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IF Elfsborg crestIF Elfsborg
v
Kalmar FF crestKalmar FF

Allsvenskan | Sun 13 Sep, 13:00

IF Elfsborg v Kalmar FF Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

IF Elfsborg face Kalmar FF in Allsvenskan on Sun 13 Sep, 13:00. IF Elfsborg come in with 10 recent points and 1.6 goals per match, while Kalmar FF have 1 points and 0.4 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

IF Elfsborg to Win

  • At 1.83, IF Elfsborg to Win implies roughly 55%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 70%.
  • IF Elfsborg have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 1 for Kalmar FF.
  • IF Elfsborg have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the IF Elfsborg to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • IF Elfsborg sit 6 in the table, while Kalmar FF sit 13, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 70% for IF Elfsborg to Win sits against roughly 55% implied by the current price. IF Elfsborg have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 1 for Kalmar FF.

Model chance vs price70% model chance against roughly 55% implied
Strong positive
IF Elfsborg have the stronger recent points return, taking 10.Visible data support
Positive
IF Elfsborg have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: IF Elfsborg Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers IF Elfsborg have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 1 for Kalmar FF. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

IF Elfsborg to Win evidence

IF Elfsborg have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 1 for Kalmar FF.

IF Elfsborg have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the IF Elfsborg Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

IF Elfsborg sit 6 in the table, while Kalmar FF sit 13, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

IF Elfsborg to Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    IF Elfsborg5.2
    Avg corners for
    Kalmar FF3.6
    IF Elfsborg9.8
    Avg total corners
    Kalmar FF11.8
    IF Elfsborg1.2
    Avg yellow cards
    Kalmar FF1
    IF Elfsborg14.4
    Avg shots
    Kalmar FF11.2
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 62% vs implied 55% · edge +6.9 pts
    1.82
    Check odds @ 1.82
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    IF Elfsborg1.6
    Avg goals scored
    Kalmar FF0.4
    IF Elfsborg0.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Kalmar FF1.8
    IF Elfsborg40%
    BTTS rate
    Kalmar FF20%
    IF Elfsborg40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Kalmar FF40%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 50% · edge +4 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 54%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 72%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 36%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    BTTS No is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: IF Elfsborg concede 0.6 on average and Kalmar FF score 0.4, so the clean-sheet route has a data base.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickIF Elfsborg to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Load more odds for this section
    IF Elfsborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 54%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    IF Elfsborg to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    IF Elfsborg

    LWDWW
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 2D 4L
    06 Sep 2026A IF Brommapojkarna1-2
    29 Aug 2026H Degerfors IF2-0
    23 Aug 2026A IFK Goteborg1-1
    14 Aug 2026H Vasteras SK FK3-0
    08 Aug 2026A Mjallby AIF1-0

    Kalmar FF

    LLDLL
    Last 50W 1D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 3D 5L
    07 Sep 2026H Djurgardens IF0-1
    29 Aug 2026A Halmstad0-1
    23 Aug 2026A Vasteras SK FK0-0
    16 Aug 2026H Hammarby FF0-4
    09 Aug 2026A IFK Goteborg2-3
    Market aligned with main pickIF Elfsborg to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Load more odds for this section
    IF Elfsborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    4IF Elfsborg wins
    1Draws
    5Kalmar FF wins
    27 Apr 2026Kalmar FF v IF Elfsborg2-1
    29 Sep 2024Kalmar FF v IF Elfsborg1-3
    22 Apr 2024IF Elfsborg v Kalmar FF1-2
    17 Sep 2023IF Elfsborg v Kalmar FF0-3
    09 Jul 2023Kalmar FF v IF Elfsborg0-4
    09 Oct 2022IF Elfsborg v Kalmar FF0-2
    Market aligned with main pickIF Elfsborg to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 54%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    The head-to-head sample gives context for IF Elfsborg to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Allsvenskan

    IF Elfsborg20
    Played
    Kalmar FF20
    IF Elfsborg1.4
    Avg goals for
    Kalmar FF1.1
    IF Elfsborg1.1
    Avg goals against
    Kalmar FF1.5
    IF Elfsborg6
    Clean sheets
    Kalmar FF3
    Market aligned with main pickIF Elfsborg to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Load more odds for this section
    IF Elfsborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Season data supports IF Elfsborg to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    6IF Elfsborg31208757
    13Kalmar FF19205411-9
    IF Elfsborg sit in position 6, while Kalmar FF sit in position 13, so table pressure belongs in the IF Elfsborg to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%IF Elfsborg Over 2.5
    40%Kalmar FF Over 2.5
    3.1H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: IF Elfsborg sit at 40% and Kalmar FF sit at 40% with the H2H average at 3.1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    Betting context

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