Fortaleza FC

Junior

Primera A | Sun 20 Sep, 20:00

Fortaleza FC v Junior Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:17 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Fortaleza FC face Junior in Primera A on Sun 20 Sep, 20:00. Fortaleza FC come in with 3 recent points and 1.2 goals per match, while Junior have 3 points and 1.4 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

At 2.08, Over 2.5 Goals implies roughly 48%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 56%.
The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Fortaleza FC and 40% for Junior, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Junior are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.4 goals per match, with Fortaleza FC at 1.2.
BTTS rates of 80% for Fortaleza FC and 80% for Junior show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 56% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 48% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Fortaleza FC and 40% for Junior, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price56% model chance against roughly 48% implied

Positive

The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Fortaleza FC.Visible data support

Positive

Junior are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.4.Visible data support

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Fortaleza FC and 40% for Junior, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Fortaleza FC and 40% for Junior, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Junior are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.4 goals per match, with Fortaleza FC at 1.2.

BTTS rates of 80% for Fortaleza FC and 80% for Junior show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Fortaleza FC3.6

Avg corners for

Junior5

Fortaleza FC8.2

Avg total corners

Junior9.4

Fortaleza FC2

Avg yellow cards

Junior3.6

Fortaleza FC9.2

Avg shots

Junior16.8

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 44% · edge +5.4 pts

2.25

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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 56%

1.78

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Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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Useful next reads

corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles stats dashboard football analysis hub prediction centre best bets research acca fixture filtering

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Fortaleza FC1.2

Avg goals scored

Junior1.4

Fortaleza FC1.6

Avg goals conceded

Junior2

Fortaleza FC80%

BTTS rate

Junior80%

Fortaleza FC80%

Over 2.5 goals

Junior40%

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 56% vs implied 48% · edge +8.3 pts

2.08

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 44%

3.5

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Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 74%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%

3.75

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Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 48%

1.73

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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%

1.28

Check odds @ 1.28

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 56% vs implied 48% · edge +8.3 pts

2.08

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 44%

3.5

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Fortaleza FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%

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Fortaleza FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%

2.8

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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 56%

1.78

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Junior to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%

2.5

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Junior Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Fortaleza FC

DDLDL

Last 50W 3D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 102W 5D 3L

12 Sep 2026A Jaguares2-2

06 Sep 2026A Santa Fe2-2

02 Sep 2026H Once Caldas1-2

26 Aug 2026A Chico0-0

23 Aug 2026H Atletico Nacional1-2

Junior

LDDLD

Last 50W 3D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 4D 5L

13 Sep 2026A Alianza Valledupar0-1

06 Sep 2026H Jaguares3-3

30 Aug 2026H Santa Fe1-1

27 Aug 2026A America de Cali2-4

24 Aug 2026H Once Caldas1-1

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 65% · edge +7.9 pts

1.53

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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 70%

1.4

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Fortaleza FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%

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Fortaleza FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%

2.8

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Junior to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%

2.5

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Junior Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

DrawBetUK guide price · model 30%

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Fortaleza FC wins

1Draws

4Junior wins

16 Mar 2026Junior v Fortaleza FC2-1

08 Nov 2025Fortaleza FC v Junior1-1

17 May 2025Junior v Fortaleza FC2-1

18 Aug 2024Junior v Fortaleza FC2-1

11 Feb 2024Fortaleza FC v Junior2-0

11 Sep 2016Junior v Fortaleza FC1-2

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 56% vs implied 48% · edge +8.3 pts

2.08

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 44%

3.5

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Fortaleza FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%

2.8

Check odds @ 2.8

Junior to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%

2.5

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DrawBetUK guide price · model 30%

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

The head-to-head sample gives context for Over 2.5 Goals, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.

Season team stats

Primera A

Fortaleza FC28

Played

Junior32

Fortaleza FC1.1

Avg goals for

Junior1.4

Fortaleza FC1.4

Avg goals against

Junior1.3

Fortaleza FC6

Clean sheets

Junior9

Best odds for this sectionFortaleza FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 50% · edge +3.9 pts

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Fortaleza FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%

2.8

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Junior to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%

2.5

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Junior Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Season data supports Fortaleza FC Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
2	Junior	35	19	11	2	6	7
15	Fortaleza FC	22	19	5	7	7	-5
14	Fortaleza FC	8	9	1	5	3	-2
20	Junior	3	7	0	3	4	-5

Fortaleza FC sit in position 14, while Junior sit in position 20, so table pressure belongs in the Over 2.5 Goals assessment.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Fortaleza FC Over 2.5

40%Junior Over 2.5

2.71H2H avg goals

The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Fortaleza FC sit at 80% and Junior sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2.71 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Fortaleza FC v Junior Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Fortaleza FC

Junior

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Your privacy choices

Football Stats Hub

Fortaleza FC v Junior Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Fortaleza FC

Junior

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Prediction context

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