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Grenoble crestGrenoble
v
Clermont Foot crestClermont Foot

Ligue 2 | Fri 18 Sep, 19:00

Grenoble v Clermont Foot Stats

Data last updated: Thu 17 Sep 2026, 08:16 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Ligue 2 fixture between Grenoble and Clermont Foot sets up as a tactical encounter with both teams showing cautious attacking intent. Grenoble sits mid-table with a slightly better points return, while Clermont Foot has struggled for goals and sits lower in the standings. Recent form data indicates low scoring matches, with Grenoble averaging just 1 goal per game and Clermont Foot even less. Both sides have defensive vulnerabilities but also lack prolific finishing, suggesting a tight game with limited goal-scoring opportunities.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Grenoble averages 1.0 goals per game while Clermont Foot averages 0.6, indicating low scoring potential.
  • Grenoble's over 2.5 goals rate is 60%, but Clermont Foot's is only 20%, suggesting fewer high-scoring games overall.
  • Both teams have contrasting BTTS rates: Grenoble 20% and Clermont Foot 60%, pointing to inconsistent goal exchanges.
  • Recent head-to-head matches average 2.1 goals, supporting a moderate scoring environment.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 61.4% chance, reflecting the low scoring trends from both teams. Grenoble and Clermont Foot have modest attacking outputs combined with defensive setups that limit high goal totals. The price at 1.65 offers a slight positive edge without significant risk, supported by recent match data and season-long scoring patterns. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Model Probability61.4% chance of Under 2.5 Goals
Strong positive
Team Scoring RatesGrenoble 1.0, Clermont Foot 0.6 goals per game
Positive
Recent Over 2.5 RatesGrenoble 60%, Clermont Foot 20%
Neutral
Implied Odds vs Model1.65 odds with 60.6% implied chance
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is a sensible pick given the tactical caution and low scoring outputs from both Grenoble and Clermont Foot. The teams' recent form and season stats show limited goal threat, suggesting a tight match with few clear chances. Defensive setups and moderate shot volumes further support a low-scoring outcome in this Ligue 2 clash.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · match scoring potential

“This match is likely to be a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances, making Under 2.5 Goals a logical selection based on both teams' modest attacking records and defensive tendencies.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Grenoble averages 1.0 goals per game while Clermont Foot averages 0.6, indicating low scoring potential.

Both teams have contrasting BTTS rates: Grenoble 20% and Clermont Foot 60%, pointing to inconsistent goal exchanges.

Recent head-to-head matches average 2.1 goals, supporting a moderate scoring environment.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last 10 head-to-head matches average 2.1 goals, indicating a moderate scoring trend.
  • This sample suggests neither team consistently produces high-scoring games against each other, aligning with the Under 2.5 Goals selection and a match likely decided by tight margins rather than goal flurries.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Grenoble1
Avg goals scored
Clermont Foot0.6
Grenoble1.2
Avg goals conceded
Clermont Foot1
Grenoble20%
BTTS rate
Clermont Foot60%
Grenoble60%
Over 2.5 goals
Clermont Foot20%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 61% · edge +0.8 pts
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 25%
4
Check odds @ 4
Both teams exhibit low scoring averages and contrasting BTTS rates, with Grenoble rarely conceding and Clermont Foot having a higher BTTS rate. The combined effect suggests a match where goals are limited and possibly one-sided, supporting the Under 2.5 Goals route with moderate goal exchanges expected.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionGrenoble to WinBetUK guide price · Model 58% vs implied 46% · edge +12.1 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Grenoble Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Clermont Foot Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Clermont Foot to WinBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
The Under 2.5 Goals market is priced around 1.65, closely matching the model's 61.4% probability, indicating a fair value bet with a small positive edge. The reflect market in a low-scoring game without overestimating the chance, making it a reasonable selection rather than a standout value.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Grenoble1.8
Avg corners for
Clermont Foot5.2
Grenoble8.8
Avg total corners
Clermont Foot9.8
Grenoble2.6
Avg yellow cards
Clermont Foot1.2
Grenoble6.2
Avg shots
Clermont Foot8
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 55% · edge +8 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Grenoble averages fewer corners (1.8) compared to Clermont Foot (6), indicating Clermont may have more attacking territory but limited finishing. Yellow card averages show Grenoble is more prone to cautions, which could disrupt rhythm but not necessarily increase goals. Shot volumes are moderate, supporting a controlled tempo with limited goal-scoring pressure.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Grenoble

