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Everton crestEverton
v
Manchester City crestManchester City

Premier League | Tue 29 Dec, 20:15

Everton v Manchester City Stats

Data last updated: Mon 19 Oct 2026, 03:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Everton face Manchester City in Premier League on Tue 29 Dec, 20:15. Manchester City visit Everton in a crucial Premier League clash. Manchester City are in relentless form with six straight wins, yet their away matches rarely see explosions of goals, with eight of their last nine featuring under 3.5.

BT4Y best bet

Everton Win

  • At 13/2, Everton Win implies roughly 13%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • Scoring Patterns: Controlled Away Days
  • Manchester City have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 6 for Everton.
  • Manchester City have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Everton Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Everton sit 8 in the table, while Manchester City sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 27% for Everton Win sits against roughly 13% implied by the current price. Manchester City have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 6 for Everton. Scoring Patterns: Controlled Away Days

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 13% implied
Positive
Manchester City have the stronger recent points return, taking 15.Visible data support
Positive
Manchester City have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Scoring Patterns: Controlled Away DaysArticle support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Everton Win is the preferred angle because scoring Patterns: Controlled Away Days Manchester City have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 6 for Everton. However, beneath the surface lies a subtle vulnerability.

Main risk

However, beneath the surface lies a subtle vulnerability.

Key Data Signals

Everton Win evidence

Scoring Patterns: Controlled Away Days

Manchester City have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 6 for Everton.

Manchester City have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Everton Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Everton sit 8 in the table, while Manchester City sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Everton Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Everton1
    Avg goals scored
    Manchester City2.6
    Everton1.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Manchester City1
    Everton40%
    BTTS rate
    Manchester City40%
    Everton40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Manchester City60%

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Everton

    LDWDD
    Last 51W 3D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 4D 1L
    17 Oct 2026H Chelsea0-2
    11 Oct 2026A Hull City2-2
    19 Sep 2026H Ipswich1-0
    12 Sep 2026A Tottenham0-0
    06 Sep 2026H Manchester United2-2

    Manchester City

    WWWWW
    Last 55W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 107W 0D 0L
    17 Oct 2026H Ipswich3-2
    11 Oct 2026A Liverpool3-0
    20 Sep 2026H Sunderland5-3
    13 Sep 2026A Manchester United1-0
    05 Sep 2026H Coventry1-0

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Everton Over 2.5
    60%Manchester City Over 2.5
    2.7H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Everton sit at 40% and Manchester City sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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