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Premier League | Fri 04 Sep, 20:00

Ipswich v Liverpool Stats

Data last updated: Thu 03 Sep 2026, 08:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Liverpool visit Ipswich with a recent record of control, having won the last four meetings including a 4-1 victory in their most recent encounter. Both teams have shown attacking potency but defensive frailties, with Liverpool conceding in eight consecutive Premier League matches and Ipswich scoring at least twice in all three competitive games this season. Liverpool's attack, led by Alexander Isak's high shot volume, faces an Ipswich defense still recovering from a heavy 5-2 defeat at Manchester United. This fixture promises an open contest where both sides are likely to score, but Liverpool's superior recent form and firepower give them the edge for victory.

BT4Y match pick

Liverpool to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have scored in all five combined matches this season involving Ipswich and Liverpool.
  • Liverpool have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last eight Premier League games, conceding regularly.
  • Ipswich have scored at least two goals in all three competitive matches this season despite defensive lapses.
  • Alexander Isak leads Liverpool with seven shots and three on target, posing a significant threat to Ipswich's defense.
  • Liverpool have won the last four head-to-head matches against Ipswich, including a recent 4-1 win.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The model identifies Liverpool to Win & Both Teams to Score as a coherent pick reflecting both teams' attacking strengths and defensive vulnerabilities. Liverpool's ongoing defensive struggles and Ipswich's consistent goal-scoring create a scenario where both sides are likely to find the net. However, the current are slightly short compared to the model's chance, suggesting caution and reduced stake. Improvements such as price drift or stronger line-up news would enhance value. The model is moderate, reflecting the balance between Liverpool's quality and defensive risks.

Liverpool's Defensive RecordNo clean sheets in last 8 Premier League matches
Strong positive
Ipswich's Scoring ConsistencyAt least 2 goals in all 3 competitive games
Strong positive
Alexander Isak's Shot Volume7 shots, 3 on target early season
Positive
Model Chance vs Implied OddsModel chance 30.2% vs implied 35.7% (negative value edge)
Negative

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Liverpool's recent control over Ipswich combined with their attacking firepower, especially through Alexander Isak, supports a confident away win. Ipswich's ability to score despite defensive issues suggests both teams will find the net, making this a tactically sound and data-backed selection for Liverpool to win with both teams scoring.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking dynamics and defensive vulnerabilities

“Liverpool's attacking threat, led by Isak's high shot involvement, paired with Ipswich's consistent scoring despite defensive lapses, creates a compelling case for a high-scoring game with Liverpool prevailing.”

Key Data Signals

Liverpool to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have scored in all five combined matches this season involving Ipswich and Liverpool.

Liverpool have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last eight Premier League games, conceding regularly.

Ipswich have scored at least two goals in all three competitive matches this season despite defensive lapses.

Alexander Isak leads Liverpool with seven shots and three on target, posing a significant threat to Ipswich's defense.

What To Watch In The Data

Liverpool to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.5, with three of the last four meetings producing more than 3.5 goals.
  • This trend over recent encounters suggests a high-tempo game with multiple scoring opportunities, supporting the expectation of over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Ipswich2
Avg goals scored
Liverpool2
Ipswich3
Avg goals conceded
Liverpool2
Ipswich100%
BTTS rate
Liverpool100%
Ipswich100%
Over 2.5 goals
Liverpool100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Both Ipswich and Liverpool have consistently scored in all recent matches, with Ipswich netting at least twice in every competitive game and Liverpool conceding in all eight league matches this season. This pattern strongly supports the expectation of goals at both ends, reinforcing the bet's BTTS component.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickLiverpool Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 76% · edge -23.6 pts
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Liverpool to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
The current of 2.8 for Liverpool to Win & Both Teams to Score reflect a market that prices in a strong chance for Liverpool victory but slightly overestimates the likelihood of both teams scoring compared to the model's 30.2% chance. This makes the selection price-sensitive, recommending cautious staking or waiting for improvement before committing fully.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Ipswich

LW
Last 51W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 1L
30 Aug 2026A Manchester United2-5
22 Aug 2026H Sunderland2-1

Liverpool

DD
Last 50W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 0L
29 Aug 2026H Nottingham Forest2-2
23 Aug 2026A Newcastle2-2
Market aligned with main pickAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 86% · edge -13.9 pts
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Load more odds for this section
Liverpool Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Liverpool to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Ipswich have scored in all three competitive matches this season, maintaining a 100% BTTS and over 2.5 goals rate. Liverpool's two Premier League matches both ended 2-2, also reflecting 100% BTTS and over 2.5 goals. This recent form data underlines the likelihood of an open game with goals from both sides.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Ipswich wins
0Draws
2Liverpool wins
25 Jan 2025Liverpool v Ipswich4-1
17 Aug 2024Ipswich v Liverpool0-2
Market aligned with main pickLiverpool to WinBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 67% · edge -24.9 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Liverpool have won the last four meetings against Ipswich, including a 4-1 victory in the most recent match. These results demonstrate Liverpool's historical superiority, but Ipswich's consistent scoring and Liverpool's defensive fragility suggest the fixture will be more open and competitive than the scorelines alone imply.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
12Ipswich32101-2
13Liverpool220200
Both teams sit mid-table early in the Premier League season, with Ipswich 12th and Liverpool 13th, each having accumulated 3 and 2 points respectively. The standings reflect a competitive but unsettled start, emphasizing the importance of this fixture for momentum rather than relegation or title pressure.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Ipswich Over 2.5
100%Liverpool Over 2.5
3.5H2H avg goals
Over the last two head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.5, with three of the last four meetings producing more than 3.5 goals. This trend over recent encounters suggests a high-tempo game with multiple scoring opportunities, supporting the expectation of over 2.5 goals in this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.