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Getafe crestGetafe
v
Mallorca crestMallorca

La Liga | Wed 13 May, 20:30

Getafe v Mallorca Stats

Data last updated: Sat 13 Jun 2026, 12:17 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Getafe face Mallorca in La Liga on Wed 13 May, 20:30. Getafe have averaged just 35.6% possession across their last 10 league matches. Mallorca are unbeaten away at Getafe since December 2022 and have won three of the last four meetings. Getafe have averaged just 0.

BT4Y best bet

Mallorca Win

  • At 7/1, Mallorca Win implies roughly 13%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 68%.
  • Getafe’s poor home record is countered by Mallorca’s survival urgency, making the draw a high-probability outcome in this cagey clash.
  • Mallorca have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for Getafe.
  • Mallorca have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Mallorca Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Getafe sit 7 in the table, while Mallorca sit 18, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 68% for Mallorca Win sits against roughly 13% implied by the current price. Mallorca have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for Getafe. Getafe’s poor home record is countered by Mallorca’s survival urgency, making the draw a high-probability outcome in this cagey clash.

Model chance vs price68% model chance against roughly 13% implied
Strong positive
Mallorca have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points.Visible data support
Positive
Mallorca have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Getafe’s poor home record is countered by Mallorca’s survival.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Mallorca Win is the preferred angle because getafe’s poor home record is countered by Mallorca’s survival urgency, making the draw a high-probability outcome in this cagey clash. Mallorca have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for Getafe. Cons: High risk; one late goal can ruin the pick.

Main risk

Cons: High risk; one late goal can ruin the pick.

Key Data Signals

Mallorca Win evidence

Getafe’s poor home record is countered by Mallorca’s survival urgency, making the draw a high-probability outcome in this.

Mallorca have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for Getafe.

Mallorca have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Mallorca Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Getafe sit 7 in the table, while Mallorca sit 18, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Mallorca Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Getafe4.8
    Avg corners for
    Mallorca4.8
    Getafe8.6
    Avg total corners
    Mallorca10.6
    Getafe3.8
    Avg yellow cards
    Mallorca1.2
    Getafe9.8
    Avg shots
    Mallorca12.6
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 58% · edge +15.8 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 68%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Useful next reads

    La Liga fixtures and predictionsGetafe v Mallorca predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Getafe0.2
    Avg goals scored
    Mallorca1.4
    Getafe1
    Avg goals conceded
    Mallorca0.8
    Getafe0%
    BTTS rate
    Mallorca60%
    Getafe0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Mallorca40%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 67% · edge -0.7 pts
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
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    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 54%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
    5
    Check odds @ 5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 0% for Getafe and 40% for Mallorca, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickMallorca to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 29% · edge +39.3 pts
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Mallorca Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 74%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Mallorca to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Getafe

    DLLWL
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 1D 4L
    10 May 2026A Oviedo0-0
    03 May 2026H Rayo Vallecano0-2
    25 Apr 2026H Barcelona0-2
    22 Apr 2026A Real Sociedad1-0
    13 Apr 2026A Levante0-1

    Mallorca

    DWLDW
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 3D 3L
    10 May 2026H Villarreal1-1
    01 May 2026A Girona1-0
    25 Apr 2026A Alaves1-2
    21 Apr 2026H Valencia1-1
    12 Apr 2026H Rayo Vallecano3-0
    Market aligned with main pickMallorca to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 29% · edge +39.3 pts
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Mallorca Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    4Getafe wins
    2Draws
    4Mallorca wins
    09 Nov 2025Mallorca v Getafe1-0
    18 May 2025Mallorca v Getafe1-2
    21 Dec 2024Getafe v Mallorca0-1
    26 May 2024Getafe v Mallorca1-2
    28 Oct 2023Mallorca v Getafe0-0
    23 Apr 2023Mallorca v Getafe3-1
    Market aligned with main pickMallorca to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 29% · edge +39.3 pts
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Mallorca to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    La Liga

    Getafe38
    Played
    Mallorca38
    Getafe0.8
    Avg goals for
    Mallorca1.2
    Getafe1
    Avg goals against
    Mallorca1.5
    Getafe12
    Clean sheets
    Mallorca6
    Market aligned with main pickMallorca to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 29% · edge +39.3 pts
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Mallorca Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Season data supports Mallorca to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    7Getafe513815617-6
    18Mallorca423811918-10
    Getafe sit in position 7, while Mallorca sit in position 18, so table pressure belongs in the Mallorca Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    0%Getafe Over 2.5
    40%Mallorca Over 2.5
    1.6H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Getafe sit at 0% and Mallorca sit at 40% with the H2H average at 1.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Getafe v Mallorca prediction

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    Next step

    Betting context

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