WLWLD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 3L
11 Sep 2026A Rodez1-0
04 Sep 2026H Annecy1-2
28 Aug 2026A Laval3-0
22 Aug 2026A Saint Etienne0-4
14 Aug 2026H Metz0-0

Clermont Foot

DDDDL
Last 50W 4D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 5D 1L
11 Sep 2026H Boulogne0-0
04 Sep 2026A Dunkerque1-1
28 Aug 2026H Sochaux0-0
21 Aug 2026H Dijon1-1
14 Aug 2026A Saint Etienne1-3
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 83% vs implied 75% · edge +7.9 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Load more odds for this section
Grenoble to WinBetUK guide price · model 58%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Grenoble Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Clermont Foot Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Clermont Foot to WinBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3
Check odds @ 3
Recent form data shows Grenoble with 7 points and a 60% over 2.5 goals rate, but their BTTS rate is low at 20%, indicating many low-scoring wins or draws. Clermont Foot has fewer points and a low goal average, with only 20% over 2.5 games, reinforcing the likelihood of a tight, low-scoring match.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Grenoble wins
5Draws
3Clermont Foot wins
01 Aug 2026Clermont Foot v Grenoble1-1
03 Apr 2026Grenoble v Clermont Foot2-2
22 Aug 2025Clermont Foot v Grenoble2-1
14 Mar 2025Clermont Foot v Grenoble0-0
27 Sep 2024Grenoble v Clermont Foot3-0
09 Jul 2022Grenoble v Clermont Foot1-0
Best odds for this sectionGrenoble to WinBetUK guide price · Model 58% vs implied 46% · edge +12.1 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Clermont Foot to WinBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3
Check odds @ 3
The head-to-head record over 10 matches shows an average of 2.1 goals per game, supporting a moderate scoring environment. This historical data aligns with the Under 2.5 Goals pick, indicating that previous encounters between Grenoble and Clermont Foot have rarely produced high-scoring affairs.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Ligue 2

Grenoble6
Played
Clermont Foot6
Grenoble1.2
Avg goals for
Clermont Foot0.5
Grenoble1.7
Avg goals against
Clermont Foot0.8
Grenoble3
Clean sheets
Clermont Foot3
Best odds for this sectionGrenoble to WinBetUK guide price · Model 58% vs implied 46% · edge +12.1 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Grenoble Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Clermont Foot Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Clermont Foot to WinBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Season-long stats reveal both teams have modest goal-scoring records and defensive concessions near or just above 1 goal per game. Grenoble's higher over 2.5 goals rate is tempered by Clermont's low scoring, balancing the expectation towards fewer goals overall, consistent with an Under 2.5 Goals outcome.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
12Grenoble76213-3
16Clermont Foot56051-2
Grenoble's mid-table position with 7 points contrasts with Clermont Foot's lower standing and 5 points, reflecting slightly better form and stability for Grenoble. The league context suggests neither team is in free-scoring form or under pressure to open up, supporting a cautious match approach and fewer goals.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Grenoble Over 2.5
20%Clermont Foot Over 2.5
2.1H2H avg goals
The last 10 head-to-head matches average 2.1 goals, indicating a moderate scoring trend. This sample suggests neither team consistently produces high-scoring games against each other, aligning with the Under 2.5 Goals selection and a match likely decided by tight margins rather than goal flurries.

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