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FK Crvena Zvezda crestFK Crvena Zvezda
v
Hapoel Beer Sheva crestHapoel Beer Sheva

UEFA Champions League | Tue 11 Aug, 19:00

FK Crvena Zvezda v Hapoel Beer Sheva Stats

Data last updated: Mon 24 Aug 2026, 09:09 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FK Crvena Zvezda face Hapoel Beer Sheva in UEFA Champions League on Tue 11 Aug, 19:00. FK Crvena Zvezda come in with 6 recent points and 3 goals per match, while Hapoel Beer Sheva have 6 points and 1.33 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 2.62, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 38%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 53%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 67% for FK Crvena Zvezda and 33% for Hapoel Beer Sheva, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • FK Crvena Zvezda are carrying more of the scoring load at 3 goals per match, with Hapoel Beer Sheva at 1.33.
  • BTTS rates of 0% for FK Crvena Zvezda and 33% for Hapoel Beer Sheva show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 53% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 38% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 67% for FK Crvena Zvezda and 33% for Hapoel Beer Sheva, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price53% model chance against roughly 38% implied
Strong positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 67% for FK Crvena Zvezda.Visible data support
Positive
FK Crvena Zvezda are carrying more of the scoring load.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers FK Crvena Zvezda are carrying more of the scoring load at 3 goals per match, with Hapoel Beer Sheva at 1.33. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

FK Crvena Zvezda are carrying more of the scoring load at 3 goals per match, with Hapoel Beer Sheva at 1.33.

BTTS rates of 0% for FK Crvena Zvezda and 33% for Hapoel Beer Sheva show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FK Crvena Zvezda3
Avg goals scored
Hapoel Beer Sheva1.33
FK Crvena Zvezda0.33
Avg goals conceded
Hapoel Beer Sheva0.67
FK Crvena Zvezda0%
BTTS rate
Hapoel Beer Sheva33%
FK Crvena Zvezda67%
Over 2.5 goals
Hapoel Beer Sheva33%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 25%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionHapoel Beer Sheva Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 32% vs implied 17% · edge +15 pts
5.9
Check odds @ 5.9
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Hapoel Beer Sheva to WinBetfred guide price · model 24%
11
Check odds @ 11
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
FK Crvena Zvezda Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.13
Check odds @ 1.13
FK Crvena Zvezda to WinBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Hapoel Beer Sheva Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FK Crvena Zvezda

LWW
Last 52W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 1L
04 Aug 2026A Hapoel Beer Sheva0-1
29 Jul 2026H Larne5-0
21 Jul 2026A Larne4-0

Hapoel Beer Sheva

WWL
Last 52W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 1L
04 Aug 2026H FK Crvena Zvezda1-0
29 Jul 2026H Vikingur Reykjavik2-0
21 Jul 2026A Vikingur Reykjavik1-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
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Hapoel Beer Sheva Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 32%
5.9
Check odds @ 5.9
Hapoel Beer Sheva to WinBetfred guide price · model 24%
11
Check odds @ 11
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 83%
1.03
Check odds @ 1.03
FK Crvena Zvezda Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.13
Check odds @ 1.13
FK Crvena Zvezda to WinBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0FK Crvena Zvezda wins
0Draws
1Hapoel Beer Sheva wins
04 Aug 2026Hapoel Beer Sheva v FK Crvena Zvezda1-0
Best odds for this sectionHapoel Beer Sheva to WinBetfred guide price · Model 24% vs implied 9% · edge +15 pts
11
Check odds @ 11
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DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
FK Crvena Zvezda to WinBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
The head-to-head sample gives context for Hapoel Beer Sheva to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Champions League

FK Crvena Zvezda4
Played
Hapoel Beer Sheva5
FK Crvena Zvezda2.3
Avg goals for
Hapoel Beer Sheva1.6
FK Crvena Zvezda0.8
Avg goals against
Hapoel Beer Sheva0.6
FK Crvena Zvezda2
Clean sheets
Hapoel Beer Sheva3
Best odds for this sectionHapoel Beer Sheva Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 32% vs implied 17% · edge +15 pts
5.9
Check odds @ 5.9
Load more odds for this section
Hapoel Beer Sheva to WinBetfred guide price · model 24%
11
Check odds @ 11
FK Crvena Zvezda Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.13
Check odds @ 1.13
FK Crvena Zvezda to WinBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Season data supports Hapoel Beer Sheva Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

67%FK Crvena Zvezda Over 2.5
33%Hapoel Beer Sheva Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: FK Crvena Zvezda sit at 67% and Hapoel Beer Sheva sit at 33% with the H2H average at 1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.