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Germany crestGermany
v
Ivory Coast crestIvory Coast

World Cup | Sat 20 Jun, 21:00

Germany v Ivory Coast Stats

Data last updated: Sun 12 Jul 2026, 21:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Germany face Ivory Coast in World Cup on Sat 20 Jun, 21:00. Group E’s First Real Stress Test. Germany come into this match in formidable goal-scoring form, having secured six consecutive wins while hitting the net 25 times in that span.

BT4Y best bet

Germany to Win & Over 2

  • At 6/5, Germany Win implies roughly 46%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 74%.
  • While Ivory Coast maintain an exceptional defensive record, Germany's relentless pressure and penalty-box volume should overpower resistance, pushing the total clear of the 2.
  • Ivory Coast have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Germany Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 74% for Germany Win sits against roughly 46% implied by the current price. Ivory Coast have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Germany Win angle more than a raw possession edge. While Ivory Coast maintain an exceptional defensive record, Germany's relentless pressure and penalty-box volume should overpower resistance, pushing the total clear of the 2.

Model chance vs price74% model chance against roughly 46% implied
Strong positive
Ivory Coast have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
While Ivory Coast maintain an exceptional defensive record, Germany's.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Germany Win is the preferred angle because while Ivory Coast maintain an exceptional defensive record, Germany's relentless pressure and penalty-box volume should overpower resistance, pushing the total clear of the 2.5 line. Ivory Coast have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Germany Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Nobody wants a tournament match turned into a whistle concerto, but sometimes that is what happens when both sides know how much is at stake.

Main risk

Nobody wants a tournament match turned into a whistle concerto, but sometimes that is what happens when both sides know how much is at stake.

Key Data Signals

Germany Win evidence

While Ivory Coast maintain an exceptional defensive record, Germany's relentless pressure and penalty-box volume should overpower resistance, pushing.

Ivory Coast have the cleaner defensive sample at 0 conceded per match, which helps the Germany Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Germany Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Germany8
    Avg corners for
    Ivory Coast3
    Germany9
    Avg total corners
    Ivory Coast8
    Germany0
    Avg yellow cards
    Ivory Coast3
    Germany26
    Avg shots
    Ivory Coast15
    Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 50% · edge +7.5 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
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    Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 49%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 55%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    World Cup hubfull betting preview for Germany v Ivory Coastcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Germany7
    Avg goals scored
    Ivory Coast1
    Germany1
    Avg goals conceded
    Ivory Coast0
    Germany100%
    BTTS rate
    Ivory Coast0%
    Germany100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Ivory Coast0%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 59% · edge +7.9 pts
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
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    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 100% for Germany and 0% for Ivory Coast, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickGermany to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 65% · edge +8.6 pts
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Germany Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 55%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Germany to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Germany

    W
    Last 51W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 0L
    14 Jun 2026H Curaçao7-1

    Ivory Coast

    W
    Last 51W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 0L
    15 Jun 2026H Ecuador1-0
    Market aligned with main pickGermany to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 65% · edge +8.6 pts
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Germany Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Germany wins
    0Draws
    0Ivory Coast wins
    Market aligned with main pickGermany to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 65% · edge +8.6 pts
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Germany to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    World Cup

    Germany4
    Played
    Ivory Coast4
    Germany2.8
    Avg goals for
    Ivory Coast1.3
    Germany1.5
    Avg goals against
    Ivory Coast1
    Germany0
    Clean sheets
    Ivory Coast2
    Market aligned with main pickGermany to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 65% · edge +8.6 pts
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Load more odds for this section
    Germany Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Season data supports Germany to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Germany632016
    2Ivory Coast632012
    World Cup standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Germany Over 2.5
    0%Ivory Coast Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Germany sit at 100% and Ivory Coast sit at 0%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Germany v Ivory Coast prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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