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Inter Miami crestInter Miami
v
Portland Timbers crestPortland Timbers

Major League Soccer | Sun 17 May, 23:00

Inter Miami v Portland Timbers Stats

Data last updated: Sat 27 Jun 2026, 11:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Inter Miami face Portland Timbers in Major League Soccer on Sun 17 May, 23:00. Inter Miami return to Nu Stadium with momentum surging through the squad and expectation rising with every match. Miami's 14-game unbeaten streak and elite attacking form make them clear favourites against a Portland side with six road losses.

BT4Y best bet

Inter Miami Win

  • At 11/10, Inter Miami Win implies roughly 48%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 60%.
  • However, they have also conceded three or more in those same games.
  • Inter Miami have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 7 for Portland Timbers.
  • Portland Timbers have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Inter Miami Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Inter Miami sit 2 in the table, while Portland Timbers sit 13, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 60% for Inter Miami Win sits against roughly 48% implied by the current price. Inter Miami have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 7 for Portland Timbers. However, they have also conceded three or more in those same games.

Model chance vs price60% model chance against roughly 48% implied
Positive
Inter Miami have the stronger recent points return, taking 10.Visible data support
Positive
Portland Timbers have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
However, they have also conceded three or more in.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Inter Miami Win is the preferred angle because however, they have also conceded three or more in those same games. Inter Miami have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 7 for Portland Timbers. A 2-2 draw against Montreal showed resilience after twice falling behind, but it also reinforced a wider issue.

Main risk

A 2-2 draw against Montreal showed resilience after twice falling behind, but it also reinforced a wider issue.

Key Data Signals

Inter Miami Win evidence

However, they have also conceded three or more in those same games.

Inter Miami have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 7 for Portland Timbers.

Portland Timbers have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Inter Miami Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Inter Miami sit 2 in the table, while Portland Timbers sit 13, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Inter Miami Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Inter Miami6.6
    Avg corners for
    Portland Timbers5
    Inter Miami8.6
    Avg total corners
    Portland Timbers10
    Inter Miami3
    Avg yellow cards
    Portland Timbers1
    Inter Miami18.2
    Avg shots
    Portland Timbers13
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
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    Over 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 47%
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Useful next reads

    Major League Soccer hubfull betting preview for Inter Miami v Portland Timberscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Inter Miami3
    Avg goals scored
    Portland Timbers2
    Inter Miami2
    Avg goals conceded
    Portland Timbers1.4
    Inter Miami80%
    BTTS rate
    Portland Timbers40%
    Inter Miami60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Portland Timbers60%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 25% · edge +20.3 pts
    4
    Check odds @ 4
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    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 73%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 77%
    1.06
    Check odds @ 1.06
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 31%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 41%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickInter Miami to WinBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 77% · edge -16.8 pts
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
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    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 73%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Inter Miami Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 69%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Inter Miami to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Inter Miami

    WWLDW
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 4D 1L
    14 May 2026A FC Cincinnati5-3
    09 May 2026A Toronto FC4-2
    03 May 2026H Orlando City SC3-4
    26 Apr 2026H New England Revolution1-1
    23 Apr 2026A Real Salt Lake2-0

    Portland Timbers

    DWLWL
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 2D 5L
    14 May 2026A CF Montreal2-2
    10 May 2026H Sporting Kansas City6-0
    02 May 2026A Real Salt Lake0-2
    26 Apr 2026A San Diego2-1
    19 Apr 2026A Minnesota United FC0-2
    Market aligned with main pickInter Miami to WinBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 77% · edge -16.8 pts
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 85%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Inter Miami Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 69%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1Inter Miami wins
    0Draws
    1Portland Timbers wins
    29 May 2022Inter Miami v Portland Timbers2-1
    03 Oct 2021Portland Timbers v Inter Miami1-0
    Market aligned with main pickInter Miami to WinBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 77% · edge -16.8 pts
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 73%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Inter Miami to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Major League Soccer

    Inter Miami15
    Played
    Portland Timbers14
    Inter Miami2.6
    Avg goals for
    Portland Timbers1.6
    Inter Miami1.9
    Avg goals against
    Portland Timbers2
    Inter Miami3
    Clean sheets
    Portland Timbers1
    Market aligned with main pickInter Miami to WinBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 77% · edge -16.8 pts
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Load more odds for this section
    Inter Miami Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 69%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Season data supports Inter Miami to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    13Portland Timbers1414428-6
    2Inter Miami311594211
    Inter Miami sit in position 2, while Portland Timbers sit in position 13, so table pressure belongs in the Inter Miami Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Inter Miami Over 2.5
    60%Portland Timbers Over 2.5
    2H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Inter Miami sit at 60% and Portland Timbers sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Inter Miami v Portland Timbers prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Major League Soccer hubMajor League Soccer hubfull betting preview for Inter Miami v Portland Timberscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboard

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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