Gibraltar

Andorra

UEFA Nations League | Sun 27 Sep, 17:00

Gibraltar v Andorra Stats

Data last updated: Sat 26 Sep 2026, 08:02 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This UEFA Nations League fixture features Gibraltar hosting Andorra in a contest where both teams are seeking to make an impact after opening with no points. Andorra's recent matches have shown a strong inclination towards higher-scoring games, while Gibraltar's attacking potential remains less documented but potentially opportunistic. The tactical setup suggests an open game with both sides eager to press forward, increasing the likelihood of multiple goals. The stakes are significant for both teams aiming to avoid an early group-stage setback, adding intensity to the encounter without a clear defensive control.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

Andorra has recorded Over 2.5 Goals in 100% of recent matches, indicating a trend towards high-scoring games.
Gibraltar's attacking data is limited but includes players like N. Pozo with 2.5 shots on target per 90 minutes, suggesting offensive intent.
Head-to-head meetings average 0.67 goals, but recent form and attacking stats point to a more open game this time.
Andorra averages 13 shots and 5 shots on target per game, reflecting sustained offensive pressure.
The model estimates a 77.5% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, with a significant at current .

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model strongly favors Over 2.5 Goals with a 77.5% probability, driven by Andorra's consistent high shot volume and goal-scoring attempts. Andorra's offensive players, particularly Albert Rosas with 7.83 shots and key passes per 90 minutes, and G. López with 1.34 shots on target per 90, underpin this expectation. Gibraltar's attacking signals, including N. Pozo's 2.5 shots on target per 90, add to the likelihood of goals. The current offer positive value, reflecting a market underestimation of the attacking potential and open tactical approach expected in this fixture.

Model Chance77.5%

Strong positive

Andorra Shot Volume13 shots per game

Strong positive

Key Player Attacking StatsAlbert Rosas 7.83 shots/90, G. López 1.34 SOT/90

Strong positive

Gibraltar Attacking SignalsN. Pozo 2.5 shots on target/90

Positive

Main risk

Gibraltar’s friendlies have changed the immediate mood around their results, but Sunday asks whether that improvement can survive a return to competitive football.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking dynamics and goal potential

“Andorra's offensive dynamism combined with Gibraltar's willingness to engage offensively sets the stage for a high-scoring encounter. The volume and quality of shots from key players suggest goals will be plentiful in this Nations League clash.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Gibraltar's attacking data is limited but includes players like N. Pozo with 2.5 shots on target per 90 minutes, suggesting offensive intent.

Andorra averages 13 shots and 5 shots on target per game, reflecting sustained offensive pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

In the last three head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored was 0.67, a low figure.
However, recent form and attacking statistics from Andorra suggest a shift towards more open, higher-scoring games.
This trend over recent matches supports the expectation of Over 2.5 Goals in this fixture.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Gibraltar wins

1Draws

0Andorra wins

04 Sep 2024Gibraltar v Andorra1-0

19 Nov 2022Gibraltar v Andorra1-0

07 Jun 2021andorra v Gibraltar0-0

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 46% vs implied 31% · edge +15 pts

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

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BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 53%

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

Andorra to WinBetUK guide price · model 40%

2.3

Check odds @ 2.3

Gibraltar to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 32%

2.9

Check odds @ 2.9

The head-to-head sample is limited to three matches with a low average goal count of 0.67, indicating historically tight games. However, current attacking form and tactical approaches suggest this fixture may deviate from past trends, with a higher likelihood of goals based on recent offensive performances.

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Useful next reads

UEFA Nations League hub Gibraltar v Andorra prediction football cards angles player stats betting angles football stats hub football hub football predictions hub best bets research acca fixture filtering

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Gibraltar

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Gibraltar yet.

Andorra

Last 50W 0D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 1L

24 Sep 2026H Malta1-2

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 78% · edge -6.3 pts

1.28

Check odds @ 1.28

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Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 60%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Gibraltar Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

Andorra to WinBetUK guide price · model 40%

2.3

Check odds @ 2.3

Gibraltar to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

Andorra Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%

1.65

Check odds @ 1.65

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 32%

2.9

Check odds @ 2.9

Andorra's recent form strongly favors Over 2.5 Goals, having achieved this in all recent matches. Gibraltar's data is less complete but their offensive players show promising shot metrics. Both teams' recent performances suggest an open game with multiple scoring opportunities, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals selection.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Gibraltar-

Avg goals scored

Andorra1

Gibraltar-

Avg goals conceded

Andorra2

Gibraltar-

BTTS rate

Andorra100%

Gibraltar-

Over 2.5 goals

Andorra100%

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 46% vs implied 31% · edge +15 pts

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 75%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 53%

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 30%

6.5

Check odds @ 6.5

BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 27%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

Andorra's recent matches have consistently featured goals, with a 100% Over 2.5 rate and BTTS also at 100%, indicating both teams scoring. Gibraltar's attacking data, while limited, shows players like N. Pozo contributing shots on target, supporting the likelihood of goals from both sides and an open, end-to-end game.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 46% vs implied 31% · edge +15 pts

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

Load more odds for this section

BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 53%

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

Gibraltar Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

Andorra to WinBetUK guide price · model 40%

2.3

Check odds @ 2.3

Gibraltar to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

Andorra Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%

1.65

Check odds @ 1.65

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 32%

2.9

Check odds @ 2.9

The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively with around 3.25, reflecting a significant given the model's 77.5% probability estimate. This suggests the market underestimates the attacking potential and open nature of this fixture, making the bet a positive value opportunity rather than a price-sensitive watch.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Gibraltar-

Avg corners for

Andorra3

Gibraltar-

Avg total corners

Andorra5

Gibraltar-

Avg yellow cards

Andorra5

Gibraltar-

Avg shots

Andorra13

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Nations League

Gibraltar0

Played

Andorra1

Gibraltar0

Avg goals for

Andorra1

Gibraltar0

Avg goals against

Andorra2

Gibraltar0

Clean sheets

Andorra0

Best odds for this sectionGibraltar Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 45% vs implied 46% · edge -0.5 pts

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

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Andorra to WinBetUK guide price · model 40%

2.3

Check odds @ 2.3

Gibraltar to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

Andorra Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%

1.65

Check odds @ 1.65

Season-long statistics show Andorra's attack generates high shot volumes and goal attempts, supporting the likelihood of multiple goals. Gibraltar's defensive record is less clear, but their attacking players contribute meaningful shot numbers, indicating potential for goals from both sides and an overall high-scoring match environment.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
2	Gibraltar	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Andorra	0	1	0	0	1	-1

Both teams sit near the bottom of their group with zero points, increasing the urgency to secure a positive result. This competitive pressure encourages attacking play and risk-taking, which often leads to more goals, aligning with the Over 2.5 Goals market.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Gibraltar Over 2.5

100%Andorra Over 2.5

0.67H2H avg goals

In the last three head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored was 0.67, a low figure. However, recent form and attacking statistics from Andorra suggest a shift towards more open, higher-scoring games. This trend over recent matches supports the expectation of Over 2.5 Goals in this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Gibraltar v Andorra Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Gibraltar

Andorra

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Football Stats Hub

Gibraltar v Andorra Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Gibraltar

Andorra

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