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Folgore Caratese crestFolgore Caratese
v
Alcione crestAlcione

Serie C - Girone A | Sun 13 Sep, 17:00

Folgore Caratese v Alcione Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:11 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Folgore Caratese face Alcione in Serie C - Girone A on Sun 13 Sep, 17:00. Folgore Caratese come in with 1 recent points and 1 goals per match, while Alcione have 5 points and 1.33 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Alcione to Win

  • At 2.7, Alcione to Win implies roughly 37%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 52%.
  • Alcione have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 1 for Folgore Caratese.
  • Alcione have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.67 conceded per match, which helps the Alcione to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Folgore Caratese sit 16 in the table, while Alcione sit 6, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 52% for Alcione to Win sits against roughly 37% implied by the current price. Alcione have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 1 for Folgore Caratese.

Model chance vs price52% model chance against roughly 37% implied
Strong positive
Alcione have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points.Visible data support
Positive
Alcione have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.67 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Alcione Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Alcione have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 1 for Folgore Caratese. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Alcione to Win evidence

Alcione have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 1 for Folgore Caratese.

Alcione have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.67 conceded per match, which helps the Alcione Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Folgore Caratese sit 16 in the table, while Alcione sit 6, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Alcione to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Folgore Caratese1
    Avg goals scored
    Alcione1.33
    Folgore Caratese1.67
    Avg goals conceded
    Alcione0.67
    Folgore Caratese67%
    BTTS rate
    Alcione67%
    Folgore Caratese67%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Alcione33%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 70%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
    5
    Check odds @ 5
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 32%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickAlcione to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 37% · edge +15 pts
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
    Load more odds for this section
    Alcione Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 59%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Alcione to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    player stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Folgore Caratese

    LDL
    Last 50W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 1D 2L
    07 Sep 2026A PRO Vercelli0-1
    31 Aug 2026A Novara2-2
    24 Aug 2026H Dolomiti Bellunesi1-2

    Alcione

    DDW
    Last 51W 2D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 2D 0L
    07 Sep 2026H Treviso1-1
    30 Aug 2026A Dolomiti Bellunesi0-0
    21 Aug 2026H Renate3-1
    Market aligned with main pickAlcione to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 37% · edge +15 pts
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 82%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Alcione Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1Folgore Caratese wins
    1Draws
    2Alcione wins
    12 Feb 2023Folgore Caratese v Alcione0-2
    09 Oct 2022Alcione v Folgore Caratese1-2
    28 Aug 2022Alcione v Folgore Caratese4-1
    12 Sep 2021Folgore Caratese v Alcione0-0
    Market aligned with main pickAlcione to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 37% · edge +15 pts
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 59%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Alcione to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Serie C - Girone A

    Folgore Caratese3
    Played
    Alcione3
    Folgore Caratese1
    Avg goals for
    Alcione1.3
    Folgore Caratese1.7
    Avg goals against
    Alcione0.7
    Folgore Caratese0
    Clean sheets
    Alcione1
    Market aligned with main pickAlcione to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 37% · edge +15 pts
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
    Load more odds for this section
    Alcione Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Season data supports Alcione to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    6Alcione531202
    16Folgore Caratese13012-2
    Folgore Caratese sit in position 16, while Alcione sit in position 6, so table pressure belongs in the Alcione to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    67%Folgore Caratese Over 2.5
    33%Alcione Over 2.5
    2.5H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Folgore Caratese sit at 67% and Alcione sit at 33% with the H2H average at 2.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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