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Avai crestAvai
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CRB crestCRB

Serie B | Tue 11 Aug, 23:30

Avai v CRB Stats

Data last updated: Mon 10 Aug 2026, 07:55 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Avai and CRB meet in a Serie B clash where both sides have shown moderate attacking output but also defensive vulnerabilities. Avai, positioned 18th, have scored and conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game, while CRB, 11th in the table, average 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Recent form suggests a tendency towards tighter scorelines, with Avai's over 2.5 goals rate at 40% contrasting with CRB's 60%. The tactical battle is likely to be balanced, with both teams capable of creating chances but also cautious in defense, setting the stage for a match with limited goal-scoring bursts.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Avai averages 1.2 goals scored and conceded per game, indicating balanced but modest scoring.
  • CRB has a higher over 2.5 goals rate (60%) but concedes 1.6 goals per game, suggesting defensive frailty.
  • Recent form shows Avai with 7 points and CRB with 10 points, reflecting competitive but not high-scoring matches.
  • Average shots on target per game are 2.8 for Avai and 7 for CRB, indicating CRB’s stronger attacking threat.
  • Head-to-head average goals over last 10 matches is 1.8, supporting a lower scoring expectation.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The Under 2.5 Goals pick is supported by balanced scoring and conceding rates from both Avai and CRB, with Avai’s lower over 2.5 goals rate and the historical average of 1.8 goals per game in their head-to-head clashes. Despite CRB’s higher attacking volume, the defensive resilience and recent form data suggest a controlled tempo with fewer goals. The model at 57.1% reflects a moderate but consistent probability for a low-scoring outcome, making this a sensible selection for bettors seeking a cautious game.

Avai Goals For/Against1.2 scored and conceded per game
Positive
CRB Goals For/Against1.4 scored, 1.6 conceded per game
Neutral
Over 2.5 Goals RateAvai 40%, CRB 60%
Neutral
Head-to-Head Average Goals1.8 goals per match
Positive
Shots on TargetAvai 2.8, CRB 7 per game
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is a prudent choice given the balanced scoring and conceding patterns of both teams. Avai’s defensive solidity combined with CRB’s inconsistent finishing suggests a match where goal-scoring chances may be limited. The data supports a cautious game with fewer goals, aligning well with the tactical context and recent form.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and statistical rationale for Under 2.5 Goals

“This fixture features two teams with moderate attacking threat but defensive discipline, making Under 2.5 Goals a logical expectation. The head-to-head history and current form reinforce the likelihood of a controlled, low-scoring encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Avai averages 1.2 goals scored and conceded per game, indicating balanced but modest scoring.

Average shots on target per game are 2.8 for Avai and 7 for CRB, indicating CRB’s stronger attacking threat.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals tally stands at 1.8, indicating a trend towards fewer goals.
  • This sample suggests a controlled tempo with defensive focus from both sides, making Over 2.5 Goals less likely despite CRB’s higher attacking numbers.
  • The trend supports a match where goal-scoring chances are limited and carefully contested.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Avai3.2
Avg corners for
CRB5.6
Avai8.4
Avg total corners
CRB9.2
Avai1.4
Avg yellow cards
CRB2
Avai10.2
Avg shots
CRB18.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
CRB’s higher average shots (21) and corners (5.33) indicate more attacking pressure, while Avai’s lower averages reflect a more measured approach. Both teams maintain similar yellow card averages around 1.3-1.4 per game, suggesting disciplined play that may limit disruptive fouls and set-piece opportunities.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Avai1.2
Avg goals scored
CRB1.4
Avai1.2
Avg goals conceded
CRB1.6
Avai60%
BTTS rate
CRB40%
Avai40%
Over 2.5 goals
CRB60%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 57% · edge +0 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 37%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Both teams show moderate goal-scoring and conceding rates, with Avai’s 60% BTTS rate contrasting CRB’s 40%. The head-to-head average of 1.8 goals per match suggests a tendency towards fewer goals and mixed BTTS outcomes, supporting a low total goals scenario rather than a high-scoring shootout.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
CRB Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 62%
2
Check odds @ 2
CRB to WinBetUK guide price · model 53%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Avai Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Avai to WinBetUK guide price · model 31%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
The Under 2.5 Goals market is priced around 1.75, reflecting a balanced implied chance matching the model’s 57.1% . This price is fair with no significant , indicating a stable market perception aligned with the statistical outlook for a low-scoring game.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Avai

LWDWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 6L
28 Jul 2026A Juventude0-1
21 Jul 2026H America Mineiro2-1
17 Jul 2026A São Bernardo1-1
12 Jul 2026H Nautico Recife2-0
06 Jul 2026A Botafogo SP1-3

CRB

WWWDL
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
27 Jul 2026H Vila Nova2-0
22 Jul 2026A Ceara1-0
17 Jul 2026H Nautico Recife2-1
12 Jul 2026H Goias2-2
04 Jul 2026A Londrina0-5
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 79% vs implied 71% · edge +8 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
CRB Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 62%
2
Check odds @ 2
CRB to WinBetUK guide price · model 53%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Avai Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Avai to WinBetUK guide price · model 31%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Recent form data shows Avai with 7 points and CRB with 10 points from recent matches, both sides displaying moderate scoring outputs (1.2 and 1.4 goals per game respectively). Avai’s lower over 2.5 goals rate (40%) compared to CRB’s 60% suggests a cautious approach from the home side, reinforcing the likelihood of a low-scoring match.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

6Avai wins
2Draws
2CRB wins
02 Apr 2026CRB v Avai0-1
04 Oct 2025CRB v Avai1-0
08 Jun 2025Avai v CRB1-0
31 Aug 2024CRB v Avai1-2
14 May 2024Avai v CRB2-1
11 Nov 2023Avai v CRB1-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
CRB to WinBetUK guide price · model 53%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Avai to WinBetUK guide price · model 31%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
The 10 previous meetings between Avai and CRB have averaged 1.8 goals per game, highlighting a history of relatively low-scoring encounters. This historical pattern suggests that both teams tend to adopt balanced tactics against each other, limiting high-scoring outcomes and reinforcing the Under 2.5 Goals selection.
Season team stats

Serie B

Avai20
Played
CRB20
Avai1.1
Avg goals for
CRB1.6
Avai1.4
Avg goals against
CRB1.6
Avai6
Clean sheets
CRB4
Best odds for this sectionCRB Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 62% vs implied 50% · edge +12.3 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
CRB to WinBetUK guide price · model 53%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Avai Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Avai to WinBetUK guide price · model 31%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Season-long statistics reveal balanced scoring and conceding figures for Avai, with 1.2 goals both for and against per game, indicating a stable but modest attack and defense. CRB’s slightly higher scoring and conceding rates reflect a more open style but also defensive vulnerabilities, supporting a scenario where total goals may remain under 2.5 due to defensive lapses being offset by limited finishing.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
11CRB2920857-1
18Avai20205510-6
Avai’s 18th place and CRB’s 11th position in Serie B reflect differing league pressures, with Avai likely prioritizing defensive solidity to improve standings. CRB’s mid-table status allows for more attacking freedom but also exposes defensive gaps. The standings suggest Avai may adopt a cautious game plan, aligning with a low-scoring expectation.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Avai Over 2.5
60%CRB Over 2.5
1.8H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals tally stands at 1.8, indicating a trend towards fewer goals. This sample suggests a controlled tempo with defensive focus from both sides, making Over 2.5 Goals less likely despite CRB’s higher attacking numbers. The trend supports a match where goal-scoring chances are limited and carefully contested.

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