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NK Slaven Belupo crestNK Slaven Belupo
v
Paks crestPaks

Friendlies Clubs | Thu 16 Jul, 16:30

NK Slaven Belupo v Paks Stats

Data last updated: Thu 16 Jul 2026, 13:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

NK Slaven Belupo face Paks in Friendlies Clubs on Thu 16 Jul, 16:30. NK Slaven Belupo come in with 3 recent points and 1.6 goals per match, while Paks have 7 points and 2.4 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Paks to Win

  • At 2.45, Paks Win implies roughly 41%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • Paks have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 3 for NK Slaven Belupo.
  • Paks have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the Paks Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Paks Win sits against roughly 41% implied by the current price. Paks have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 3 for NK Slaven Belupo.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 41% implied
Strong positive
Paks have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points.Visible data support
Positive
Paks have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Paks Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Paks have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 3 for NK Slaven Belupo. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Paks Win evidence

Paks have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 3 for NK Slaven Belupo.

Paks have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the Paks Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Paks Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    NK Slaven Belupo1.6
    Avg goals scored
    Paks2.4
    NK Slaven Belupo2.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Paks1.8
    NK Slaven Belupo80%
    BTTS rate
    Paks60%
    NK Slaven Belupo80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Paks100%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 69% · edge +9 pts
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 58%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 26%
    2.68
    Check odds @ 2.68

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    player stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickPaks to WinBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 41% · edge +26.1 pts
    2.45
    Check odds @ 2.45
    Load more odds for this section
    Paks Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.82
    Check odds @ 1.82
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Paks to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    NK Slaven Belupo

    LLWLL
    Last 51W 0D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 1D 4L
    14 Jul 2026H Sanfrecce Hiroshima1-3
    10 Jul 2026H Debreceni VSC0-1
    08 Jul 2026H Csikszereda3-1
    04 Jul 2026H Zalaegerszegi TE2-3
    16 Jan 2026H NK Lokomotiva Zagreb2-4

    Paks

    LDWLW
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 3D 4L
    11 Jul 2026H Kozarmisleny FC0-3
    08 Jul 2026A Maccabi Haifa3-3
    04 Jul 2026A NK Osijek4-0
    02 Jul 2026H Dundee1-2
    27 Jun 2026H Komárno4-1
    Market aligned with main pickPaks to WinBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 41% · edge +26.1 pts
    2.45
    Check odds @ 2.45
    Load more odds for this section
    Paks Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.82
    Check odds @ 1.82
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0NK Slaven Belupo wins
    0Draws
    0Paks wins
    Market aligned with main pickPaks to WinBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 41% · edge +26.1 pts
    2.45
    Check odds @ 2.45
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Paks to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Friendlies Clubs

    NK Slaven Belupo9
    Played
    Paks13
    NK Slaven Belupo2.2
    Avg goals for
    Paks3
    NK Slaven Belupo2.3
    Avg goals against
    Paks2
    NK Slaven Belupo0
    Clean sheets
    Paks2
    Market aligned with main pickPaks to WinBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 41% · edge +26.1 pts
    2.45
    Check odds @ 2.45
    Load more odds for this section
    Paks Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.82
    Check odds @ 1.82
    Season data supports Paks to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%NK Slaven Belupo Over 2.5
    100%Paks Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: NK Slaven Belupo sit at 80% and Paks sit at 100%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    Competition and hubs

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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