg total corners
    Argentina4
    Jordan0.5
    Avg yellow cards
    Argentina1
    Jordan9.5
    Avg shots
    Argentina11
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
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    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 35%
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
    Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 29%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Jordan

    LL
    Last 50W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 2L
    23 Jun 2026H Algeria1-2
    17 Jun 2026A Austria1-3

    Argentina

    WW
    Last 52W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 0D 0L
    22 Jun 2026H Austria2-0
    17 Jun 2026H Algeria3-0
    Market aligned with main pickJordan to WinBet365 guide price · Model 20% vs implied 5% · edge +15 pts
    19
    Check odds @ 19
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    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 32%
    6
    Check odds @ 6
    Jordan Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 29%
    7
    Check odds @ 7
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Jordan wins
    0Draws
    0Argentina wins
    Market aligned with main pickJordan to WinBet365 guide price · Model 20% vs implied 5% · edge +15 pts
    19
    Check odds @ 19
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 75%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Jordan to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    World Cup

    Jordan3
    Played
    Argentina8
    Jordan1
    Avg goals for
    Argentina2.4
    Jordan2.7
    Avg goals against
    Argentina1
    Jordan0
    Clean sheets
    Argentina2
    Market aligned with main pickJordan to WinBet365 guide price · Model 20% vs implied 5% · edge +15 pts
    19
    Check odds @ 19
    Load more odds for this section
    Jordan Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 29%
    7
    Check odds @ 7
    Season data supports Jordan to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Argentina933007
    4Jordan03003-5
    World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Jordan Over 2.5
    50%Argentina Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Jordan sit at 100% and Argentina sit at 50%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.