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Indonesia crestIndonesia
v
Mozambique crestMozambique

Friendlies | Tue 09 Jun, 14:00

Indonesia v Mozambique Stats

Data last updated: Thu 02 Jul 2026, 18:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Indonesia face Mozambique in Friendlies on Tue 09 Jun, 14:00. Since Mozambique have conceded 13 goals recently, Indonesia hold the quality to break them down multiple times without over-extending themselves in a non-competitive fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Indonesia to Win & Under 3

  • At 11/5, Indonesia Win implies roughly 31%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 74%.
  • Match Volume: Goals Scored and Conceded Over Last 5 Fixtures
  • Indonesia have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Mozambique.
  • Indonesia have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Indonesia Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 74% for Indonesia Win sits against roughly 31% implied by the current price. Indonesia have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Mozambique. Match Volume: Goals Scored and Conceded Over Last 5 Fixtures

Model chance vs price74% model chance against roughly 31% implied
Strong positive
Indonesia have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points.Visible data support
Positive
Indonesia have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Match Volume: Goals Scored and Conceded Over Last 5.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Indonesia Win is the preferred angle because match Volume: Goals Scored and Conceded Over Last 5 Fixtures Indonesia have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Mozambique. Friendly football can sometimes become loose, strange and experimental, but Indonesia have still built a pattern of matches where they rarely give opponents easy access to goal.

Main risk

Friendly football can sometimes become loose, strange and experimental, but Indonesia have still built a pattern of matches where they rarely give opponents easy access to goal.

Key Data Signals

Indonesia Win evidence

Match Volume: Goals Scored and Conceded Over Last 5 Fixtures

Indonesia have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Mozambique.

Indonesia have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Indonesia Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Indonesia Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Indonesia3
    Avg goals scored
    Mozambique1
    Indonesia0
    Avg goals conceded
    Mozambique4
    Indonesia0%
    BTTS rate
    Mozambique100%
    Indonesia100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Mozambique100%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 59% · edge +19.2 pts
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickIndonesia to WinBetUK guide price · Model 74% vs implied 75% · edge -1.2 pts
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Indonesia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Indonesia to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Indonesia

    W
    Last 51W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 0L
    05 Jun 2026H Oman3-0

    Mozambique

    L
    Last 50W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 1L
    07 Jun 2026A Oman1-4
    Market aligned with main pickIndonesia to WinBetUK guide price · Model 74% vs implied 75% · edge -1.2 pts
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
    1.08
    Check odds @ 1.08
    Indonesia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Indonesia wins
    0Draws
    0Mozambique wins
    Market aligned with main pickIndonesia to WinBetUK guide price · Model 74% vs implied 75% · edge -1.2 pts
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Indonesia to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Friendlies

    Indonesia2
    Played
    Mozambique2
    Indonesia2
    Avg goals for
    Mozambique0.5
    Indonesia0
    Avg goals against
    Mozambique2.5
    Indonesia2
    Clean sheets
    Mozambique0
    Market aligned with main pickIndonesia to WinBetUK guide price · Model 74% vs implied 75% · edge -1.2 pts
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Load more odds for this section
    Indonesia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Season data supports Indonesia to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Indonesia Over 2.5
    100%Mozambique Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Indonesia sit at 100% and Mozambique sit at 100%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Indonesia v Mozambique prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    Read full prediction View match centre