Football Stats Hub

Independ. Rivadavia crestIndepend. Rivadavia
v
Huracan crestHuracan

Liga Profesional Argentina | Thu 30 Jul, 23:00

Independ. Rivadavia v Huracan Stats

Data last updated: Fri 31 Jul 2026, 07:03 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Rivadavia and Huracan meet in a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture where both teams have shown competitive intensity and tactical discipline. Rivadavia ranks 10th with a solid defensive record, while Huracan sits 4th, known for a slightly more aggressive approach. Recent form data indicates a moderately physical style from both sides, with Huracan averaging more fouls and cards per match. This clash promises a tightly fought contest with potential for disciplinary actions given the stakes and playing styles, setting the stage for a match where card accumulation is a realistic outcome.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Cards

  • Huracan averages 3 yellow cards per game, indicating a physical defensive style.
  • Rivadavia also shows a moderate card count, averaging 1.8 yellows per match.
  • Both teams engage in competitive duels, increasing the likelihood of cautions.
  • Player data highlights several individuals with high foul and card risk, especially on Huracan.
  • Recent matches suggest a contested tempo that often leads to multiple cards.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 69.2% chance of over 3.5 cards, reflecting the physical nature of both teams and their recent disciplinary records. Huracan's higher foul and card averages combined with Independ. Rivadavia's competitive defensive approach create conditions conducive to multiple cautions. Player-level data, including C. Ibáñez's card risk and L. Gil's fouls won, further support this scenario. The match tempo and tactical intensity forecast a contest where referees are likely to issue several cards, making over 3.5 cards a statistically supported selection.

Model chance69.2%
Strong positive
Huracan average yellows3 per game
Strong positive
Independ. Rivadavia average yellows1.8 per game
Positive
Key player card risk (C. Ibáñez)9 yellows, 2.24 fouls/90
Strong positive
Match tempo and physicalityHigh competitive intensity
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

This fixture features two sides with contrasting but assertive defensive styles, leading to a high likelihood of disciplinary actions. Huracan's aggressive fouling pattern combined with Independ. Rivadavia's competitive duels suggests the match will see multiple cautions. The data supports over 3.5 cards as a realistic outcome, reflecting the physical nature and tactical demands of this Liga Profesional Argentina encounter.

Main risk

The card line needs match pressure and repeated duels; a controlled game state would weaken the booking angle.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · cards market

“The combination of Huracan's aggressive defense and Independ. Rivadavia's competitive midfield battles sets a clear stage for a match with several cautions. Expect referees to be busy managing fouls and tactical fouling, making over 3.5 cards a compelling angle.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Cards evidence

Huracan averages 3 yellow cards per game, indicating a physical defensive style.

Rivadavia also shows a moderate card count, averaging 1.8 yellows per match.

Both teams engage in competitive duels, increasing the likelihood of cautions.

Player data highlights several individuals with high foul and card risk, especially on Huracan.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Cards notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals stand at 2.2, indicating moderately open games but not excessively high scoring.
  • Both teams have a 40% rate of over 2.5 goals in recent matches, suggesting a balanced tempo.
  • This trend points to a match where defensive gaps and transitions may lead to fouls and cards as teams contest possession and space, supporting the likelihood of multiple cautions.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Independ. Rivadavia1.4
Avg goals scored
Huracan1
Independ. Rivadavia0.8
Avg goals conceded
Huracan1
Independ. Rivadavia60%
BTTS rate
Huracan40%
Independ. Rivadavia40%
Over 2.5 goals
Huracan40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +14.7 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 62%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Goal scoring appears controlled with both teams averaging around one goal per game and a 40% over 2.5 goals rate. BTTS rates are moderate, with Independ. Rivadavia at 60% and Huracan at 40%, indicating a balanced but not overly open game. This suggests the match may be tactically cautious, focusing more on defensive solidity than open attacking, which can contribute to fouls and cards rather than high goal counts.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Independ. Rivadavia

DLDWD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
26 Jul 2026A Atletico Tucuman0-0
10 May 2026H Union Santa Fe1-2
03 May 2026A Aldosivi1-1
26 Apr 2026H Gimnasia M.5-1
20 Apr 2026A Banfield0-0

Huracan

WLWDL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
25 Jul 2026H Banfield1-0
13 May 2026A Argentinos JRS0-1
09 May 2026A Boca Juniors3-2
03 May 2026A Racing Club0-0
28 Apr 2026H Argentinos JRS1-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 60% · edge +11.2 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Huracan to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Huracan Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Independ. Rivadavia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Independ. Rivadavia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
DrawBetUK guide price · model 30%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Recent form data shows Huracan accumulating 7 points with an average of 3 yellow cards per game, while Independ. Rivadavia has 6 points and 1.8 yellows per match. Both teams have a 40% rate of over 2.5 goals, indicating moderate game openness. The consistent card accumulation in recent matches reflects ongoing physicality and tactical fouling, reinforcing the expectation of over 3.5 cards in this fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Independ. Rivadavia3416104214
7Huracan22165744
4Independ. Rivadavia421101
8Huracan321010
Huracan's 4th place standing reflects a competitive team likely to maintain intensity and tactical aggression to secure points. Rivadavia's 10th place shows a mid-table side capable of physical challenges to disrupt opponents. While the table positions do not directly dictate card counts, the competitive stakes for both teams support a match where intensity and fouling are expected to be prominent.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Huracan to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Huracan Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Independ. Rivadavia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Independ. Rivadavia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
The over 3.5 cards market aligns well with the model's 69.2% probability, indicating a strong likelihood of multiple cautions. Although no direct are provided, the statistical backing and team foul profiles suggest this market is a solid choice rather than a price-sensitive watch. The physical playing styles and disciplinary records justify in this selection.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Independ. Rivadavia6.4
Avg corners for
Huracan2.4
Independ. Rivadavia10.8
Avg total corners
Huracan10.2
Independ. Rivadavia1.8
Avg yellow cards
Huracan3.4
Independ. Rivadavia15.6
Avg shots
Huracan11.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Over 5.5 CardsBetMGM guide price
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Rivadavia averages 6.4 corners and 15.6 shots per game, showing moderate attacking pressure, while Huracan has fewer corners (2.33) but a decent shot count (12.33). Huracan's higher average yellows (3 per game) and Independ. Rivadavia's 1.8 yellows reflect a physical contest. The combination of sustained pressure, fouling, and set-piece opportunities supports a scenario with multiple cards issued.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Independ. Rivadavia wins
3Draws
5Huracan wins
27 Jan 2026Huracan v Independ. Rivadavia1-2
28 Sep 2025Independ. Rivadavia v Huracan0-0
16 Mar 2025Huracan v Independ. Rivadavia2-0
15 Jun 2024Huracan v Independ. Rivadavia1-0
04 Feb 2024Independ. Rivadavia v Huracan2-0
08 Dec 2014Huracan v Independ. Rivadavia4-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +14.7 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Huracan to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Independ. Rivadavia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
DrawBetUK guide price · model 30%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
The head-to-head sample of ten matches shows an average of 2.2 goals per game, indicating moderately competitive encounters. While goal trends are balanced, the physical nature of past meetings suggests a pattern of contested duels and tactical fouling. This background supports the expectation of a match with several cards, aligning with the over 3.5 cards selection.
Season team stats

Liga Profesional Argentina

Independ. Rivadavia19
Played
Huracan20
Independ. Rivadavia1.7
Avg goals for
Huracan1.1
Independ. Rivadavia0.9
Avg goals against
Huracan0.9
Independ. Rivadavia5
Clean sheets
Huracan8
Best odds for this sectionHuracan to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 41% vs implied 27% · edge +14.5 pts
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Load more odds for this section
Huracan Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Independ. Rivadavia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Independ. Rivadavia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Season-long statistics reveal Huracan's aggressive defensive approach with an average of 3 yellow cards per game, the highest among the two. Rivadavia's 1.8 yellows per match also contribute to a moderately high card count. These figures, combined with average goals conceded below 1.0 for both teams, suggest a disciplined but physical defensive style prone to cautions rather than open goal-fests.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Independ. Rivadavia Over 2.5
40%Huracan Over 2.5
2.2H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals stand at 2.2, indicating moderately open games but not excessively high scoring. Both teams have a 40% rate of over 2.5 goals in recent matches, suggesting a balanced tempo. This trend points to a match where defensive gaps and transitions may lead to fouls and cards as teams contest possession and space, supporting the likelihood of multiple cautions.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

More stats pages

Talleres Cordoba v Velez SarsfieldLiga Profesional Argentina · Thu 30 Jul 23:00Independiente v Newells Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina · Fri 31 Jul 01:15Central Cordoba de Santiago v Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina · Fri 31 Jul 01:15Gimnasia M. v Union Santa FeLiga Profesional Argentina · Sat 01 Aug 19:30

Competition and hubs

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre