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England crestEngland
v
Costa Rica crestCosta Rica

Friendlies | Wed 10 Jun, 21:00

England v Costa Rica Stats

Data last updated: Fri 03 Jul 2026, 02:03 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

England face Costa Rica in Friendlies on Wed 10 Jun, 21:00. They have struggled to create massive scoring volume in 2026, failing to score more than once in any fixture this year, while maintaining defensive solidity. Costa Rica are on a downward trend, struggling heavily with consecutive losses to Iran and Colombia.

BT4Y best bet

S built on Costa Rica failing to score, such as the 'Win to Nil' angle or a 2-0 scoreline

  • At 8/15, England Win implies roughly 65%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • Costa Rica have conceded 11 goals across their last five internationals, including a 5-0 defeat to Iran and a 3-1 loss to Colombia.
  • England have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 1 for Costa Rica.
  • England have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.67 conceded per match, which helps the England Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for England Win sits against roughly 65% implied by the current price. England have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 1 for Costa Rica. Costa Rica have conceded that scoring level across their last five internationals, including a 5-0 defeat to Iran and a 3-1 loss to Colombia.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 65% implied
Neutral
England have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points.Visible data support
Positive
England have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.67 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Costa Rica have conceded 11 goals across their last.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: England Win is the preferred angle because costa Rica have conceded that scoring level across their last five internationals, including a 5-0 defeat to Iran and a 3-1 loss to Colombia. England have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 1 for Costa Rica. A 2-2 draw with Jordan began Fernando Batista’s reign, but that was followed by a heavy 5-0 defeat to Iran and a 3-1 loss to Colombia.

Main risk

A 2-2 draw with Jordan began Fernando Batista’s reign, but that was followed by a heavy 5-0 defeat to Iran and a 3-1 loss to Colombia.

Key Data Signals

England Win evidence

Costa Rica have conceded 11 goals across their last five internationals, including a 5-0 defeat to Iran.

England have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 1 for Costa Rica.

England have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.67 conceded per match, which helps the England Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

England Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    England8.67
    Avg corners for
    Costa Rica2
    England9.33
    Avg total corners
    Costa Rica6
    England0.33
    Avg yellow cards
    Costa Rica1
    England18.33
    Avg shots
    Costa Rica6
    Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    3
    Check odds @ 3
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    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 44%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 38%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    England0.67
    Avg goals scored
    Costa Rica1
    England0.67
    Avg goals conceded
    Costa Rica3.33
    England33%
    BTTS rate
    Costa Rica67%
    England0%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Costa Rica100%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 38% · edge +28.6 pts
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
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    Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 62%
    2.4
    Check odds @ 2.4
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 43%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 25%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickEngland to WinBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 88% · edge -21.2 pts
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
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    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    England Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.1
    Check odds @ 1.1
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 44%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 43%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    England to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    England

    WLD
    Last 51W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 1L
    06 Jun 2026H New Zealand1-0
    31 Mar 2026H Japan0-1
    27 Mar 2026H Uruguay1-1

    Costa Rica

    LLD
    Last 50W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 1D 2L
    02 Jun 2026A Colombia1-3
    31 Mar 2026H Iran0-5
    27 Mar 2026A Jordan2-2
    Market aligned with main pickEngland to WinBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 88% · edge -21.2 pts
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
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    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
    1.04
    Check odds @ 1.04
    England Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.1
    Check odds @ 1.1
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1England wins
    1Draws
    0Costa Rica wins
    07 Jun 2018England v Costa Rica2-0
    24 Jun 2014Costa Rica v England0-0
    Market aligned with main pickEngland to WinBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 88% · edge -21.2 pts
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 43%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    The head-to-head sample gives context for England to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Friendlies

    England4
    Played
    Costa Rica4
    England1.3
    Avg goals for
    Costa Rica0.8
    England0.5
    Avg goals against
    Costa Rica3.3
    England2
    Clean sheets
    Costa Rica0
    Market aligned with main pickEngland to WinBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 88% · edge -21.2 pts
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Load more odds for this section
    England Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.1
    Check odds @ 1.1
    Season data supports England to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    0%England Over 2.5
    100%Costa Rica Over 2.5
    1H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: England sit at 0% and Costa Rica sit at 100% with the H2H average at 1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.