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Borussia Dortmund crestBorussia Dortmund
v
Bayer Leverkusen crestBayer Leverkusen

Bundesliga | Sun 29 Nov, 18:30

Borussia Dortmund v Bayer Leverkusen Stats

Data last updated: Thu 29 Oct 2026, 20:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Borussia Dortmund face Bayer Leverkusen in Bundesliga on Sun 29 Nov, 18:30. Dortmund come into this match in blistering form with four consecutive league victories. Borussia Dortmund come into it chasing a fifth straight Bundesliga win. Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen: who takes control in this high-stakes Bundesliga duel?

BT4Y match pick

Kicks and long shots means they can score against the run of play, potentially turning a tight lead into a draw

  • At 10/11, Kicks and long shots means they can score against the run of play, potentially turning a tight lead into a draw implies roughly 52%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 50%.
  • Their home record at Signal Iduna Park is formidable, winning five of their last six.
  • Borussia Dortmund have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 10 for Bayer Leverkusen.
  • Borussia Dortmund have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the Kicks and long shots means they can score against the run of play, potentially turning a tight lead into.
  • Borussia Dortmund sit 2 in the table, while Bayer Leverkusen sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 50% for Kicks and long shots means they can score against the run of play, potentially turning a tight lead into a draw sits against roughly 52% implied by the current price. Borussia Dortmund have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 10 for Bayer Leverkusen. Their home record at Signal Iduna Park is formidable, winning five of their last six.

Model chance vs price50% model chance against roughly 52% implied
Neutral
Borussia Dortmund have the stronger recent points return, taking 11.Visible data support
Positive
Borussia Dortmund have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Their home record at Signal Iduna Park is formidable.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Borussia Dortmund Win is the preferred angle because their home record at Signal Iduna Park is formidable, winning five of their last six. Borussia Dortmund have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 10 for Bayer Leverkusen. Both sides possess clinical attacking units but remain defensively vulnerable.

Main risk

Both sides possess clinical attacking units but remain defensively vulnerable.

Key Data Signals

Kicks and long shots means they can score against the run of play, potentially turning a tight lead into a draw evidence

Their home record at Signal Iduna Park is formidable, winning five of their last six.

Borussia Dortmund have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 10 for Bayer Leverkusen.

Borussia Dortmund have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the Borussia Dortmund Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Borussia Dortmund sit 2 in the table, while Bayer Leverkusen sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Kicks and long shots means they can score against the run of play, potentially turning a tight lead into a draw notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Borussia Dortmund1.4
    Avg goals scored
    Bayer Leverkusen2
    Borussia Dortmund0.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Bayer Leverkusen1.8
    Borussia Dortmund20%
    BTTS rate
    Bayer Leverkusen60%
    Borussia Dortmund40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Bayer Leverkusen80%

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Borussia Dortmund

    WDDWW
    Last 53W 2D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 2D 0L
    24 Oct 2026H Eintracht Frankfurt1-0
    17 Oct 2026A Union Berlin0-0
    09 Oct 2026H Werder Bremen2-2
    19 Sep 2026A VfB Stuttgart1-0
    12 Sep 2026H SC Paderborn 073-0

    Bayer Leverkusen

    LWWWD
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 1D 2L
    25 Oct 2026A 1899 Hoffenheim0-3
    18 Oct 2026H SC Freiburg2-1
    10 Oct 2026A FSV Mainz 054-3
    20 Sep 2026H RB Leipzig2-0
    12 Sep 2026A FC Augsburg2-2

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Borussia Dortmund Over 2.5
    80%Bayer Leverkusen Over 2.5
    3H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Borussia Dortmund sit at 40% and Bayer Leverkusen sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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