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FK Liepaja crestFK Liepaja
v
Austria Vienna crestAustria Vienna

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 23 Jul, 16:00

FK Liepaja v Austria Vienna Stats

Data last updated: Wed 22 Jul 2026, 05:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FK Liepaja hosts Austria Vienna in the UEFA Europa Conference League first qualifying round, bringing contrasting recent fortunes into this early summer fixture. Liepaja arrives with positive momentum, having secured 6 points from their recent matches and maintaining a solid defensive record with just 0.5 goals conceded per game. Austria Vienna, meanwhile, shows limited recent data and no points from their latest outings, adding uncertainty to their prospects. The match offers Liepaja a chance to capitalize on home advantage and recent form against a less proven Austrian side, setting up an intriguing tactical battle with Liepaja likely to press for control and early control.

BT4Y best bet

FK Liepaja to Win

  • FK Liepaja has earned 6 points recently, showing strong form.
  • Liepaja concedes only 0.5 goals per game, indicating defensive solidity.
  • Austria Vienna’s recent form and data are limited, increasing uncertainty.
  • Liepaja’s home advantage and momentum favor a confident performance.
  • Over 2.5 goals and BTTS rates for Liepaja stand at 50%, suggesting balanced attacking potential.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors FK Liepaja to win with a 74% chance, reflecting their recent positive form and defensive strength. Liepaja’s ability to limit goals conceded while maintaining a moderate scoring rate supports their control in this fixture. Austria Vienna’s limited data and lack of recent points weaken their case, making Liepaja’s home advantage and momentum key factors. Although Austria Vienna’s sample size is thin, the available trends and Liepaja’s consistency provide a solid football rationale for backing the home win.

Recent FormLiepaja 6 points vs Austria Vienna 0 points
Strong positive
Defensive RecordLiepaja concedes 0.5 goals per game
Positive
Data QualityLimited Austria Vienna data increases uncertainty
Neutral
Home AdvantageLiepaja playing at home with good momentum
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

FK Liepaja’s recent form and defensive discipline provide a tactical edge in this early qualifying round fixture. Their ability to control games and capitalize on home advantage aligns with the data showing Austria Vienna’s lack of recent points and thinner form sample. This combination makes Liepaja the favored side to secure victory in this encounter.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“FK Liepaja’s solid defensive shape and recent winning momentum make them the logical pick here, especially given Austria Vienna’s limited recent form data and uncertain attacking threat.”

Key Data Signals

FK Liepaja to Win evidence

FK Liepaja has earned 6 points recently, showing strong form.

Liepaja concedes only 0.5 goals per game, indicating defensive solidity.

Austria Vienna’s recent form and data are limited, increasing uncertainty.

Liepaja’s home advantage and momentum favor a confident performance.

What To Watch In The Data

FK Liepaja to Win notes

  • Recent trends indicate a 50% rate of over 2.5 goals in FK Liepaja’s matches, suggesting a moderate tempo with balanced attacking opportunities.
  • The lack of head-to-head history and Austria Vienna’s limited data make this trend a useful guide, implying the match could feature a few well-crafted goals rather than a defensive stalemate.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FK Liepaja

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
15 Jul 2026A Dečić2-1
09 Jul 2026H Dečić1-0

Austria Vienna

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Austria Vienna yet.

Market aligned with main pickFK Liepaja to WinBet365 guide price · Model 32% vs implied 17% · edge +15 pts
6
Check odds @ 6
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
FK Liepaja Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 38%
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
FK Liepaja’s recent form is strong, securing 6 points and averaging 1.5 goals scored with only 0.5 conceded per game, indicating effective offense and defense. Austria Vienna’s lack of recent points and unavailable goal data highlight their struggles and uncertainty, making Liepaja’s momentum a key factor heading into this match.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FK Liepaja1.5
Avg goals scored
Austria Vienna-
FK Liepaja0.5
Avg goals conceded
Austria Vienna-
FK Liepaja50%
BTTS rate
Austria Vienna-
FK Liepaja50%
Over 2.5 goals
Austria Vienna-
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 68%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Liepaja’s recent matches show a balanced attacking and defensive profile, with a 50% rate for both over 2.5 goals and BTTS. This suggests matches can be competitive with chances at both ends, but not overly high scoring, fitting a controlled tempo where Liepaja can manage the game effectively.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickFK Liepaja to WinBet365 guide price · Model 32% vs implied 17% · edge +15 pts
6
Check odds @ 6
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
FK Liepaja Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 38%
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The price for FK Liepaja to win reflects their strong recent form and defensive resilience, aligning well with the model’s 74% win probability. While exact are unavailable, the market likely views Liepaja as favorites due to home advantage and Austria Vienna’s limited recent data, making this a price-sensitive but justified selection.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0FK Liepaja wins
0Draws
0Austria Vienna wins
Market aligned with main pickFK Liepaja to WinBet365 guide price · Model 32% vs implied 17% · edge +15 pts
6
Check odds @ 6
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
No previous meetings exist between FK Liepaja and Austria Vienna, so head-to-head data offers no direct insight. This absence places greater emphasis on recent form and tactical context, where Liepaja’s stronger recent results and home advantage provide the clearest indicators for the expected outcome.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa Conference League

FK Liepaja2
Played
Austria Vienna0
FK Liepaja1.5
Avg goals for
Austria Vienna0
FK Liepaja0.5
Avg goals against
Austria Vienna0
FK Liepaja1
Clean sheets
Austria Vienna0
Market aligned with main pickFK Liepaja to WinBet365 guide price · Model 32% vs implied 17% · edge +15 pts
6
Check odds @ 6
Load more odds for this section
FK Liepaja Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 38%
4.4
Check odds @ 4.4
Season-long data for FK Liepaja shows a solid defensive record and consistent goal scoring, supporting their ability to control matches and limit opponent chances. Austria Vienna’s limited season data reduces in their attacking and defensive profiles, emphasizing Liepaja’s advantage in season-long performance metrics.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%FK Liepaja Over 2.5
-Austria Vienna Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Recent trends indicate a 50% rate of over 2.5 goals in FK Liepaja’s matches, suggesting a moderate tempo with balanced attacking opportunities. The lack of head-to-head history and Austria Vienna’s limited data make this trend a useful guide, implying the match could feature a few well-crafted goals rather than a defensive stalemate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.