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Ham-Kam crestHam-Kam
v
Molde crestMolde

Eliteserien | Sun 13 Sep, 16:00

Ham-Kam v Molde Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Ham-Kam face Molde in Eliteserien on Sun 13 Sep, 16:00. Ham-Kam come in with 5 recent points and 1.2 goals per match, while Molde have 10 points and 2.6 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Molde to Win

  • At 1.73, Molde to Win implies roughly 58%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 70%.
  • Molde have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 5 for Ham-Kam.
  • Ham-Kam have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per match, which helps the Molde to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Ham-Kam sit 10 in the table, while Molde sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 70% for Molde to Win sits against roughly 58% implied by the current price. Molde have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 5 for Ham-Kam.

Model chance vs price70% model chance against roughly 58% implied
Positive
Molde have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points.Visible data support
Positive
Ham-Kam have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Molde Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Molde have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 5 for Ham-Kam. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Molde to Win evidence

Molde have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 5 for Ham-Kam.

Ham-Kam have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per match, which helps the Molde Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Ham-Kam sit 10 in the table, while Molde sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Molde to Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Ham-Kam4.8
    Avg corners for
    Molde6.2
    Ham-Kam10.2
    Avg total corners
    Molde9
    Ham-Kam1.6
    Avg yellow cards
    Molde2
    Ham-Kam9.4
    Avg shots
    Molde18.4
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 55% · edge +8 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Ham-Kam1.2
    Avg goals scored
    Molde2.6
    Ham-Kam2
    Avg goals conceded
    Molde2
    Ham-Kam40%
    BTTS rate
    Molde80%
    Ham-Kam80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Molde80%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 77% vs implied 69% · edge +7.5 pts
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 58%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 27%
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
    Over 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 80% for Ham-Kam and 80% for Molde, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickMolde to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 58% · edge +12.2 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 77%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Molde Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Molde to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Ham-Kam

    LDLDW
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 4D 5L
    05 Sep 2026A Rosenborg0-4
    30 Aug 2026H Kristiansund BK2-2
    16 Aug 2026A Brann0-3
    09 Aug 2026H Aalesund1-1
    31 Jul 2026A Valerenga3-0

    Molde

    WWWLD
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 2D 3L
    06 Sep 2026H KFUM Oslo2-0
    30 Aug 2026A Valerenga4-3
    16 Aug 2026H Tromso3-2
    09 Aug 2026A Kristiansund BK1-2
    02 Aug 2026H Sarpsborg 08 FF3-3
    Market aligned with main pickMolde to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 58% · edge +12.2 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Load more odds for this section
    Molde Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1Ham-Kam wins
    2Draws
    7Molde wins
    12 Apr 2026Molde v Ham-Kam4-1
    09 Aug 2025Molde v Ham-Kam1-0
    25 May 2025Ham-Kam v Molde2-1
    25 Aug 2024Molde v Ham-Kam3-0
    07 Apr 2024Ham-Kam v Molde0-1
    03 Dec 2023Molde v Ham-Kam1-1
    Market aligned with main pickMolde to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 58% · edge +12.2 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 77%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Molde to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Eliteserien

    Ham-Kam19
    Played
    Molde19
    Ham-Kam1.4
    Avg goals for
    Molde2
    Ham-Kam1.9
    Avg goals against
    Molde1.5
    Ham-Kam4
    Clean sheets
    Molde4
    Market aligned with main pickMolde to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 58% · edge +12.2 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Load more odds for this section
    Molde Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.45
    Check odds @ 1.45
    Season data supports Molde to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    4Molde331910369
    10Ham-Kam2319658-10
    Ham-Kam sit in position 10, while Molde sit in position 4, so table pressure belongs in the Molde to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Ham-Kam Over 2.5
    80%Molde Over 2.5
    2.9H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Ham-Kam sit at 80% and Molde sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    Betting context

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