Estrela

Academico Viseu

Primeira Liga | Sun 20 Sep, 15:30

Estrela v Academico Viseu Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:19 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Estrela and Academico Viseu meet in a Primeira Liga clash where attacking intent and goal-scoring form stand out. Estrela boasts a perfect record for matches exceeding 2.5 goals this season, while Academico Viseu also shows a decent rate of high-scoring games. Both teams have demonstrated offensive capabilities but also defensive vulnerabilities, setting the stage for an open encounter with multiple goal opportunities. The fixture promises a lively contest with both sides eager to capitalize on their attacking strengths and improve their league standing.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

Estrela has a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season, indicating consistent high-scoring matches.
Academico Viseu records a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, supporting the likelihood of goals.
The last four head-to-head meetings averaged 3.25 goals per game, suggesting a trend for multiple goals.
Estrela averages 13.4 shots and 5.2 shots on target per game, showing strong offensive pressure.
Academico Viseu’s M. Bouldini is a key attacking threat with 4.29 shots and shots on target per 90 minutes.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 78% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, reflecting the attacking profiles and recent scoring trends of both teams. Estrela’s perfect record for high-scoring games and Academico Viseu’s solid offensive output underpin this . The head-to-head average of 3.25 goals further supports the expectation of an open game. No price warnings apply, and the current offer positive value with a 29.2% edge. This match is well-suited for Over 2.5 Goals given the attacking tendencies and defensive frailties evident in the data.

Estrela Over 2.5 Rate100% this season

Strong positive

Academico Viseu Over 2.5 Rate60% this season

Positive

Head-to-Head Average Goals3.25 goals in last 4 matches

Positive

Model Probability78% chance of Over 2.5 Goals

Strong positive

Value Edge29.2% positive value

Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking match with Estrela’s strong offensive form and Academico Viseu’s key attackers driving goal opportunities. Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, making Over 2.5 Goals a logical choice supported by recent scoring trends and head-to-head data.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and attacking dynamics

“Estrela’s relentless attacking pressure combined with Academico Viseu’s dangerous forwards creates a fertile environment for goals. The data clearly points to a match where both sides will seek to exploit defensive gaps, making Over 2.5 Goals a compelling selection.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Estrela has a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season, indicating consistent high-scoring matches.

Academico Viseu records a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, supporting the likelihood of goals.

The last four head-to-head meetings averaged 3.25 goals per game, suggesting a trend for multiple goals.

Estrela averages 13.4 shots and 5.2 shots on target per game, showing strong offensive pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

The last four head-to-head matches averaged 3.25 goals, supporting a trend of high-scoring encounters.
This recent sample indicates a tempo and tactical openness that favors multiple goals, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals selection for this fixture.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Estrela3.25

Avg corners for

Academico Viseu3

Estrela7

Avg total corners

Academico Viseu7.4

Estrela2.75

Avg yellow cards

Academico Viseu2.6

Estrela14.5

Avg shots

Academico Viseu9.8

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 58% · edge -10.1 pts

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Estrela averages 3.6 corners and 13.4 shots per game, indicating sustained offensive pressure and territorial control. Academico Viseu’s 3 corners and 9.8 shots suggest they will also create chances. Both teams have similar yellow card averages (2.6), indicating a balanced fouling profile without excessive discipline issues affecting flow.

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Primeira Liga hub football cards angles player stats betting angles latest football stats main football hub today's predictions best bets research acca fixture filtering

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Estrela2.4

Avg goals scored

Academico Viseu1

Estrela2

Avg goals conceded

Academico Viseu1.4

Estrela100%

BTTS rate

Academico Viseu40%

Estrela100%

Over 2.5 goals

Academico Viseu60%

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 71%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

Both teams exhibit attacking tendencies with Estrela scoring 2.4 goals per game and Academico Viseu 1 goal per game. Estrela’s 100% BTTS rate and Academico Viseu’s 40% rate reflect a propensity for goals at both ends, supporting the expectation of multiple goals and possible BTTS scenarios.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 71%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Estrela to WinBetUK guide price · model 59%

