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Liga Profesional Argentina | Thu 30 Jul, 23:00

Talleres Cordoba v Velez Sarsfield Stats

Data last updated: Wed 29 Jul 2026, 03:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Talleres Cordoba and Velez Sarsfield meet in an Argentine Liga Profesional clash where both teams have shown a tendency for physical and competitive matches. Velez Sarsfield sits higher in the standings and has slightly better recent form, but both sides have low scoring rates and moderate attacking output. The tactical setup suggests a tight contest with potential for fouls and disciplinary actions as both teams seek to assert control. This match's intensity and defensive duels set the stage for a game with multiple card incidents, reflecting the competitive nature of the fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Cards

  • Both teams average around 2.8 yellow cards combined per match, indicating a physical style of play.
  • Talleres Cordoba averages 3 yellow cards per game, while Velez Sarsfield averages 2.6, supporting a high card count.
  • Recent form shows low scoring but persistent fouling and defensive pressure from both sides.
  • Player data highlights several individuals with high card risk, including R. Gómez for Talleres Cordoba.
  • The model estimates a 74.4% chance for over 3.5 cards, reflecting strong statistical support for this market.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 74.4% probability for over 3.5 cards based on the teams' disciplinary records and playing styles. Talleres Cordoba and Velez Sarsfield both average around 2.8 yellow cards per match combined, with individual players like R. Gómez showing high card risk. The match context of a competitive Argentine Liga Profesional fixture with tactical intensity and defensive duels further supports the likelihood of multiple cautions. No price warning is necessary as the market aligns well with the model's level.

Team Average Yellow Cards~2.8 combined per match
Strong positive
Individual Player Card RiskHigh for R. Riquelme, M. Gómez
Positive
Match Intensity and Tactical ContextCompetitive, physical Argentine league match
Strong positive
Model Probability74.4% chance for Over 3.5 Cards
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a physically contested match with both Talleres Cordoba and Velez Sarsfield engaging in tactical fouling and defensive pressure. The data shows consistent card accumulation from key players and teams, making over 3.5 cards a sensible choice. The combination of competitive stakes and player disciplinary profiles supports this bet as a likely outcome.

Main risk

The card line needs match pressure and repeated duels; a controlled game state would weaken the booking angle.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · cards market

“This fixture features players with notable card risk and a tactical setup that encourages physical challenges, making over 3.5 cards a compelling market to watch.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Cards evidence

Both teams average around 2.8 yellow cards combined per match, indicating a physical style of play.

Talleres Cordoba averages 3 yellow cards per game, while Velez Sarsfield averages 2.6, supporting a high card count.

Recent form shows low scoring but persistent fouling and defensive pressure from both sides.

Player data highlights several individuals with high card risk, including R. Gómez for Talleres Cordoba.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Cards notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.3, indicating moderate scoring but not high tempo.
  • This suggests a match where defensive duels and fouling are more prominent, aligning with the expectation of multiple cards rather than high goal totals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Talleres Cordoba0.6
Avg goals scored
Velez Sarsfield0.8
Talleres Cordoba0.6
Avg goals conceded
Velez Sarsfield0.8
Talleres Cordoba20%
BTTS rate
Velez Sarsfield40%
Talleres Cordoba0%
Over 2.5 goals
Velez Sarsfield20%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 69% · edge -3.4 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Both teams have low scoring rates and a low BTTS rate, indicating a controlled game with few goals. This defensive approach often leads to increased fouling and tactical fouls, which can result in more cards rather than goals.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Talleres Cordoba

LLDDW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
25 Jul 2026A Newells Old Boys0-1
09 May 2026H Belgrano Cordoba0-1
02 May 2026A Union Santa Fe1-1
25 Apr 2026A Estudiantes L.P.0-0
20 Apr 2026H Deportivo Riestra2-0

Velez Sarsfield

WLDDD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
24 Jul 2026H Instituto Cordoba1-0
11 May 2026H Gimnasia L.P.0-1
04 May 2026H Newells Old Boys1-1
27 Apr 2026H Union Santa Fe2-2
20 Apr 2026A San Lorenzo0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 65% · edge +8.8 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Velez Sarsfield to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Velez Sarsfield Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Talleres Cordoba to WinBetfred guide price · model 38%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Talleres Cordoba Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Recent matches for both teams show consistent accumulation of yellow cards, with Talleres Cordoba averaging 3 and Velez Sarsfield 2.6 per game. This trend supports the expectation of over 3.5 cards in this fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Velez Sarsfield28167726
4Talleres Cordoba26167544
5Velez Sarsfield311001
12Talleres Cordoba01001-1
While Velez Sarsfield ranks higher than Talleres Cordoba, the standings have limited impact on card accumulation. The competitive nature of the league and the teams’ styles are more influential factors for the cards market.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionVelez Sarsfield to WinBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
Velez Sarsfield Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Talleres Cordoba to WinBetfred guide price · model 38%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Talleres Cordoba Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
The over 3.5 cards market is supported by a of 74.4%, indicating a strong likelihood of multiple cautions. The pricing appears aligned with this probability, suggesting a balanced market without significant but a solid football rationale for the bet.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Talleres Cordoba4.4
Avg corners for
Velez Sarsfield5.6
Talleres Cordoba10.6
Avg total corners
Velez Sarsfield9.2
Talleres Cordoba3
Avg yellow cards
Velez Sarsfield2.6
Talleres Cordoba13
Avg shots
Velez Sarsfield14
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 58% · edge +1.8 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Both teams generate moderate shot and corner volumes but show a higher propensity for fouls and disciplinary actions. Talleres Cordoba averages 3 yellow cards per game, and Velez Sarsfield 2.6, reflecting a physical style that drives the cards market.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Talleres Cordoba wins
1Draws
7Velez Sarsfield wins
27 Jan 2026Velez Sarsfield v Talleres Cordoba2-1
01 Nov 2025Velez Sarsfield v Talleres Cordoba0-1
18 Apr 2025Talleres Cordoba v Velez Sarsfield0-1
22 Jul 2024Velez Sarsfield v Talleres Cordoba3-0
30 Mar 2024Talleres Cordoba v Velez Sarsfield1-0
05 Nov 2023Velez Sarsfield v Talleres Cordoba1-1
Best odds for this sectionVelez Sarsfield to WinBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Talleres Cordoba to WinBetfred guide price · model 38%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
The head-to-head sample of ten matches shows a moderate goal average but does not strongly influence card expectations. The disciplinary trends and player card risks provide a more direct rationale for the over 3.5 cards market in this fixture.
Season team stats

Liga Profesional Argentina

Talleres Cordoba18
Played
Velez Sarsfield18
Talleres Cordoba0.9
Avg goals for
Velez Sarsfield1.1
Talleres Cordoba0.8
Avg goals against
Velez Sarsfield0.7
Talleres Cordoba6
Clean sheets
Velez Sarsfield8
Best odds for this sectionVelez Sarsfield to WinBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
Velez Sarsfield Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Talleres Cordoba to WinBetfred guide price · model 38%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Talleres Cordoba Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Season-long disciplinary stats reveal that both teams maintain a steady rate of fouls and cards, reinforcing the model’s in a high-card match. The defensive intensity and tactical fouling patterns are persistent across the campaign.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Talleres Cordoba Over 2.5
20%Velez Sarsfield Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.3, indicating moderate scoring but not high tempo. This suggests a match where defensive duels and fouling are more prominent, aligning with the expectation of multiple cards rather than high goal totals.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.