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Sassuolo crestSassuolo

Serie A | Fri 16 Oct, 19:45

Frosinone v Sassuolo Stats

Data last updated: Thu 15 Oct 2026, 15:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sassuolo and Frosinone meet in a Coppa Italia tie with both sides showing strong attacking form early in the season. Sassuolo have scored six goals in three matches, including two home wins, while Frosinone have netted seven goals in two victories, demonstrating efficient finishing despite less possession. Sassuolo face defensive challenges with six key absences, increasing vulnerability at the back. Frosinone's multiple attacking threats, including Giorgi Kvernadze and Antonio Raimondo, pose a real scoring risk. The match promises open play with both teams capable of scoring, setting the stage for a competitive contest with high goal potential.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have scored consistently in early season matches, with Sassuolo netting six and Frosinone seven goals.
  • Sassuolo's defensive injuries weaken their backline, increasing chances for Frosinone to score.
  • Frosinone's efficient finishing and multiple goal contributors boost their scoring threat.
  • Sassuolo have created numerous shots on target, indicating sustained attacking pressure.
  • Both sides have shown ability to score despite not dominating possession, supporting BTTS outcome.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at 76% probability, well above the implied market chance of 57.9%, indicating strong value. Both teams have demonstrated consistent scoring ability early in the season, with Frosinone's efficient finishing and Sassuolo's home attacking output key factors. Defensive absences for Sassuolo increase the likelihood of conceding, while Frosinone's multiple attacking threats enhance their scoring chances. This combination of attacking potency and defensive vulnerability supports the BTTS selection as a logical and data-backed choice.

Model Probability76% model chance vs 71.4% implied (+4.6 pts)
Strong positive
Market Implied Chance76% model chance vs 71.4% implied (+4.6 pts)
Positive
Value Edge76% model chance vs 71.4% implied (+4.6 pts)
Strong positive
Sassuolo Defensive Injuries6 key absences
Positive
Frosinone Attacking Efficiency7 goals in 2 wins
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown strong attacking form and the defensive gaps in Sassuolo's lineup make it likely that both sides will find the net. Frosinone's efficient finishing and multiple goal threats combined with Sassuolo's home scoring record create a compelling case for Both Teams to Score in this Coppa Italia clash.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“Sassuolo's defensive absences open the door for Frosinone's sharp attackers to score, while Sassuolo's own offensive firepower ensures goals at both ends. This match is set for open play and goal-scoring opportunities.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have scored consistently in early season matches, with Sassuolo netting six and Frosinone seven goals.

Sassuolo's defensive injuries weaken their backline, increasing chances for Frosinone to score.

Frosinone's efficient finishing and multiple goal contributors boost their scoring threat.

Sassuolo have created numerous shots on target, indicating sustained attacking pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last nine head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.67, indicating a tendency for open games with multiple goals.
  • Recent matches show a high frequency of over 2.5 goals, reflecting the attacking tempo and defensive vulnerabilities that could lead to goals from both teams in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Frosinone1.8
Avg goals scored
Sassuolo1.8
Frosinone1.2
Avg goals conceded
Sassuolo1.6
Frosinone40%
BTTS rate
Sassuolo100%
Frosinone60%
Over 2.5 goals
Sassuolo80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 71% · edge +4.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 83%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 47%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Both teams have demonstrated strong scoring records early in the season, with Sassuolo scoring six goals in three matches and Frosinone seven in two wins. Sassuolo's defensive injuries increase the likelihood of conceding, while Frosinone's efficient finishing and multiple goal contributors support the expectation that both sides will score in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 71% · edge +4.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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Frosinone to WinBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Frosinone Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 63%
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Sassuolo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
The 76% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 71.4% implied by the current price (+4.6 pts). Frosinone show a 40% BTTS rate and Sassuolo show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Sassuolo's defensive absences increase the likelihood of both teams scoring, while Frosinone's efficient finishing and multiple attacking threats support this selection.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Frosinone

LWDWW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 2L
10 Oct 2026A Napoli0-3
20 Sep 2026H Como2-0
12 Sep 2026A Genoa1-1
06 Sep 2026H Venezia3-2
29 Aug 2026A Fiorentina3-0

Sassuolo

DLWDW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 2L
11 Oct 2026H AC Milan1-1
18 Sep 2026A Monza1-2
13 Sep 2026H Juventus3-2
06 Sep 2026A Bologna2-2
29 Aug 2026H Torino2-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 80% vs implied 67% · edge +13.5 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Frosinone to WinBetMGM guide price · model 53%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Frosinone Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 63%
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Sassuolo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Sassuolo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Recent form data shows Frosinone with 10 points and Sassuolo with 8 points, both averaging 1.8 goals scored per game. Sassuolo have a 100% BTTS rate recently, while Frosinone's is 40%. Both teams have demonstrated the ability to score and concede, reinforcing the likelihood of goals at both ends in this match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Frosinone Over 2.5
80%Sassuolo Over 2.5
2.67H2H avg goals
In the last nine head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.67, indicating a tendency for open games with multiple goals. Recent matches show a high frequency of over 2.5 goals, reflecting the attacking tempo and defensive vulnerabilities that could lead to goals from both teams in this fixture.

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