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Jong AZ crestJong AZ
v
Jong Ajax crestJong Ajax

Friendlies Clubs | Fri 17 Jul, 11:00

Jong AZ v Jong Ajax Stats

Data last updated: Thu 16 Jul 2026, 13:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Jong AZ face Jong Ajax in Friendlies Clubs on Fri 17 Jul, 11:00. Jong AZ come in with 4 recent points and 2 goals per match, while Jong Ajax have 0 points and - goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Jong AZ to Win

  • At 2.05, Jong AZ Win implies roughly 49%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 70%.
  • Jong AZ have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Jong Ajax.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 70% for Jong AZ Win sits against roughly 49% implied by the current price. Jong AZ have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Jong Ajax.

Model chance vs price70% model chance against roughly 49% implied
Strong positive
Jong AZ have the stronger recent points return, taking 4.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +21.1 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Jong AZ Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Jong AZ have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Jong Ajax. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Jong AZ Win evidence

Jong AZ have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 0 for Jong Ajax.

What To Watch In The Data

Jong AZ Win notes

    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Jong AZ

    WD
    Last 51W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 0L
    11 Jul 2026H FC Volendam3-1
    04 Jul 2026A Waalwijk1-1

    Jong Ajax

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Jong Ajax yet.

    Market aligned with main pickJong AZ to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 49% · edge +21.1 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Load more odds for this section
    Jong AZ Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    player stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Jong AZ2
    Avg goals scored
    Jong Ajax-
    Jong AZ1
    Avg goals conceded
    Jong Ajax-
    Jong AZ100%
    BTTS rate
    Jong Ajax-
    Jong AZ50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Jong Ajax-
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 46% vs implied 28% · edge +17.4 pts
    3.55
    Check odds @ 3.55
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 76%
    1.1
    Check odds @ 1.1
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.27
    Check odds @ 1.27
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 40%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickJong AZ to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 49% · edge +21.1 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Load more odds for this section
    Jong AZ Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.27
    Check odds @ 1.27
    Jong AZ to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    5Jong AZ wins
    2Draws
    3Jong Ajax wins
    12 Jan 2026Jong AZ v Jong Ajax1-2
    18 Aug 2025Jong Ajax v Jong AZ4-1
    13 Jan 2025Jong AZ v Jong Ajax2-1
    17 Sep 2024Jong Ajax v Jong AZ1-2
    10 May 2024Jong Ajax v Jong AZ1-4
    18 Sep 2023Jong AZ v Jong Ajax5-2
    Market aligned with main pickJong AZ to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 49% · edge +21.1 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.27
    Check odds @ 1.27
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Jong AZ to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Friendlies Clubs

    Jong AZ3
    Played
    Jong Ajax1
    Jong AZ2.3
    Avg goals for
    Jong Ajax0
    Jong AZ0.7
    Avg goals against
    Jong Ajax3
    Jong AZ1
    Clean sheets
    Jong Ajax0
    Market aligned with main pickJong AZ to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 49% · edge +21.1 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Load more odds for this section
    Jong AZ Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Season data supports Jong AZ to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    50%Jong AZ Over 2.5
    -Jong Ajax Over 2.5
    3.6H2H avg goals

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Football predictions hub

    Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

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    Competition and hubs

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    View match centre