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Girona crestGirona
v
Albacete crestAlbacete

Segunda División | Fri 25 Sep, 19:30

Girona v Albacete Stats

Data last updated: Thu 15 Oct 2026, 12:11 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Girona face Albacete in Segunda División on Fri 25 Sep, 19:30. Girona have scored 12 goals in six league matches. Girona’s unbeaten home record against Albacete and superior shot conversion support backing them on the -1 Asian Handicap for a multi-goal win with stake protection on a narrow victory.

BT4Y best bet

Girona Asian Handicap -1

  • At 17/20, Girona Asian Handicap -1 implies roughly 54%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 69%.
  • Girona’s consistent scoring record and multiple attacking threats contrast with Albacete’s defensive frailty and poor results.
  • Girona have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 1 for Albacete.
  • Girona have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Girona Asian Handicap -1 angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Girona sit 7 in the table, while Albacete sit 22, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 69% for Girona Asian Handicap -1 sits against roughly 54% implied by the current price. Girona have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 1 for Albacete. Girona’s consistent scoring record and multiple attacking threats contrast with Albacete’s defensive frailty and poor results.

Model chance vs price69% model chance against roughly 54% implied
Strong positive
Girona have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points.Visible data support
Positive
Girona have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Girona’s consistent scoring record and multiple attacking threats contrast.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Girona Win is the preferred angle because girona’s consistent scoring record and multiple attacking threats contrast with Albacete’s defensive frailty and poor results. Girona have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 1 for Albacete. Girona carry the stronger scoring threat, but Albacete must contribute for BTTS to land.

Main risk

Girona carry the stronger scoring threat, but Albacete must contribute for BTTS to land.

Key Data Signals

Girona Asian Handicap -1 evidence

Girona’s consistent scoring record and multiple attacking threats contrast with Albacete’s defensive frailty and poor results.

Girona have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 1 for Albacete.

Girona have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Girona Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Girona sit 7 in the table, while Albacete sit 22, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Girona Asian Handicap -1 notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Girona2.2
    Avg goals scored
    Albacete0.6
    Girona1.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Albacete1.6
    Girona80%
    BTTS rate
    Albacete60%
    Girona80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Albacete40%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
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    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 37%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickGirona to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 65% · edge +8.6 pts
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
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    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Girona Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 55%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Girona to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Girona

    WLWWL
    Last 53W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 1D 2L
    19 Sep 2026A Cadiz2-1
    12 Sep 2026H Castellón1-2
    05 Sep 2026A Sporting Gijon2-0
    29 Aug 2026H Las Palmas5-2
    21 Aug 2026A Cordoba1-2

    Albacete

    LDLLL
    Last 50W 1D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 1D 5L
    18 Sep 2026H Cordoba1-2
    12 Sep 2026A Granada CF1-1
    06 Sep 2026A Castellón0-2
    29 Aug 2026H Oviedo0-1
    22 Aug 2026H Real Sociedad II1-2
    Market aligned with main pickGirona to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 65% · edge +8.6 pts
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
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    Girona Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Girona Over 2.5
    40%Albacete Over 2.5
    2H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Girona sit at 80% and Albacete sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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