Jagiellonia

Widzew Łódź

Ekstraklasa | Sun 09 Aug, 19:15

Jagiellonia v Widzew Łódź Stats

Data last updated: Mon 10 Aug 2026, 22:26 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Jagiellonia enters this Ekstraklasa clash in strong early-season form, sitting 4th with 6 points from two matches, showing defensive solidity by conceding only 0.5 goals per game. Widzew Łódź, positioned 13th with just 2 points, have struggled to find consistency and defensive stability, conceding an average of 1 goal per match. Jagiellonia's tactical setup emphasizes controlled possession and efficient finishing, while Widzew Łódź face pressure to improve results away from home. This match offers Jagiellonia a chance to consolidate their position against a side still searching for rhythm and .

BT4Y best bet

Jagiellonia to Win

Jagiellonia holds a 66.1% to win, with strong value at 2.25 .
Recent form favors Jagiellonia, who have earned 6 points versus Widzew Łódź's 2 points.
Jagiellonia concedes fewer goals on average (0.5) compared to Widzew Łódź (1.0).
Key players like N. Prelec and Sergio Lozano provide significant attacking threat for Jagiellonia.
Widzew Łódź have a higher disciplinary risk, averaging 3.5 yellow cards per game.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Jagiellonia to win due to their superior recent form, defensive strength, and attacking efficiency. Their 66.1% win probability is supported by a solid defensive record conceding only 0.5 goals per game and effective shot conversion from key attackers like N. Prelec and Sergio Lozano. Widzew Łódź's struggles in defense and discipline, combined with lower points and goal output, reinforce Jagiellonia's advantage. The pricing at 2.25 offers good value given these factors, making the home win a compelling choice.

Recent form advantageJagiellonia 6 points vs Widzew Łódź 2 points

Strong positive

Defensive solidityJagiellonia concedes 0.5 goals per game

Positive

Attacking threatN. Prelec 1.86 goals and 1.86 shots on target per 90

Strong positive

Disciplinary riskWidzew Łódź averages 3.5 yellow cards per game

Negative

Value edge21.7% positive value at 2.25 odds

Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Jagiellonia's early-season momentum and defensive discipline position them well to secure a home victory. Their ability to limit Widzew Łódź's attacking threats, combined with efficient finishing from key players, makes the home win the most probable outcome in this fixture.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Jagiellonia's blend of defensive resilience and attacking precision, led by players like N. Prelec and Sergio Lozano, gives them a clear edge over Widzew Łódź, who have yet to find consistent form or defensive stability this season.”

Key Data Signals

Jagiellonia to Win evidence

Jagiellonia holds a 66.1% to win, with strong value at 2.25 .

Recent form favors Jagiellonia, who have earned 6 points versus Widzew Łódź's 2 points.

Jagiellonia concedes fewer goals on average (0.5) compared to Widzew Łódź (1.0).

Key players like N. Prelec and Sergio Lozano provide significant attacking threat for Jagiellonia.

What To Watch In The Data

Jagiellonia to Win notes

The last 10 head-to-head matches between these teams average 3.2 goals per game, indicating a moderately high-scoring history.
Both sides have a 50% over 2.5 goals rate recently, suggesting potential for goals, but Jagiellonia's defensive form may temper this trend, favoring a controlled match with fewer goals than the historical average.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Jagiellonia2

Avg corners for

Widzew Łódź3.5

Jagiellonia6

Avg total corners

Widzew Łódź9.5

Jagiellonia3

Avg yellow cards

Widzew Łódź3.5

Jagiellonia13

Avg shots

Widzew Łódź17.5

Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.

2.5

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Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 34%

1.98

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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 40%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

Widzew Łódź averages more shots (17.5) and corners (3.5) than Jagiellonia, but also accumulates more yellow cards (3.5 vs 1.5), indicating a more aggressive and risk-prone style. Jagiellonia's lower card count and steady shot volume (12 shots, 4 on target) suggest a composed approach focusing on quality chances rather than volume.

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Useful next reads

Jagiellonia v Widzew Łódź prediction corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles football stats hub football hub football predictions hub best bets research acca fixture filtering

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Jagiellonia1.5

Avg goals scored

Widzew Łódź1

Jagiellonia0.5

Avg goals conceded

Widzew Łódź1

Jagiellonia50%

BTTS rate

Widzew Łódź50%

Jagiellonia50%

Over 2.5 goals

Widzew Łódź50%

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 52% · edge +5.9 pts

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%

Check odds @ 2

Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 74%

1.3

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Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 38%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 46%

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Both teams have a 50% rate for over 2.5 goals and BTTS, but recent form shows Jagiellonia concedes only 0.5 goals per game, suggesting a controlled defensive approach. This supports a BTTS No scenario, where Jagiellonia's defensive discipline may limit Widzew Łódź's scoring opportunities, resulting in fewer goals overall.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickJagiellonia to WinBetfred guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts

2.25

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Jagiellonia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 73%

1.72

Check odds @ 1.72

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 58%

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%

Check odds @ 2

Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 40%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

The for Jagiellonia to win at 2.25 reflect a strong value opportunity given the model's 66.1% win probability. This positive of 21.7% indicates the market underestimates Jagiellonia's chances, likely due to Widzew Łódź's reputation or recent performances. The price is attractive for bettors seeking a solid home win without excessive risk.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Jagiellonia

Last 52W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 102W 0D 0L

31 Jul 2026A Motor Lublin2-1

25 Jul 2026H Korona Kielce1-0

Widzew Łódź

Last 50W 2D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 2D 0L

31 Jul 2026A Wisla Plock0-0

26 Jul 2026H Motor Lublin2-2

Market aligned with main pickJagiellonia to WinBetfred guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts

2.25

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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

Jagiellonia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 73%

1.72

Check odds @ 1.72

Jagiellonia's recent form is strong, securing 6 points with a solid defensive record of 0.5 goals conceded per game. Widzew Łódź's 2 points and 1 goal conceded per match reflect struggles in both attack and defense. This form disparity supports in Jagiellonia maintaining control and securing victory at home.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

6Jagiellonia wins

1Draws

3Widzew Łódź wins

31 Jan 2026Widzew Łódź v Jagiellonia1-3

27 Jul 2025Jagiellonia v Widzew Łódź3-2

06 Jul 2025Widzew Łódź v Jagiellonia7-1

09 Mar 2025Widzew Łódź v Jagiellonia0-1

01 Sep 2024Jagiellonia v Widzew Łódź1-0

11 Feb 2024Widzew Łódź v Jagiellonia1-3

Market aligned with main pickJagiellonia to WinBetfred guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts

2.25

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 58%

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%

Check odds @ 2

The 10 previous meetings between Jagiellonia and Widzew Łódź have averaged 3.2 goals per game, showing a history of open contests. However, recent defensive improvements by Jagiellonia and Widzew Łódź's current struggles suggest this fixture may be tighter. The head-to-head record provides context but is less decisive than current form and tactical setups.

Season team stats

Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia3

Played

Widzew Łódź3

Jagiellonia1

Avg goals for

Widzew Łódź1.3

Jagiellonia1

Avg goals against

Widzew Łódź0.7

Jagiellonia1

Clean sheets

Widzew Łódź2

Market aligned with main pickJagiellonia to WinBetfred guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts

2.25

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Jagiellonia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 73%

1.72

Check odds @ 1.72

Over the season, Jagiellonia ranks 4th with a balanced attack averaging 1.5 goals per game and a sturdy defense conceding only 0.5 goals. Widzew Łódź's lower ranking (13th) and higher goals conceded per game highlight defensive vulnerabilities. These season-long trends reinforce Jagiellonia's advantage in both scoring and defensive stability.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
6	Jagiellonia	6	3	2	0	1	0
7	Widzew Łódź	5	3	1	2	0	2

Jagiellonia's position near the top of the Ekstraklasa table with 6 points contrasts with Widzew Łódź's lower standing and 2 points. While early in the season, this gap reflects Jagiellonia's better start and greater consistency, adding pressure on Widzew Łódź to respond away from home.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Jagiellonia Over 2.5

50%Widzew Łódź Over 2.5

3.2H2H avg goals

The last 10 head-to-head matches between these teams average 3.2 goals per game, indicating a moderately high-scoring history. Both sides have a 50% over 2.5 goals rate recently, suggesting potential for goals, but Jagiellonia's defensive form may temper this trend, favoring a controlled match with fewer goals than the historical average.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Jagiellonia v Widzew Łódź Stats

Match Report

Jagiellonia to Win

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

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Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Jagiellonia

Widzew Łódź

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Jagiellonia v Widzew Łódź Stats

Match Report

Jagiellonia to Win

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

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What To Watch In The Data

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Widzew Łódź

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