Genoa
SudtirolCoppa Italia | Tue 15 Sep, 17:00
Genoa v Sudtirol Stats
Data last updated: Mon 14 Sep 2026, 07:49 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
This Coppa Italia clash between Genoa and Sudtirol sets up as an open contest with both sides showing attacking intent early in the season. Genoa have scored four goals in their recent outings while conceding just once, demonstrating a balanced approach. Sudtirol, despite a lower goal tally, also feature in matches with multiple goals, indicating potential for an entertaining game. The tactical setup suggests both teams will seek to press and create chances, making a high-scoring match a plausible scenario at this stage of the competition.
Over 2.5 Goals
- Genoa and Sudtirol have both featured in 100% of matches with over 2.5 goals this season.
- Genoa averages 24 shots and 10 shots on target per game, indicating strong attacking pressure.
- Sudtirol also shows attacking intent with 11 shots and 3 shots on target per game.
- Both teams have a 100% BTTS rate, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities and goal-scoring opportunities.
- Player data shows multiple attackers with high shot volumes and goal threat, supporting goal potential.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model assigns a 77.5% chance to Over 2.5 Goals, reflecting strong attacking data from both teams. Genoa's high shot volume and accuracy, combined with Sudtirol's willingness to shoot and contribute to goal-rich games, underpin this forecast. Both sides have consistently participated in high-scoring matches, and player-level stats reveal key attackers like E. Mixtur with significant shot and goal involvement. The price offers clear value given the model's and the tactical openness expected in this cup fixture.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
Expect an open and attacking Coppa Italia tie where both Genoa and Sudtirol look to impose offensive pressure. Genoa's superior shot creation and Sudtirol's willingness to engage in open play suggest a match likely to exceed 2.5 goals. The data supports a lively encounter with multiple scoring opportunities on both sides.
A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and attacking dynamics
“Genoa's attacking firepower combined with Sudtirol's active shooting profile makes Over 2.5 Goals a compelling angle. Both teams' recent matches show a pattern of goal-rich games, setting the stage for an entertaining cup tie.”
Key Data Signals
Over 2.5 Goals evidence
Genoa and Sudtirol have both featured in 100% of matches with over 2.5 goals this season.
Genoa averages 24 shots and 10 shots on target per game, indicating strong attacking pressure.
Sudtirol also shows attacking intent with 11 shots and 3 shots on target per game.
Both teams have a 100% BTTS rate, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities and goal-scoring opportunities.
What To Watch In The Data
Over 2.5 Goals notes
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored were low, but current season trends show both teams involved in matches with high goal totals.
- This suggests a shift towards more open, attacking encounters in recent form.
Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
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Useful next reads
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Genoa
Sudtirol
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Season team stats
Coppa Italia
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
