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FC Nordsjaelland crestFC Nordsjaelland
v
Sparta Praha crestSparta Praha

Friendlies Clubs | Fri 17 Jul, 11:00

FC Nordsjaelland v Sparta Praha Stats

Data last updated: Fri 17 Jul 2026, 23:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC Nordsjaelland face Sparta Praha in Friendlies Clubs on Fri 17 Jul, 11:00. FC Nordsjaelland come in with 2 recent points and 1 goals per match, while Sparta Praha have 7 points and 2 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Sparta Praha to Win

  • At 1.95, Sparta Praha Win implies roughly 51%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 70%.
  • Sparta Praha have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 2 for FC Nordsjaelland.
  • Sparta Praha have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Sparta Praha Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 70% for Sparta Praha Win sits against roughly 51% implied by the current price. Sparta Praha have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 2 for FC Nordsjaelland.

Model chance vs price70% model chance against roughly 51% implied
Strong positive
Sparta Praha have the stronger recent points return, taking 7.Visible data support
Positive
Sparta Praha have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Sparta Praha Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Sparta Praha have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 2 for FC Nordsjaelland. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Sparta Praha Win evidence

Sparta Praha have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 2 for FC Nordsjaelland.

Sparta Praha have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Sparta Praha Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Sparta Praha Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    FC Nordsjaelland1
    Avg goals scored
    Sparta Praha2
    FC Nordsjaelland2.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Sparta Praha1.2
    FC Nordsjaelland60%
    BTTS rate
    Sparta Praha40%
    FC Nordsjaelland60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Sparta Praha60%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 38% · edge +6.6 pts
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 59%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 60% for FC Nordsjaelland and 60% for Sparta Praha, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickSparta Praha to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 51% · edge +18.7 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    Sparta Praha Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.78
    Check odds @ 1.78
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 59%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Sparta Praha to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    player stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    FC Nordsjaelland

    LLDDL
    Last 50W 2D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 3D 4L
    10 Jul 2026H Gornik Zabrze0-2
    10 Jul 2026H Hradec Králové0-3
    04 Jul 2026A Brondby3-3
    27 Jun 2026H AC Horsens1-1
    31 Jan 2026H B 931-4

    Sparta Praha

    LWWDL
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 1D 2L
    16 Jul 2026A Jagiellonia0-1
    11 Jul 2026H Gamba Osaka3-0
    04 Jul 2026H Opava4-1
    22 Jan 2026A Legia Warszawa3-3
    16 Jan 2026A Malmo FF0-1
    Market aligned with main pickSparta Praha to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 51% · edge +18.7 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    Sparta Praha Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.78
    Check odds @ 1.78
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
    1.29
    Check odds @ 1.29
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0FC Nordsjaelland wins
    0Draws
    0Sparta Praha wins
    Market aligned with main pickSparta Praha to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 51% · edge +18.7 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 59%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Sparta Praha to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Friendlies Clubs

    FC Nordsjaelland11
    Played
    Sparta Praha7
    FC Nordsjaelland1.5
    Avg goals for
    Sparta Praha2
    FC Nordsjaelland1.7
    Avg goals against
    Sparta Praha1.6
    FC Nordsjaelland2
    Clean sheets
    Sparta Praha2
    Market aligned with main pickSparta Praha to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 51% · edge +18.7 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    Sparta Praha Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.78
    Check odds @ 1.78
    Season data supports Sparta Praha to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%FC Nordsjaelland Over 2.5
    60%Sparta Praha Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: FC Nordsjaelland sit at 60% and Sparta Praha sit at 60%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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