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Hibernian crestHibernian
v
Partick crestPartick

League Cup | Sun 16 Aug, 14:00

Hibernian v Partick Stats

Data last updated: Sat 15 Aug 2026, 07:47 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Hibernian host Partick Thistle in this Scottish League Cup tie at Easter Road, bringing Premiership experience and recent unbeaten form into the fixture. Hibernian have shown attacking promise but defensive fragility, conceding seven goals in six matches and missing key defender Rocky Bushiri. Partick arrive unbeaten in six competitive games with a potent attack scoring 16 goals and a solid defensive record of four clean sheets. Despite the division gap, Partick's efficient dangerous attacks and high shot volume suggest they can breach Hibernian's defense, setting up a contest where both teams are likely to score while Hibernian seek to leverage home advantage for a win.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Hibernian to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 32%, above the 18% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • Hibernian unbeaten in last three matches, including a win at Rangers and European progress.
  • Partick Thistle scored in all six competitive matches, with 16 goals from 98 shots.
  • Hibernian have conceded seven goals in six matches, keeping only one clean sheet.
  • Partick's dangerous attacks nearly match Hibernian's despite fewer total attacks, showing attacking efficiency.
Price warning

Hibernian to Win & Both Teams to Score is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 32% while the model sits nearer 18% (-13.9 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +14.3 pts edge at 1.91.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The model supports Hibernian to win with both teams scoring based on recent form and attacking metrics. Hibernian's home strength and Premiership experience provide a winning edge, while Partick's consistent scoring and efficient attack make a goal for both sides likely. However, the current are shorter than the model's chance, indicating a price-sensitive selection rather than clear value. Reduced staking or waiting for better is advised. The thinner data sample for Hibernian means line-ups and late team news could impact the outcome.

Hibernian recent formUnbeaten last three matches with strong home performances
Positive
Partick attacking output16 goals in six matches with high shot volume
Strong positive
Hibernian defensive recordConceded seven goals, only one clean sheet in six matches
Negative
Price vs model chanceOdds imply 32.3% chance vs model 17.1%, price-sensitive
Negative

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Hibernian's Premiership pedigree and recent unbeaten run give them the edge to win at Easter Road, but Partick's impressive scoring form and efficient attack suggest they will find the net. The combination of Hibernian's home attacking pressure and Partick's ability to convert chances supports a competitive match with goals at both ends.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking efficiency and defensive weaknesses

“Partick Thistle's high shot volume and efficient dangerous attacks make them a real threat despite being the lower division side, while Hibernian's defensive vulnerabilities increase the likelihood of goals for both teams in this cup tie.”

Key Data Signals

Hibernian to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Hibernian unbeaten in last three matches, including a win at Rangers and European progress.

Partick Thistle scored in all six competitive matches, with 16 goals from 98 shots.

Hibernian have conceded seven goals in six matches, keeping only one clean sheet.

Partick's dangerous attacks nearly match Hibernian's despite fewer total attacks, showing attacking efficiency.

What To Watch In The Data

Hibernian to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last seven head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.29, indicating a moderate scoring trend.
  • Recent form and attacking metrics suggest this fixture could see over 2.5 goals, driven by Hibernian's home attacking pressure and Partick's consistent goal-scoring record.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Hibernian

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Hibernian yet.

Partick

DDWW
Last 52W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 0L
21 Jul 2026H Stenhousemuir2-2
18 Jul 2026A Livingston1-1
14 Jul 2026A Forfar Athletic4-0
11 Jul 2026H Brechin6-0
Market aligned with main pickHibernian Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 45% vs implied 79% · edge -34.4 pts
1.26
Check odds @ 1.26
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Hibernian to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Hibernian have collected seven points from their last three matches, including a notable win at Rangers and European progression, showing resilience and attacking capability. Partick remain unbeaten in six matches, scoring 16 goals and conceding only three, highlighting their balanced form and goal-scoring consistency.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Hibernian-
Avg goals scored
Partick3.25
Hibernian-
Avg goals conceded
Partick0.75
Hibernian-
BTTS rate
Partick50%
Hibernian-
Over 2.5 goals
Partick75%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 36%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Both teams have shown consistent scoring ability recently, with Partick netting in every match and Hibernian conceding regularly. The defensive frailties of Hibernian combined with Partick's attacking efficiency make goals at both ends a strong possibility in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickHibernian Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 45% vs implied 79% · edge -34.4 pts
1.26
Check odds @ 1.26
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Hibernian to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
The for Hibernian to win and both teams to score are shorter than the model's calculated chance, reflecting market in Hibernian's home advantage and Partick's scoring threat. This price sensitivity suggests caution and recommends reduced stakes or waiting for to drift before committing fully.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Hibernian wins
2Draws
1Partick wins
31 Mar 2018Hibernian v Partick2-0
02 Dec 2017Partick v Hibernian0-1
05 Aug 2017Hibernian v Partick3-1
03 May 2014Hibernian v Partick1-1
15 Mar 2014Partick v Hibernian3-1
07 Dec 2013Hibernian v Partick1-1
Market aligned with main pickHibernian to WinBetUK guide price · Model 27% vs implied 67% · edge -39.7 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
The seven previous meetings between these teams have averaged 2.29 goals per game, showing moderate scoring. While past results provide some context, current form and attacking efficiency are more influential for this match's outcome given recent team changes and tactical approaches.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

League Cup

Hibernian1
Played
Partick5
Hibernian1
Avg goals for
Partick2.8
Hibernian0
Avg goals against
Partick1
Hibernian1
Clean sheets
Partick2
Market aligned with main pickHibernian Draw No BetBetUK guide price · Model 45% vs implied 79% · edge -34.4 pts
1.26
Check odds @ 1.26
Load more odds for this section
Hibernian to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Hibernian have produced 657 total attacks and 384 dangerous attacks in six matches, but defensive lapses have led to seven goals conceded. Partick's 432 total attacks and 376 dangerous attacks with 16 goals scored demonstrate efficient use of possession and strong offensive output, supporting the expectation of goals for both sides.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Hibernian Over 2.5
75%Partick Over 2.5
2.29H2H avg goals
In the last seven head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.29, indicating a moderate scoring trend. Recent form and attacking metrics suggest this fixture could see over 2.5 goals, driven by Hibernian's home attacking pressure and Partick's consistent goal-scoring record.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.