Football Stats Hub

Girona crestGirona
v
Leganes crestLeganes

Segunda División | Sun 16 Aug, 18:00

Girona v Leganes Stats

Data last updated: Sat 15 Aug 2026, 07:47 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Girona face Leganes in Segunda División on Sun 16 Aug, 18:00.

BT4Y best bet

Leganes to Win

  • At 6.25, Leganes to Win implies roughly 16%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 31%.
  • Girona sit 7 in the table, while Leganes sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 31% for Leganes to Win sits against roughly 16% implied by the current price. Girona sit 7 in the table, while Leganes sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Model chance vs price31% model chance against roughly 16% implied
Strong positive
Girona sit 7 in the table, while Leganes sit 8.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +15 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Leganes Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Girona sit 7 in the table, while Leganes sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Leganes to Win evidence

Girona sit 7 in the table, while Leganes sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Leganes to Win notes

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    5Girona wins
    4Draws
    1Leganes wins
    24 Apr 2025Leganes v Girona1-1
    02 Nov 2024Girona v Leganes4-3
    27 Feb 2022Leganes v Girona1-1
    06 Dec 2021Girona v Leganes3-0
    07 Feb 2021Girona v Leganes0-2
    11 Oct 2020Leganes v Girona0-1
    Market aligned with main pickLeganes to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 31% vs implied 16% · edge +15 pts
    6.25
    Check odds @ 6.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Leganes to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Girona

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Girona yet.

    Leganes

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Leganes yet.

    Market aligned with main pickLeganes to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 31% vs implied 16% · edge +15 pts
    6.25
    Check odds @ 6.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 62%
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Leganes Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    player stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Girona-
    Avg goals scored
    Leganes-
    Girona-
    Avg goals conceded
    Leganes-
    Girona-
    BTTS rate
    Leganes-
    Girona-
    Over 2.5 goals
    Leganes-
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 48% · edge +1.9 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 32%
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 55%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickLeganes to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 31% vs implied 16% · edge +15 pts
    6.25
    Check odds @ 6.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Leganes Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Leganes to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Segunda División

    Girona0
    Played
    Leganes1
    Girona0
    Avg goals for
    Leganes1
    Girona0
    Avg goals against
    Leganes1
    Girona0
    Clean sheets
    Leganes0
    Market aligned with main pickLeganes to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 31% vs implied 16% · edge +15 pts
    6.25
    Check odds @ 6.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Leganes Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3
    Season data supports Leganes to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    7Girona110100
    8Leganes110100
    Girona sit in position 7, while Leganes sit in position 8, so table pressure belongs in the Leganes to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -Girona Over 2.5
    -Leganes Over 2.5
    2.2H2H avg goals

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    Competition and hubs

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    View match centre