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FC Aarau crestFC Aarau
v
Union Berlin crestUnion Berlin

Friendlies Clubs | Sat 18 Jul, 15:00

FC Aarau v Union Berlin Stats

Data last updated: Fri 17 Jul 2026, 05:18 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC Aarau face Union Berlin in Friendlies Clubs on Sat 18 Jul, 15:00. FC Aarau come in with 3 recent points and 1.6 goals per match, while Union Berlin have 8 points and 3.2 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Union Berlin to Win

  • Union Berlin Win is rated around 70% by the current BT4Y model.
  • Union Berlin have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 3 for FC Aarau.
  • Union Berlin have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Union Berlin Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Union Berlin Win around 70% on the latest available numbers. Union Berlin have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 3 for FC Aarau.

Union Berlin have the stronger recent points return, taking 8.Visible data support
Positive
Union Berlin have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityCheck the latest price
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Union Berlin Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Union Berlin have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 3 for FC Aarau. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Union Berlin Win evidence

Union Berlin have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 3 for FC Aarau.

Union Berlin have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Union Berlin Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Union Berlin Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    FC Aarau1.6
    Avg goals scored
    Union Berlin3.2
    FC Aarau2.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Union Berlin1.4
    FC Aarau80%
    BTTS rate
    Union Berlin80%
    FC Aarau80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Union Berlin40%

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    FC Aarau

    LLWLL
    Last 51W 0D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 4L
    10 Jul 2026A Austria Lustenau0-1
    30 Jun 2026H St. Gallen II1-3
    17 Jan 2026H FC Schaffhausen4-2
    10 Jan 2026A FK Crvena Zvezda1-4
    06 Jan 2026A Dynamo Dresden2-3

    Union Berlin

    DLDWW
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 2D 1L
    17 Jul 2026A FC Winterthur1-1
    12 Jul 2026A FC Carl Zeiss Jena0-2
    09 Jul 2026A Chemnitzer FC1-1
    04 Jul 2026A Optik Rathenow12-2
    05 Jan 2026A Erzgebirge Aue2-1

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    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0FC Aarau wins
    0Draws
    0Union Berlin wins

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    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Friendlies Clubs

    FC Aarau5
    Played
    Union Berlin4
    FC Aarau1.6
    Avg goals for
    Union Berlin3.8
    FC Aarau2.6
    Avg goals against
    Union Berlin1.5
    FC Aarau0
    Clean sheets
    Union Berlin0

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%FC Aarau Over 2.5
    40%Union Berlin Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: FC Aarau sit at 80% and Union Berlin sit at 40%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.