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HNK Gorica crestHNK Gorica
v
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi crestEpitsentr Dunayivtsi

Friendlies Clubs | Thu 16 Jul, 16:00

HNK Gorica v Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Stats

Data last updated: Thu 16 Jul 2026, 13:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

HNK Gorica face Epitsentr Dunayivtsi in Friendlies Clubs on Thu 16 Jul, 16:00. HNK Gorica come in with 12 recent points and 2 goals per match, while Epitsentr Dunayivtsi have 9 points and 2.4 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 2.42, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 41%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 48%.
  • Epitsentr Dunayivtsi are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.4 goals per match, with HNK Gorica at 2.
  • BTTS rates of 40% for HNK Gorica and 60% for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 48% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 41% implied by the current price. Epitsentr Dunayivtsi are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.4 goals per match, with HNK Gorica at 2.

Model chance vs price48% model chance against roughly 41% implied
Positive
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive
BTTS rates of 40% for HNK Gorica and 60%.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Epitsentr Dunayivtsi are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.4 goals per match, with HNK Gorica at 2. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.4 goals per match, with HNK Gorica at 2.

BTTS rates of 40% for HNK Gorica and 60% for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

HNK Gorica2
Avg goals scored
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi2.4
HNK Gorica0.8
Avg goals conceded
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi1.4
HNK Gorica40%
BTTS rate
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi60%
HNK Gorica40%
Over 2.5 goals
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi80%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 48% vs implied 41% · edge +7 pts
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 40% for HNK Gorica and 80% for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

player stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionHNK Gorica Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 62% · edge +3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
HNK Gorica to WinBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi to WinBetUK guide price · model 28%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
HNK Gorica Draw No Bet is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

HNK Gorica

LWWWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 1L
13 Jul 2026H Göztepe0-2
09 Jul 2026A Brežice5-1
04 Jul 2026H Zorya Luhansk2-1
17 Jan 2026H Zalaegerszegi TE1-0
13 Jan 2026H Radomlje2-0

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

LWWWL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 1D 2L
13 Jul 2026A NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1-3
04 Jul 2026H Bukovyna4-0
01 Jul 2026H Ahrobiznes Volochysk3-1
28 Jun 2026A Nyva Vinnytsya4-1
29 Mar 2026H LNZ Cherkasy0-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 82% vs implied 78% · edge +3.6 pts
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Load more odds for this section
HNK Gorica Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
HNK Gorica to WinBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi to WinBetUK guide price · model 28%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0HNK Gorica wins
0Draws
0Epitsentr Dunayivtsi wins
Best odds for this sectionHNK Gorica to WinBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 54% · edge +1.5 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi to WinBetUK guide price · model 28%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for HNK Gorica to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

HNK Gorica7
Played
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi13
HNK Gorica1.7
Avg goals for
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi2
HNK Gorica0.7
Avg goals against
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi0.8
HNK Gorica3
Clean sheets
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi6
Best odds for this sectionHNK Gorica Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 62% · edge +3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
HNK Gorica to WinBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi to WinBetUK guide price · model 28%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Season data supports HNK Gorica Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%HNK Gorica Over 2.5
80%Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: HNK Gorica sit at 40% and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi sit at 80%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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