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FC Schalke 04 crestFC Schalke 04
v
SV Elversberg crestSV Elversberg

Bundesliga | Sun 20 Sep, 16:30

FC Schalke 04 v SV Elversberg Stats

Data last updated: Mon 21 Sep 2026, 01:19 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC Schalke 04 host SV Elversberg in a Bundesliga clash that promises attacking intent from both sides. Schalke have struggled to find the net consistently, scoring just once in recent outings, while Elversberg boast a potent offense averaging over 2.5 goals per game. Defensively, both teams have shown vulnerabilities, with Schalke conceding 1.33 goals and Elversberg 2.33 on average. This fixture is poised for an open, high-tempo encounter as both teams seek to assert themselves early in the season, making goal-scoring opportunities likely throughout the match.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Elversberg average 2.67 goals per game, Schalke 1 goal per game recently
  • Both teams have high Over 2.5 Goals rates: Elversberg 100%, Schalke 67%
  • Recent matches show Schalke concede 1.33 goals per game, Elversberg 2.33
  • Average shots on target per game are balanced: Schalke 5.33, Elversberg 5.67
  • H2H average goals stand at 2.83 across six meetings, indicating open games

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a strong value bet with a 58% chance, significantly higher than the 45.5% implied by current . Both teams have shown attacking prowess and defensive frailties, with Elversberg particularly prolific in front of goal. Schalke's moderate goal output combined with Elversberg's aggressive style suggests a high-scoring game. The data quality is solid for both teams, supporting in this projection. The model recommends standard stake given the positive and level.

Model Chance58%
Strong positive
Implied Chance45.5%
Strong positive
Value Edge12.5%
Strong positive
Recent Goals ScoredElversberg 2.67, Schalke 1
Positive
Over 2.5 Goals RateElversberg 100%, Schalke 67%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a lively encounter with both teams pushing forward aggressively, especially Elversberg who have been prolific this season. Schalke's defensive lapses and Elversberg's attacking threat create a strong case for multiple goals. This match should produce plenty of scoring chances and goals, fitting the Over 3.5 Goals selection well.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · match scoring potential

“This fixture features two sides with contrasting defensive records but shared attacking ambition, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling call. Elversberg's offensive firepower combined with Schalke's defensive vulnerabilities sets the stage for an open, goal-rich game.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Elversberg average 2.67 goals per game, Schalke 1 goal per game recently

Both teams have high Over 2.5 Goals rates: Elversberg 100%, Schalke 67%

Recent matches show Schalke concede 1.33 goals per game, Elversberg 2.33

Average shots on target per game are balanced: Schalke 5.33, Elversberg 5.67

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last six head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.83, indicating a trend towards open games.
  • Recent matches involving both teams show a high frequency of Over 2.5 Goals outcomes, driven by attacking tempo and defensive gaps, suggesting this fixture will continue that pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC Schalke 041
Avg goals scored
SV Elversberg2.67
FC Schalke 041.33
Avg goals conceded
SV Elversberg2.33
FC Schalke 0433%
BTTS rate
SV Elversberg100%
FC Schalke 0467%
Over 2.5 goals
SV Elversberg100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 46% · edge +12.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 77%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 32%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring games, with Elversberg scoring nearly three goals per match and Schalke contributing to matches with multiple goals. BTTS rates differ, but the goal volume supports an expectation of Over 3.5 Goals, driven by attacking intent and defensive lapses on both sides.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 77% vs implied 65% · edge +11.7 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
SV Elversberg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
SV Elversberg to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
FC Schalke 04 Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
The Over 3.5 Goals market is priced attractively with reflecting a 45.5% chance, while the model estimates a 58% likelihood, indicating clear value. This positive suggests the market underestimates the probability of a high-scoring game, making it a favorable bet at current prices.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

FC Schalke 042.67
Avg corners for
SV Elversberg3.67
FC Schalke 0411.33
Avg total corners
SV Elversberg12
FC Schalke 041
Avg yellow cards
SV Elversberg2
FC Schalke 0411.33
Avg shots
SV Elversberg10
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
The average shots and corners data reveal active attacking play from both teams, with Elversberg averaging more corners and shots on target. The relatively low card counts suggest a game focused on open play rather than stoppages, supporting sustained pressure and goal opportunities.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC Schalke 04

WDL
Last 51W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 1L
11 Sep 2026A Union Berlin3-1
05 Sep 2026H Bayern München0-0
30 Aug 2026A FC Augsburg0-3

SV Elversberg

LWW
Last 52W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 1L
13 Sep 2026H Bayern München1-2
05 Sep 2026A Borussia Mönchengladbach4-3
29 Aug 2026H Bayer Leverkusen3-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
SV Elversberg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
SV Elversberg to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
FC Schalke 04 Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
FC Schalke 04 to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Recent form data highlights Elversberg's strong offensive output with an average of 2.67 goals per game and a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, while Schalke has a more modest scoring record but participates in high-scoring matches 67% of the time. This form supports the likelihood of a goal-heavy fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3FC Schalke 04 wins
1Draws
2SV Elversberg wins
12 Apr 2026SV Elversberg v FC Schalke 041-2
08 Nov 2025FC Schalke 04 v SV Elversberg1-0
18 May 2025FC Schalke 04 v SV Elversberg1-2
20 Dec 2024SV Elversberg v FC Schalke 041-4
19 Apr 2024SV Elversberg v FC Schalke 041-1
10 Nov 2023FC Schalke 04 v SV Elversberg1-2
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 77% vs implied 65% · edge +11.7 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
SV Elversberg to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
FC Schalke 04 to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
The six previous meetings between these teams have averaged nearly three goals per game, indicating a history of open and attacking contests. While the sample is moderate, it supports the expectation of multiple goals in this fixture, aligning with the Over 3.5 Goals selection.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Bundesliga

FC Schalke 044
Played
SV Elversberg0
FC Schalke 040.8
Avg goals for
SV Elversberg-
FC Schalke 041
Avg goals against
SV Elversberg-
FC Schalke 042
Clean sheets
SV Elversberg-
Best odds for this sectionSV Elversberg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 60% · edge +6.3 pts
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Load more odds for this section
SV Elversberg to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
FC Schalke 04 Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
FC Schalke 04 to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Season-long statistics show Elversberg as a high-scoring side with defensive vulnerabilities, while Schalke's moderate scoring and conceding rates contribute to an environment conducive to multiple goals. Both teams' Over 3.5 Goals rates reinforce the expectation of a high-scoring match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
7SV Elversberg742111
11FC Schalke 0454121-1
Elversberg's higher league position and points tally reflect their attacking success, while Schalke's mid-table standing and points suggest inconsistency. The standings hint at Elversberg's and offensive momentum, which may influence the match tempo and goal opportunities.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

67%FC Schalke 04 Over 2.5
100%SV Elversberg Over 2.5
2.83H2H avg goals
Over the last six head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.83, indicating a trend towards open games. Recent matches involving both teams show a high frequency of Over 2.5 Goals outcomes, driven by attacking tempo and defensive gaps, suggesting this fixture will continue that pattern.

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