2.15

Check odds @ 2.15

Estrela Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Academico Viseu Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 48%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Academico Viseu to WinBet365 guide price · model 25%

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively at 2.05 with a of 78%, indicating strong value. The significant positive of 29.2% suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of a high-scoring game, making this a price-sensitive opportunity worth considering.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Estrela

DWDWD

Last 52W 3D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 102W 4D 0L

14 Sep 2026A Rio Ave3-3

10 Sep 2026H SC Braga2-1

05 Sep 2026H Famalicao2-2

30 Aug 2026A Nacional3-2

15 Aug 2026A Alverca2-2

Academico Viseu

WWLDL

Last 52W 1D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 102W 2D 2L

12 Sep 2026H Vitória SC2-1

06 Sep 2026A GIL Vicente1-0

29 Aug 2026H FC Porto0-3

22 Aug 2026A Maritimo2-2

15 Aug 2026H Santa Clara0-1

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 84% vs implied 77% · edge +7.1 pts

1.3

Check odds @ 1.3

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Estrela to WinBetUK guide price · model 59%

2.15

Check odds @ 2.15

Estrela Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Academico Viseu Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 50%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Academico Viseu to WinBet365 guide price · model 25%

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%

3.3

Check odds @ 3.3

Estrela’s recent form is marked by a perfect record of Over 2.5 Goals in their matches, scoring 2.4 goals per game while conceding 2. Academico Viseu’s form shows a 60% Over 2.5 rate with 1 goal scored and 1.4 conceded per game. These trends indicate both teams are involved in open, goal-rich matches currently.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Estrela wins

1Draws

0Academico Viseu wins

05 Mar 2023Academico Viseu v Estrela1-1

12 Sep 2022Estrela v Academico Viseu2-1

05 Mar 2022Academico Viseu v Estrela0-4

10 Oct 2021Estrela v Academico Viseu4-0

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 71%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Estrela to WinBetUK guide price · model 59%

2.15

Check odds @ 2.15

Academico Viseu to WinBet365 guide price · model 25%

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%

3.3

Check odds @ 3.3

The head-to-head record between Estrela and Academico Viseu shows an average of 3.25 goals over four matches, indicating that previous encounters have been relatively high scoring. This historical trend supports expectations for an open game with multiple goals in this fixture.

Season team stats

Primeira Liga

Estrela6

Played

Academico Viseu6

Estrela2.3

Avg goals for

Academico Viseu1.2

Estrela2

Avg goals against

Academico Viseu1.5

Estrela0

Clean sheets

Academico Viseu1

Best odds for this sectionEstrela to WinBetUK guide price · Model 59% vs implied 47% · edge +12.5 pts

2.15

Check odds @ 2.15

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Estrela Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Academico Viseu Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Academico Viseu to WinBet365 guide price · model 25%

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

Season-long statistics reveal Estrela’s strong attacking output with 2.4 goals per game and a high Over 2.5 Goals rate, reflecting consistent offensive firepower. Academico Viseu’s more moderate scoring is offset by defensive vulnerabilities, contributing to a combined environment conducive to multiple goals.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
6	Estrela	10	6	2	4	0	2
9	Academico Viseu	8	6	2	2	2	-2

Estrela sits 6th and Academico Viseu 8th in the league, both within striking distance of higher positions. This proximity suggests motivation to secure points through proactive play, which often leads to open matches and increased goal-scoring opportunities, aligning with the Over 2.5 Goals outlook.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Estrela Over 2.5

60%Academico Viseu Over 2.5

3.25H2H avg goals

The last four head-to-head matches averaged 3.25 goals, supporting a trend of high-scoring encounters. This recent sample indicates a tempo and tactical openness that favors multiple goals, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals selection for this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

Estrela v Academico Viseu Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Estrela

Academico Viseu

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Estrela v Academico Viseu Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Estrela

Academico Viseu

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