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Serie B | Mon 10 Aug, 23:30

Goias v Londrina Stats

Data last updated: Sun 09 Aug 2026, 07:59 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Goias and Londrina meet in a Serie B clash where both sides have shown moderate attacking intent but also defensive vulnerabilities. Goias ranks 11th with 29 points, while Londrina sits lower at 17th with 20 points, adding pressure to both teams to push forward. Recent form shows Goias averaging 5.5 corners per game and Londrina 5.8, suggesting a contest with frequent wing play and set-piece opportunities. Both teams have a tendency to concede fouls and engage in physical duels, which could increase corner counts. The match timing and stakes imply a competitive encounter with territorial battles likely to generate numerous corners.

BT4Y match pick

Over 8.5 Corners

  • Goias average 5.5 corners per game, Londrina 5.8, combining for over 11 on average
  • Both teams show aggressive wing play and frequent fouling, increasing set-piece chances
  • Recent matches indicate sustained pressure and repeated deliveries into the box
  • Physical midfield battles and defensive pressure likely to force corners
  • 75% supports a strong likelihood of over 8.5 corners in this fixture

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 75% chance for over 8.5 corners based on both teams' average corners per game exceeding 5.5, combined with their playing styles that emphasize wing attacks and physical duels. Londrina's slightly higher fouling rate and Goias' sustained territorial pressure contribute to frequent corner situations. The data quality is solid with no limitations, reinforcing in the corner count prediction. This match's tempo and tactical setup favor set-piece accumulation, making the over 8.5 corners a well-supported selection.

Average corners per gameGoias 5.5, Londrina 5.8
Strong positive
Playing style and foulingPhysical duels and wing play increase corners
Positive
Model confidence75% chance for over 8.5 corners
Strong positive
Data qualityComplete data for both teams
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a high number of corners as Goias and Londrina engage in a tactical battle marked by wing play and physical challenges. Both teams' average corner counts and aggressive styles suggest this fixture will see frequent set-piece situations, making over 8.5 corners a compelling choice based on current form and match context.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“The corner count here is driven by both teams' tendencies to attack down the flanks and commit fouls in dangerous areas, setting up numerous corner opportunities. This fixture's physical and territorial nature strongly supports a high corner total.”

Key Data Signals

Over 8.5 Corners evidence

Goias average 5.5 corners per game, Londrina 5.8, combining for over 11 on average

Both teams show aggressive wing play and frequent fouling, increasing set-piece chances

Recent matches indicate sustained pressure and repeated deliveries into the box

Physical midfield battles and defensive pressure likely to force corners

What To Watch In The Data

Over 8.5 Corners notes

  • In the last nine head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 1.56, indicating moderate tempo.
  • However, both teams' recent matches show a strong tendency for over 2.5 goals and open play, which typically correlates with increased corner counts due to attacking transitions and defensive gaps.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Goias4.8
Avg corners for
Londrina5.8
Goias10.6
Avg total corners
Londrina13.4
Goias1.6
Avg yellow cards
Londrina2
Goias10.2
Avg shots
Londrina15.4
Market aligned with main pickOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 78% · edge -3.1 pts
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
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Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Goias and Londrina average 11.3 combined shots per game with decent shot accuracy, reflecting sustained offensive pressure. Londrina's higher yellow card average (2 per game) and Goias' fouling tendencies suggest physical contests that often result in corners from defensive clearances and set-piece fouls.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Goias1.4
Avg goals scored
Londrina1.6
Goias1
Avg goals conceded
Londrina1.4
Goias60%
BTTS rate
Londrina60%
Goias40%
Over 2.5 goals
Londrina60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
4
Check odds @ 4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Both teams have moderate goal-scoring rates and a 60% BTTS rate, indicating open play that often leads to attacking pressure and set-piece situations. This attacking openness correlates with increased corner counts, supporting the over 8.5 corners angle.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 78% · edge -3.1 pts
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Londrina Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Goias to WinBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Londrina to WinBetUK guide price · model 28%
5
Check odds @ 5
Goias Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
The over 8.5 corners market is priced attractively given the combined average corners per game for Goias and Londrina exceed 11. The 75% indicates strong statistical support, making this a price-sensitive but solid selection without major warning flags.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Goias

LDWDW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
26 Jul 2026A America Mineiro0-1
23 Jul 2026H Sport Recife1-1
18 Jul 2026A Ponte Preta2-1
12 Jul 2026A CRB2-2
05 Jul 2026H Ceara2-0

Londrina

LLDDW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
26 Jul 2026H Novorizontino1-4
23 Jul 2026A Nautico Recife1-2
18 Jul 2026H Botafogo SP0-0
13 Jul 2026A America Mineiro1-1
04 Jul 2026H CRB5-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 82% vs implied 86% · edge -3.5 pts
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Londrina Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Goias to WinBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Londrina to WinBetUK guide price · model 28%
5
Check odds @ 5
Goias Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Recent matches show Goias and Londrina consistently generating over 8.5 corners, with both teams averaging close to 11 corners combined. This recent form trend aligns well with the model's , indicating sustained wing pressure and set-piece frequency.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Goias wins
5Draws
2Londrina wins
01 Apr 2026Londrina v Goias2-2
19 Oct 2021Londrina v Goias0-0
17 Jul 2021Goias v Londrina0-0
03 Oct 2018Goias v Londrina0-0
12 Jun 2018Londrina v Goias1-3
07 Nov 2017Londrina v Goias2-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Goias to WinBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Londrina to WinBetUK guide price · model 28%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
The nine previous encounters between Goias and Londrina show moderate scoring but limited direct corner data. However, the tactical setups and physical nature of these matches suggest a tendency toward sustained wing play and defensive pressure, indirectly supporting a higher corner count in this fixture.
Season team stats

Serie B

Goias20
Played
Londrina20
Goias1.1
Avg goals for
Londrina1.4
Goias1.3
Avg goals against
Londrina1.6
Goias6
Clean sheets
Londrina4
Best odds for this sectionLondrina Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 35% · edge +6.9 pts
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Load more odds for this section
Goias to WinBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Londrina to WinBetUK guide price · model 28%
5
Check odds @ 5
Goias Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Season-long data reveals Goias and Londrina maintain corner averages above 5.5 each, reflecting tactical emphasis on flank attacks and crossing. Defensive vulnerabilities and fouling rates further increase corner opportunities, reinforcing the over 8.5 corners forecast.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
12Goias2920857-5
17Londrina20205510-4
While Goias holds a mid-table position and Londrina struggles near relegation, both teams face pressure to attack and secure points. This competitive context encourages offensive wing play and physical battles, conducive to a higher corner count.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Goias Over 2.5
60%Londrina Over 2.5
1.56H2H avg goals
In the last nine head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 1.56, indicating moderate tempo. However, both teams' recent matches show a strong tendency for over 2.5 goals and open play, which typically correlates with increased corner counts due to attacking transitions and defensive gaps.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.