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Gent crestGent
v
Hibernian crestHibernian

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 20 Aug, 19:30

Gent v Hibernian Stats

Data last updated: Tue 06 Oct 2026, 01:40 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Gent face Hibernian in UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu 20 Aug, 19:30. Hibernian have lost four of their last seven competitive matches at Easter Road, so the stadium has been both the scene of their most dramatic European recovery and a place where they have been vulnerable.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2

  • At 13/20, Under 2 implies roughly 61%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
  • Risk Factor: Hibernian's earlier 4-1 home victory over FC Malisheva showed their capacity for high-scoring European ties at Easter Road if an early goal.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Gent and 50% for Hibernian, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Hibernian are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.5 goals per match, with Gent at 0.5.
  • BTTS rates of 25% for Gent and 50% for Hibernian show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 66% for Under 2 sits against roughly 61% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Gent and 50% for Hibernian, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Risk Factor: Hibernian's earlier 4-1 home victory over FC Malisheva showed their capacity for high-scoring European ties at Easter Road if an early goal.

Model chance vs price66% model chance against roughly 61% implied
Neutral
The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Gent and 50%.Visible data support
Positive
Hibernian are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.5.Visible data support
Positive
Risk Factor: Hibernian's earlier 4-1 home victory over FC.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because selection: Under 2.5 Goals. Hibernian are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Gent at 0.5. Gent have been difficult to beat, certainly, but they have not been tearing through European opponents.

Main risk

Gent have been difficult to beat, certainly, but they have not been tearing through European opponents.

Key Data Signals

Under 2 evidence

Selection: Under 2.5 Goals.

Hibernian are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.5 goals per match, with Gent at 0.5.

BTTS rates of 25% for Gent and 50% for Hibernian show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2 notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Gent0.5
Avg goals scored
Hibernian1.5
Gent0.25
Avg goals conceded
Hibernian1
Gent25%
BTTS rate
Hibernian50%
Gent0%
Over 2.5 goals
Hibernian50%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 56% · edge +10.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 46%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionHibernian Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 28% · edge +15 pts
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
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Hibernian to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 46%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 38%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Gent Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Hibernian Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Gent

DWDD
Last 51W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 0L
13 Aug 2026H IFK Goteborg1-1
06 Aug 2026A IFK Goteborg1-0
30 Jul 2026H LNZ Cherkasy0-0
23 Jul 2026A LNZ Cherkasy0-0

Hibernian

DWWL
Last 52W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 1L
13 Aug 2026A Shkendija0-0
06 Aug 2026H Shkendija2-1
30 Jul 2026H Malisheva4-1
23 Jul 2026A Malisheva0-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
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Hibernian Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Hibernian to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Gent Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Gent to WinBetMGM guide price · model 35%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Gent Over 2.5
50%Hibernian Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Gent sit at 0% and Hibernian sit at 50%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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