FC Augsburg

FC Schalke 04

Bundesliga | Sun 30 Aug, 16:30

FC Augsburg v FC Schalke 04 Stats

Data last updated: Sat 29 Aug 2026, 07:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC Augsburg face FC Schalke 04 in Bundesliga on Sun 30 Aug, 16:30. Augsburg conceded an average of 17.8 attempts per game across their last 10 league matches. Augsburg’s defensive frailty and Schalke’s strong scoring form in the 2. That defensive control was central to their promotion form.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

Over 2

Price warning: current odds imply about 60%, above the 53% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
At 4/6, Over 2 implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 53%.
Bundesliga suggest an open game with multiple goals.

Price warning

Over 2 is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 60% while the model sits nearer 53% (-7.2 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: BTTS No shows a +8.5 pts edge at 2.2.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 53% for Over 2 sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. Bundesliga suggest an open game with multiple goals.

Model chance vs price53% model chance against roughly 60% implied

Negative

Bundesliga suggest an open game with multiple goals.Article support

Positive

Price sensitivityEdge -7.2 pts

Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over that scoring level is the preferred angle because bundesliga suggest an open game with multiple goals. Risk Factor: If Schalke replicate their 2.

Main risk

Risk Factor: If Schalke replicate their 2.

Key Data Signals

Over 2 evidence

Bundesliga suggest an open game with multiple goals.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2 notes

Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC Augsburg-

Avg goals scored

FC Schalke 04-

FC Augsburg-

Avg goals conceded

FC Schalke 04-

FC Augsburg-

BTTS rate

FC Schalke 04-

FC Augsburg-

Over 2.5 goals

FC Schalke 04-

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 58% · edge -5 pts

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 51%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 71%

1.22

Check odds @ 1.22

Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 35%

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Over 2.5 Goals does not fully support the current price; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Bundesliga fixtures and predictions related match prediction player stats betting angles football stats hub football hub football predictions hub best bets research acca fixture filtering

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 58% · edge -5 pts

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

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FC Schalke 04 to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

FC Augsburg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%

Check odds @ 2

FC Schalke 04 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%

3.7

Check odds @ 3.7

FC Augsburg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%

2.15

Check odds @ 2.15

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Over 2.5 Goals is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC Augsburg

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for FC Augsburg yet.

FC Schalke 04

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for FC Schalke 04 yet.

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 60% · edge +11.1 pts

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 73%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

FC Schalke 04 to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

FC Augsburg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%

Check odds @ 2

FC Schalke 04 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%

3.7

Check odds @ 3.7

FC Augsburg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%

2.15

Check odds @ 2.15

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3FC Augsburg wins

5Draws

2FC Schalke 04 wins

29 Oct 2024FC Augsburg v FC Schalke 043-0

18 Mar 2023FC Augsburg v FC Schalke 041-1

02 Oct 2022FC Schalke 04 v FC Augsburg2-3

17 Jul 2022FC Augsburg v FC Schalke 041-1

11 Apr 2021FC Schalke 04 v FC Augsburg1-0

13 Dec 2020FC Augsburg v FC Schalke 042-2

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 58% · edge -5 pts

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Load more odds for this section

FC Schalke 04 to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%

3.7

Check odds @ 3.7

FC Augsburg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%

2.15

Check odds @ 2.15

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

The head-to-head sample gives context for Over 2.5 Goals, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Bundesliga

FC Augsburg0

Played

FC Schalke 040

FC Augsburg0

Avg goals for

FC Schalke 040

FC Augsburg0

Avg goals against

FC Schalke 040

FC Augsburg0

Clean sheets

FC Schalke 040

Best odds for this sectionFC Schalke 04 to WinBetfred guide price · Model 41% vs implied 32% · edge +8.7 pts

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

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FC Augsburg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%

Check odds @ 2

FC Schalke 04 Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

FC Augsburg to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%

2.15

Check odds @ 2.15

Season data supports FC Schalke 04 to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
11	FC Augsburg	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	FC Schalke 04	0	0	0	0	0	0

FC Augsburg sit in position 11, while FC Schalke 04 sit in position 14, so table pressure belongs in the Over 2 assessment.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-FC Augsburg Over 2.5

-FC Schalke 04 Over 2.5

2.7H2H avg goals

Bundesliga suggest an open game with multiple goals.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre

Football Stats Hub

FC Augsburg v FC Schalke 04 Stats

Match Report

Over 2

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

FC Augsburg

FC Schalke 04

Next step

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Football Stats Hub

FC Augsburg v FC Schalke 04 Stats

Match Report

Over 2

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

FC Augsburg

FC Schalke 04

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Prediction context

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