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Estac Troyes crestEstac Troyes
v
Paris FC crestParis FC

Ligue 1 | Sat 22 Aug, 19:45

Estac Troyes v Paris FC Stats

Data last updated: Fri 21 Aug 2026, 07:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Estac Troyes face Paris FC in Ligue 1 on Sat 22 Aug, 19:45.

BT4Y best bet

BTTS No

  • At 2.25, BTTS No implies roughly 44%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 54%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 54% for BTTS No sits against roughly 44% implied by the current price.

Model chance vs price54% model chance against roughly 44% implied
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +9.6 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: BTTS No is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

What To Watch In The Data

BTTS No notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting BTTS No.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Estac Troyes

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Estac Troyes yet.

Paris FC

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Paris FC yet.

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 74% · edge -4.1 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Paris FC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Paris FC to WinBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Estac Troyes to WinBetfred guide price · model 31%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Estac Troyes Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Estac Troyes-
Avg goals scored
Paris FC-
Estac Troyes-
Avg goals conceded
Paris FC-
Estac Troyes-
BTTS rate
Paris FC-
Estac Troyes-
Over 2.5 goals
Paris FC-
Market aligned with main pickBTTS NoBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 44% · edge +9.6 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 53%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionParis FC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 51% vs implied 52% · edge -0.8 pts
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
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Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Paris FC to WinBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Estac Troyes to WinBetfred guide price · model 31%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Estac Troyes Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
Paris FC Draw No Bet is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Estac Troyes Over 2.5
-Paris FC Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals

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