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Genoa crestGenoa
v
Sudtirol crestSudtirol

Coppa Italia | Tue 15 Sep, 17:00

Genoa v Sudtirol Stats

Data last updated: Thu 08 Oct 2026, 19:54 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Genoa face Sudtirol in Coppa Italia on Tue 15 Sep, 17:00. Genoa have conceded 18.5 attempts per game across their last four league and cup matches, highlighting how frequently opponents have been able to threaten them. Genoa and Sudtirol arrive with similar form, leaving fine margins likely to decide the result.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 9/10, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 53%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 68%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
  • Genoa show a 100% BTTS rate and Sudtirol show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Genoa average 4 goals scored and Sudtirol average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 68% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 53% implied by the current price. Genoa show a 100% BTTS rate and Sudtirol show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price68% model chance against roughly 53% implied
Strong positive
Genoa show a 100% BTTS rate and Sudtirol show a.Visible data support
Positive
Genoa average 4 goals scored and Sudtirol average 2, so.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Genoa show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Sudtirol show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Genoa are not necessarily struggling to reach shooting positions; the greater concern is how little reward they have extracted from them.

Main risk

Genoa are not necessarily struggling to reach shooting positions; the greater concern is how little reward they have extracted from them.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Genoa show a 100% BTTS rate and Sudtirol show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Genoa average 4 goals scored and Sudtirol average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Genoa4
Avg goals scored
Sudtirol2
Genoa1
Avg goals conceded
Sudtirol2
Genoa100%
BTTS rate
Sudtirol100%
Genoa100%
Over 2.5 goals
Sudtirol100%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 27%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Genoa v Sudtirol predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Sudtirol Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Genoa to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Genoa Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Sudtirol to WinBetMGM guide price · model 18%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Genoa

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
16 Aug 2026H Ascoli4-1

Sudtirol

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
15 Aug 2026A Catanzaro2-2
Best odds for this sectionSudtirol Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 29% · edge +13 pts
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 82%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Genoa to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Genoa Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Sudtirol to WinBetMGM guide price · model 18%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Genoa Over 2.5
100%Sudtirol Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Genoa sit at 100% and Sudtirol sit at 100% with the H2H average at 1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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