Flora Tallinn

Saburtalo

UEFA Champions League | Wed 08 Jul, 17:00

Flora Tallinn v Saburtalo Stats

Data last updated: Thu 20 Aug 2026, 13:57 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Flora Tallinn face Saburtalo in UEFA Champions League on Wed 08 Jul, 17:00. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

At 2.08, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 48%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 54%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 54% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 48% implied by the current price.

Model chance vs price54% model chance against roughly 48% implied

Neutral

Price sensitivityEdge +5.9 pts

Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Flora Tallinn Over 2.5

-Saburtalo Over 2.5

-H2H avg goals

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Flora Tallinn

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Flora Tallinn yet.

Saburtalo

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Saburtalo yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 73% vs implied 65% · edge +8.5 pts

1.55

Check odds @ 1.55

Load more odds for this section

Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 71%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

Flora Tallinn to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

Saburtalo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%

Check odds @ 2

Flora Tallinn Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

Saburtalo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Flora Tallinn-

Avg goals scored

Saburtalo-

Flora Tallinn-

Avg goals conceded

Saburtalo-

Flora Tallinn-

BTTS rate

Saburtalo-

Flora Tallinn-

Over 2.5 goals

Saburtalo-

Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 48% · edge +5.9 pts

2.08

Check odds @ 2.08

Load more odds for this section

BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 54%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%

1.22

Check odds @ 1.22

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 32%

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionFlora Tallinn to WinBetfred guide price · Model 43% vs implied 36% · edge +6.6 pts

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

Load more odds for this section

Saburtalo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%

Check odds @ 2

Flora Tallinn Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Saburtalo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

Flora Tallinn to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Flora Tallinn wins

0Draws

0Saburtalo wins

Best odds for this sectionFlora Tallinn to WinBetfred guide price · Model 43% vs implied 36% · edge +6.6 pts

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

Load more odds for this section

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Saburtalo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Flora Tallinn to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Champions League

Flora Tallinn2

Played

Saburtalo4

Flora Tallinn2

Avg goals for

Saburtalo1.5

Flora Tallinn2.5

Avg goals against

Saburtalo1.8

Flora Tallinn0

Clean sheets

Saburtalo0

Best odds for this sectionFlora Tallinn to WinBetfred guide price · Model 43% vs implied 36% · edge +6.6 pts

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

Load more odds for this section

Saburtalo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%

Check odds @ 2

Flora Tallinn Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Saburtalo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

Season data supports Flora Tallinn to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Flora Tallinn v Saburtalo Stats

Match Report

Under 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

What To Watch In The Data

Flora Tallinn

Saburtalo

Next step

Your privacy choices

Football Stats Hub

Flora Tallinn v Saburtalo Stats

Match Report

Under 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

What To Watch In The Data

Flora Tallinn

Saburtalo

Related football research

Prediction context

More stats pages

Competition and hubs

Next step