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Genoa crestGenoa
v
Napoli crestNapoli

Serie A | Sat 22 Aug, 19:45

Genoa v Napoli Stats

Data last updated: Fri 21 Aug 2026, 07:32 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Genoa face Napoli in Serie A on Sat 22 Aug, 19:45. Napoli’s recent scoring and opening fixture success support a 2-goal away win, while Genoa’s home scoring through Colombo offers a single goal chance. Napoli's strong opening form supports an away win over Genoa.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 1/1, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 50%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 50%.
  • Napoli’s strong record in Serie A openers and high goal output combine with Genoa’s home scoring through Colombo to make both teams scoring the.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 50% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price. Napoli’s strong record in Serie A openers and high goal output combine with Genoa’s home scoring through Colombo to make both teams scoring the.

Model chance vs price50% model chance against roughly 50% implied
Neutral
Napoli’s strong record in Serie A openers and high.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +0 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because napoli’s strong record in Serie A openers and high goal output combine with Genoa’s home scoring through Colombo to make both teams scoring the most coherent outcome. Napoli begin their Serie A season away to Genoa with a different voice in the dugout but familiar expectations after finishing second last term.

Main risk

Napoli begin their Serie A season away to Genoa with a different voice in the dugout but familiar expectations after finishing second last term.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Napoli’s strong record in Serie A openers and high goal output combine with Genoa’s home scoring through Colombo.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Genoa-
Avg goals scored
Napoli-
Genoa-
Avg goals conceded
Napoli-
Genoa-
BTTS rate
Napoli-
Genoa-
Over 2.5 goals
Napoli-
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 49% · edge +1.2 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 38%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; this needs scoring involvement from both teams, not just pressure from one side.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 49% · edge +1.2 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Genoa to WinBetMGM guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Genoa Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Napoli Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
BTTS Yes is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Genoa

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Genoa yet.

Napoli

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Napoli yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Genoa to WinBetMGM guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Genoa Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Napoli Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Napoli to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Genoa wins
3Draws
6Napoli wins
07 Feb 2026Genoa v Napoli2-3
05 Oct 2025Napoli v Genoa2-1
11 May 2025Napoli v Genoa2-2
21 Dec 2024Genoa v Napoli1-2
17 Feb 2024Napoli v Genoa1-1
16 Sep 2023Genoa v Napoli2-2
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 49% · edge +1.2 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Genoa to WinBetMGM guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Napoli to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie A

Genoa0
Played
Napoli0
Genoa0
Avg goals for
Napoli0
Genoa0
Avg goals against
Napoli0
Genoa0
Clean sheets
Napoli0
Best odds for this sectionGenoa to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 37% vs implied 22% · edge +15 pts
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Load more odds for this section
Genoa Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Napoli Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Napoli to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Season data supports Genoa to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
7Genoa000000
14Napoli000000
Genoa sit in position 7, while Napoli sit in position 14, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score YES assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Genoa Over 2.5
-Napoli Over 2.5
3.6H2H avg goals
Napoli’s strong record in Serie A openers and high goal output combine with Genoa’s home scoring through Colombo to make both teams scoring the most coherent outcome.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.