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Arsenal crestArsenal
v
Manchester City crestManchester City

Premier League | Sun 29 Nov, 16:30

Arsenal v Manchester City Stats

Data last updated: Mon 05 Oct 2026, 09:03 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Arsenal face Manchester City in Premier League on Sun 29 Nov, 16:30. The Premier League champions have won only one of their four official summer friendlies, while City enter Enzo Maresca’s first competitive match unbeaten in 90 minutes during pre-season.

BT4Y match pick

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 13/20, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 61%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 60%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
  • Arsenal show a 20% BTTS rate and Manchester City show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Arsenal average 1.6 goals scored and Manchester City average 2.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 60% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 61% implied by the current price. Arsenal show a 20% BTTS rate and Manchester City show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price60% model chance against roughly 61% implied
Neutral
Arsenal show a 20% BTTS rate and Manchester City show.Visible data support
Positive
Arsenal average 1.6 goals scored and Manchester City average 2.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Arsenal show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Manchester City show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Arsenal and Manchester City both show scoring ability but defensive gaps suggest an open contest.

Main risk

Arsenal and Manchester City both show scoring ability but defensive gaps suggest an open contest.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Arsenal show a 20% BTTS rate and Manchester City show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Arsenal average 1.6 goals scored and Manchester City average 2.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Arsenal1.6
Avg goals scored
Manchester City2.6
Arsenal0.8
Avg goals conceded
Manchester City1
Arsenal20%
BTTS rate
Manchester City60%
Arsenal60%
Over 2.5 goals
Manchester City60%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Arsenal

LWWWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 0D 1L
19 Sep 2026A Brighton0-3
12 Sep 2026A Sunderland2-0
06 Sep 2026H Chelsea2-1
31 Aug 2026A Aston Villa1-0
21 Aug 2026H Coventry3-0

Manchester City

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 0D 0L
20 Sep 2026H Sunderland5-3
13 Sep 2026A Manchester United1-0
05 Sep 2026H Coventry1-0
28 Aug 2026A Crystal Palace4-1
23 Aug 2026H Bournemouth2-1

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Arsenal Over 2.5
60%Manchester City Over 2.5
2.8H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Arsenal sit at 60% and Manchester City sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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