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Indonesia crestIndonesia
v
Mozambique crestMozambique

Friendlies | Tue 09 Jun, 14:00

Indonesia v Mozambique Stats

Data last updated: Mon 08 Jun 2026, 03:57 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This friendly match between Indonesia and Mozambique presents an intriguing offensive contest as both teams have shown tendencies toward high-scoring games recently. Indonesia arrives with a perfect record of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, scoring three goals without conceding in their latest outing, while Mozambique also has a 100% rate of games going over 2.5 goals despite defensive vulnerabilities. The fixture offers a platform for open play and attacking expression, with both sides likely to test each other's defensive organization in a match that could see multiple goal-scoring opportunities.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Indonesia has a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.
  • Mozambique also features a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate despite conceding more goals.
  • Indonesia scored 3 goals and conceded none in their last game, showing attacking efficiency.
  • Mozambique's recent matches have seen 4 goals conceded, indicating defensive frailty.
  • No previous head-to-head data, increasing unpredictability and potential for open play.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a strong chance of Over 2.5 Goals with a 78% probability, supported by both teams' recent matches consistently exceeding this threshold. Indonesia's attacking players, notably O. Romeny with high shot and shot-on-target rates, underpin the offensive threat, while Mozambique's defensive record suggests vulnerability to conceding multiple goals. The combination of attacking intent and defensive gaps creates a favorable environment for a high-scoring match. Data quality is solid for both teams, reinforcing in this projection.

Recent Over 2.5 Goals Rate100% for both teams in last matches
Strong positive
Indonesia Offensive Output3 goals scored, 0 conceded last match
Strong positive
Mozambique Defensive Record4 goals conceded recently
Positive
Player Attacking ProfilesO. Romeny averages 2.16 shots and 1.51 SOT per 90
Positive
Head-to-Head DataNo prior meetings, adding unpredictability
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as Indonesia's efficient offense meets Mozambique's defensive vulnerabilities. Indonesia's recent clean sheet and goal-scoring form combined with Mozambique's tendency to concede multiple goals suggest a lively match with several scoring chances, making Over 2.5 Goals a tactically and statistically sound selection.

Main risk

The main risk lies in the unpredictable nature of friendlies where teams may experiment with line-ups and tactics, potentially affecting the usual attacking intensity and defensive solidity.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · attacking threat and defensive weakness

“Indonesia's attacking players, especially O. Romeny, bring a sharp edge that Mozambique's defense has struggled to contain in recent matches, setting the stage for a high-scoring encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Indonesia has a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.

Mozambique also features a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate despite conceding more goals.

Indonesia scored 3 goals and conceded none in their last game, showing attacking efficiency.

Mozambique's recent matches have seen 4 goals conceded, indicating defensive frailty.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Recent matches for both teams consistently exceed 2.5 goals, with Indonesia's last five games all surpassing this mark.
  • This trend suggests a fast tempo and open play style conducive to multiple goal-scoring opportunities in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Indonesia3
Avg goals scored
Mozambique1
Indonesia0
Avg goals conceded
Mozambique4
Indonesia0%
BTTS rate
Mozambique100%
Indonesia100%
Over 2.5 goals
Mozambique100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 59% · edge +19.2 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Despite Mozambique's 100% BTTS rate, Indonesia has kept clean sheets recently, indicating a controlled goal environment where one team may dominate scoring. This suggests goals will come primarily from Indonesia, aligning with a BTTS No scenario and supporting a focus on total goals rather than both teams scoring.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 59% · edge +19.2 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Mozambique Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
4.8
Check odds @ 4.8
Indonesia to WinBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Indonesia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Mozambique to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
7
Check odds @ 7
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The Over 2.5 Goals market is supported by a strong of 78%, reflecting both teams' recent high-scoring matches. While no are currently available to assess value, the consistent offensive output and defensive lapses suggest this market is a solid football-based choice rather than a speculative one.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Indonesia

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
05 Jun 2026H Oman3-0

Mozambique

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
07 Jun 2026A Oman1-4
Best odds for this sectionMozambique Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 42% vs implied 21% · edge +21.2 pts
4.8
Check odds @ 4.8
Load more odds for this section
Indonesia to WinBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.83
Check odds @ 2.83
Indonesia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Mozambique to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
7
Check odds @ 7
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Indonesia's recent form shows a perfect record of matches going over 2.5 goals, scoring three and conceding none, highlighting attacking efficiency and defensive solidity. Mozambique also has a 100% rate of Over 2.5 Goals matches but concedes more goals, indicating defensive weaknesses that could be exploited in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Indonesia wins
0Draws
0Mozambique wins
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 59% · edge +19.2 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Indonesia to WinBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Mozambique to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
7
Check odds @ 7
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
No previous meetings between Indonesia and Mozambique exist, limiting historical insight. This absence increases the importance of current form and player quality in predicting a high-scoring match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies

Indonesia1
Played
Mozambique1
Indonesia3
Avg goals for
Mozambique1
Indonesia0
Avg goals against
Mozambique4
Indonesia1
Clean sheets
Mozambique0
Best odds for this sectionMozambique Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 42% vs implied 21% · edge +21.2 pts
4.8
Check odds @ 4.8
Load more odds for this section
Indonesia to WinBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Indonesia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Mozambique to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
7
Check odds @ 7
Season-long data reflects Indonesia's ability to score and maintain clean sheets, supporting a high-goal environment with controlled defense. Mozambique's season stats reveal a tendency to concede multiple goals, reinforcing the likelihood of a match exceeding 2.5 goals due to defensive vulnerabilities.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Indonesia Over 2.5
100%Mozambique Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Recent matches for both teams consistently exceed 2.5 goals, with Indonesia's last five games all surpassing this mark. This trend suggests a fast tempo and open play style conducive to multiple goal-scoring opportunities in this fixture.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Indonesia v Mozambique prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Betting context

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