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Burgos crestBurgos
v
Cordoba crestCordoba

Segunda División | Sun 16 Aug, 18:00

Burgos v Cordoba Stats

Data last updated: Sat 15 Aug 2026, 07:47 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Burgos face Cordoba in Segunda División on Sun 16 Aug, 18:00.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • At 2.25, Over 2.5 Goals implies roughly 44%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 58%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 58% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 44% implied by the current price.

Model chance vs price58% model chance against roughly 44% implied
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +14 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Burgos wins
1Draws
1Cordoba wins
22 Mar 2026Burgos v Cordoba4-0
03 Jan 2026Cordoba v Burgos2-0
10 May 2025Burgos v Cordoba3-2
26 Aug 2024Cordoba v Burgos2-2
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 44% · edge +14 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Cordoba to WinBetUK guide price · model 41%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Burgos to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
The head-to-head sample gives context for Over 2.5 Goals, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Burgos

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Burgos yet.

Cordoba

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Cordoba yet.

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 65% · edge +5.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Cordoba to WinBetUK guide price · model 41%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Burgos Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Burgos to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Cordoba Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2

Continue the research

Useful next reads

player stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Burgos-
Avg goals scored
Cordoba-
Burgos-
Avg goals conceded
Cordoba-
Burgos-
BTTS rate
Cordoba-
Burgos-
Over 2.5 goals
Cordoba-
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 44% · edge +14 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 44% · edge +14 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Cordoba to WinBetUK guide price · model 41%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Burgos Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Burgos to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Cordoba Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Segunda División

Burgos0
Played
Cordoba1
Burgos-
Avg goals for
Cordoba2
Burgos-
Avg goals against
Cordoba3
Burgos-
Clean sheets
Cordoba0
Best odds for this sectionCordoba to WinBetUK guide price · Model 41% vs implied 32% · edge +8.7 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Load more odds for this section
Burgos Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Burgos to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Cordoba Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Season data supports Cordoba to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4Burgos311001
17Cordoba01001-1
Burgos sit in position 4, while Cordoba sit in position 17, so table pressure belongs in the Over 2.5 Goals assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Burgos Over 2.5
-Cordoba Over 2.5
3.75H2H avg goals

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

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Competition and hubs

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre