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Inter U23 crestInter U23
v
Foggia crestFoggia

Serie C - Girone C | Sun 20 Sep, 14:00

Inter U23 v Foggia Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Inter U23 and Foggia meet in Serie C - Girone C with both sides showing contrasting offensive and defensive profiles. Inter U23 have scored 1.6 goals per game but concede 1.8, while Foggia averages just 0.4 goals scored and concedes 0.8. Inter U23's recent matches have seen a higher frequency of goals, but Foggia's defensive solidity and low scoring rate suggest a tighter contest. Both teams have moderate points totals early in the season, and tactical caution may limit goal-scoring opportunities in this fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Inter U23 concede 1.8 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities but also potential for fewer goals scored overall.
  • Foggia's attack is limited, averaging only 0.4 goals per game, supporting a low-scoring match scenario.
  • Inter U23's matches have a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, but Foggia's rate is 0%, pulling the expected goals total down.
  • Both teams have low BTTS rates, especially Foggia at 20%, suggesting fewer matches with goals at both ends.
  • Model projects a 66% chance for Under 2.5 Goals with positive value at of 1.73, indicating a solid statistical basis for the pick.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 66% probability, reflecting the defensive strengths and low scoring output, especially from Foggia. Inter U23's higher concession rate is balanced by Foggia's limited offensive threat, making a low-scoring game likely. The offer positive value with an 8.2% edge, and no price warnings apply. The data quality is sufficient, with no significant limitations, supporting in this selection.

Model Probability66% chance of Under 2.5 Goals
Strong positive
Foggia Offensive Output0.4 goals per game
Strong positive
Inter U23 Defensive Concession1.8 goals per game conceded
Neutral
Over 2.5 Goals RateInter U23 60%, Foggia 0%
Positive
Value Edge8.2% positive value
Strong positive
Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Under 2.5 Goals rationale

“Foggia's low scoring and solid defense combined with Inter U23's inconsistent attack set the stage for a low-scoring encounter, making Under 2.5 Goals a logical and data-backed choice.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Inter U23 concede 1.8 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities but also potential for fewer goals scored overall.

Foggia's attack is limited, averaging only 0.4 goals per game, supporting a low-scoring match scenario.

Both teams have low BTTS rates, especially Foggia at 20%, suggesting fewer matches with goals at both ends.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last five matches, Inter U23 have a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, but Foggia's matches consistently stay under 2.5 goals.
  • This mixed trend indicates the fixture could lean towards fewer goals due to Foggia's defensive style and Inter U23's inconsistent finishing.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Inter U231.6
Avg goals scored
Foggia0.4
Inter U231.8
Avg goals conceded
Foggia0.8
Inter U2380%
BTTS rate
Foggia20%
Inter U2360%
Over 2.5 goals
Foggia0%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 66% vs implied 58% · edge +8.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 41%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 34%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Goal trends show Inter U23 averaging 1.6 goals scored but conceding 1.8, while Foggia scores only 0.4 and concedes 0.8. BTTS rates are low for Foggia at 20%, suggesting many matches end with one or no team scoring. These patterns support a low total goals outcome with limited likelihood of both teams scoring.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 55% · edge +8.7 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Inter U23 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Inter U23 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Foggia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Foggia to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 34%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
The Under 2.5 Goals market is priced at 1.73 with a of 66%, indicating positive value. The reflect a realistic expectation of a low-scoring game given Foggia's weak attack and Inter U23's defensive concessions. This market is a strong candidate for standard stakes without price sensitivity concerns.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Inter U23

WLLDW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 2L
15 Sep 2026A Crotone2-0
12 Sep 2026H Casertana2-3
07 Sep 2026A AZ Picerno1-4
29 Aug 2026H Team Altamura1-1
23 Aug 2026A Catania2-1

Foggia

DLLDW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 2L
15 Sep 2026H Savoia0-0
12 Sep 2026A SS Monopoli0-1
06 Sep 2026H Audace Cerignola0-2
29 Aug 2026H Salernitana1-1
24 Aug 2026A Crotone1-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 82% vs implied 75% · edge +6.4 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Load more odds for this section
Inter U23 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Inter U23 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Foggia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Foggia to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Recent form data shows Inter U23 with 7 points and a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating some high-scoring matches. Foggia has 5 points and a 0% Over 2.5 rate, reflecting a more defensive approach. This contrast suggests a match leaning towards fewer goals overall, aligning with the Under 2.5 Goals pick.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Inter U23 wins
0Draws
0Foggia wins
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 55% · edge +8.7 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Inter U23 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Foggia to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 34%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
No previous head-to-head matches exist between Inter U23 and Foggia, so historical data offers no direct insight. Tactical approaches and recent form data will be more influential in predicting the low-scoring nature of this encounter.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie C - Girone C

Inter U235
Played
Foggia5
Inter U231.6
Avg goals for
Foggia0.4
Inter U231.8
Avg goals against
Foggia0.8
Inter U231
Clean sheets
Foggia2
Best odds for this sectionInter U23 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 57% · edge +7.5 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Inter U23 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Foggia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Foggia to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Season-long stats reveal Inter U23's attack is moderately productive but offset by defensive frailties, while Foggia's low scoring and better defense create a balanced low-scoring profile. These season trends reinforce the likelihood of a match with fewer than 3 goals.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
13Inter U2375212-1
17Foggia55122-2
Inter U23 sits 9th with 7 points and Foggia 16th with 5 points early in the Serie C - Girone C season. The mid-table positioning and close points suggest both teams may prioritize cautious play to secure points, supporting a low-scoring, tight contest.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Inter U23 Over 2.5
0%Foggia Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Inter U23 have a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, but Foggia's matches consistently stay under 2.5 goals. This mixed trend indicates the fixture could lean towards fewer goals due to Foggia's defensive style and Inter U23's inconsistent finishing.

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Fixture links

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