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Ivory Coast crestIvory Coast

World Cup | Sat 20 Jun, 21:00

Germany v Ivory Coast Stats

Data last updated: Fri 19 Jun 2026, 03:08 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Germany and Ivory Coast face off in a pivotal World Cup Group E clash, both sitting on three points but with contrasting styles and momentum. Germany arrives with an explosive attacking record, having scored 25 goals in their last six matches and showcasing dominant possession and shot volume. Ivory Coast counters with a resilient defensive setup, boasting nine clean sheets in their last 12 games and a disciplined low-block approach. This tactical duel between Germany's high-tempo possession and Ivory Coast's defensive compactness sets the stage for a tightly contested match where scoring opportunities may be limited despite Germany's firepower.

BT4Y lean · price warning

BTTS No

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 51%, above the 37% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • Germany have scored 25 goals in their last six matches, averaging 2.64 goals per game.
  • Ivory Coast have kept nine clean sheets in their last 12 matches, conceding just 0.5 goals per game.
  • Germany average 17.36 shots per game with 75% inside the penalty area, indicating high-quality chances.
  • Ivory Coast generate nearly as many dangerous attacks as Germany despite lower possession, showing efficient counter-threats.
Price warning

BTTS No is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 51% while the model sits nearer 37% (-14 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Ivory Coast Draw No Bet shows a +13.8 pts edge at 3.55.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The tactical read highlights Germany's potent attack against Ivory Coast's exceptional defensive record, making a Both Teams to Score No selection logical. Germany's high shot volume and possession control contrast with Ivory Coast's nine clean sheets and low goals conceded, suggesting Germany may struggle to break through consistently. However, the current are short compared to the model's chance, indicating a price-sensitive pick. Reduced staking or waiting for drift is advised to manage risk, as the football read remains strong but value is limited.

Germany's Attack EfficiencyHigh shot volume with 75% inside box
Strong positive
Ivory Coast Defensive SolidityNine clean sheets in 12 matches
Strong positive
Model Chance vs Market OddsModel chance 37.3% vs implied 55.6%
Negative
Confidence LevelHigh at 86%
Positive
Main risk

The main risk is that Germany's attacking control may eventually break Ivory Coast's defense, leading to both teams scoring and invalidating the BTTS No selection.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Defensive solidity vs attacking pressure

“Germany's high possession and shot quality will test Ivory Coast's defensive resilience, but the latter's record of clean sheets indicates a strong chance to keep the game low-scoring and deny both teams scoring.”

Key Data Signals

BTTS No evidence

Germany have scored 25 goals in their last six matches, averaging 2.64 goals per game.

Ivory Coast have kept nine clean sheets in their last 12 matches, conceding just 0.5 goals per game.

Germany average 17.36 shots per game with 75% inside the penalty area, indicating high-quality chances.

Ivory Coast generate nearly as many dangerous attacks as Germany despite lower possession, showing efficient counter-threats.

What To Watch In The Data

BTTS No notes

  • Over the last six matches, Germany has consistently produced high-scoring games, but Ivory Coast's defensive resilience tempers this trend.
  • The lack of head-to-head data means recent form and tactical setups are more relevant.
  • The trend panel suggests a game with controlled tempo and limited goal-scoring opportunities, aligning with an Over 2.5 Goals caution and supporting BTTS No.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Germany8
Avg corners for
Ivory Coast3
Germany9
Avg total corners
Ivory Coast8
Germany0
Avg yellow cards
Ivory Coast3
Germany26
Avg shots
Ivory Coast15
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 50% · edge +7.5 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Germany averages 8 corners per game and 26 shots with 12 on target, reflecting sustained attacking pressure and territorial control. Ivory Coast averages fewer corners (3) and shots (15) but maintains defensive discipline, committing more fouls and receiving more cards, which could disrupt Germany's rhythm and create stop-start play. Set-pieces may be key for both sides.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Germany7
Avg goals scored
Ivory Coast1
Germany1
Avg goals conceded
Ivory Coast0
Germany100%
BTTS rate
Ivory Coast0%
Germany100%
Over 2.5 goals
Ivory Coast0%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS NoBetfred guide price · Model 37% vs implied 51% · edge -14 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Germany's prolific scoring contrasts with Ivory Coast's exceptional defensive record, including nine clean sheets in 12 matches. This clash suggests a tactical battle where Ivory Coast aims to frustrate Germany's attack, reducing goal-scoring chances and supporting a BTTS No outcome. The under 3.5 goals context aligns with a controlled match tempo and defensive compactness.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionGermany to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 65% · edge +8.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Ivory Coast Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Germany Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 58%
2
Check odds @ 2
Ivory Coast to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
The BTTS No market is priced at 1.8 (4/5), implying a 55.6% chance, which is notably higher than the model's 37.3% probability. This indicates the price is short and sensitive, reflecting market in a low-scoring game but limiting value. The selection remains football-led due to the strong defensive record of Ivory Coast and Germany's recent defensive lapses. drift or stronger late data could improve value.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Germany

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
14 Jun 2026H Curaçao7-1

Ivory Coast

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
15 Jun 2026H Ecuador1-0
Best odds for this sectionGermany to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 65% · edge +8.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Ivory Coast Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Germany Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Ivory Coast to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Germany's recent form shows six consecutive wins with 25 goals scored and only six conceded, demonstrating offensive strength but some defensive vulnerability. Ivory Coast's form is marked by nine clean sheets in 12 matches and a solid defensive foundation, conceding just 0.5 goals per game. This contrast supports a low-scoring, tightly contested match with limited BTTS occurrences.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Germany wins
0Draws
0Ivory Coast wins
Best odds for this sectionGermany to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 65% · edge +8.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Ivory Coast to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
No previous meetings exist between Germany and Ivory Coast, so head-to-head data offers no direct insight. The focus shifts to recent form and tactical profiles, where Germany's attacking prowess meets Ivory Coast's defensive discipline, making historical trends irrelevant for this fixture.
Season team stats

World Cup

Germany1
Played
Ivory Coast1
Germany7
Avg goals for
Ivory Coast1
Germany1
Avg goals against
Ivory Coast0
Germany0
Clean sheets
Ivory Coast1
Best odds for this sectionGermany to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 65% · edge +8.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Ivory Coast Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Germany Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Ivory Coast to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Season-long data highlights Germany's aggressive attacking style with an average of 17.36 shots per game, 75% inside the box, and 2.64 goals per match. Ivory Coast's defensive stats are impressive, with nine clean sheets and only 0.5 goals conceded per game. These profiles underpin the BTTS No selection, reflecting a clash between high-quality attack and disciplined defense.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Germany311006
2Ivory Coast311001
Both Germany and Ivory Coast sit atop Group E with three points each, but goal difference separates them. The standings reflect a balanced group where defensive solidity and tactical discipline are crucial. This context suggests neither side will risk overexposure, reinforcing the likelihood of a low-scoring encounter without both teams scoring.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Germany Over 2.5
0%Ivory Coast Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last six matches, Germany has consistently produced high-scoring games, but Ivory Coast's defensive resilience tempers this trend. The lack of head-to-head data means recent form and tactical setups are more relevant. The trend panel suggests a game with controlled tempo and limited goal-scoring opportunities, aligning with an Over 2.5 Goals caution and supporting BTTS No.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.