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Sligo Rovers crestSligo Rovers

Premier Division | Fri 31 Jul, 19:45

Dundalk v Sligo Rovers Stats

Data last updated: Thu 30 Jul 2026, 04:14 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Premier Division clash features Dundalk hosting Sligo Rovers on a Friday evening. Dundalk, sitting comfortably in fourth place, have shown attacking intent recently but have also conceded at a higher rate, while Sligo Rovers, positioned tenth, have struggled defensively but maintain a similar goal-scoring rate. Both sides have a tendency for open games, with Dundalk's recent matches often featuring multiple goals. The fixture carries importance for Dundalk to consolidate their league position and for Sligo Rovers to fight for survival, setting up a potentially high-tempo encounter with goal-scoring opportunities at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Dundalk and Sligo Rovers both average 1.4 goals scored per game this season.
  • Dundalk's matches have an 80% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, matched by Sligo Rovers' 80%.
  • Dundalk's recent form shows 4 points with a high goal involvement, while Sligo Rovers have 2 points but concede frequently.
  • Average shots per game favor Dundalk with 14 shots and 4.25 on target, indicating attacking pressure.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 2.5 Goals at 65.7% chance, reflecting both teams' attacking tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities. Dundalk's 80% Over 2.5 rate and 100% BTTS rate underline their open style, while Sligo Rovers also show an 80% Over 2.5 rate, suggesting frequent high-scoring matches. The average of 2 goals per game in their head-to-head further supports the likelihood of multiple goals. No price warning is needed, and the data quality is solid, making this a standard stake recommendation based on consistent attacking output and defensive lapses from both sides.

Dundalk Over 2.5 Rate80%
Strong positive
Sligo Rovers Over 2.5 Rate80%
Strong positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals2.0 goals per game
Positive
Shots and On-Target ShotsDundalk 14 shots, 4.25 SOT; Sligo 9 shots, 3.25 SOT
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with both teams pushing forward, as Dundalk's attacking prowess meets Sligo Rovers' defensive frailties. The data shows a strong trend for multiple goals, making Over 2.5 Goals a fitting pick for this fixture.

Main risk

Dundalk carry the stronger scoring threat, but Sligo Rovers must contribute for BTTS to land.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Over 2.5 Goals

“Dundalk's offensive firepower combined with Sligo Rovers' defensive struggles sets the stage for a lively, high-scoring match. The statistical trends strongly favor Over 2.5 Goals, reflecting the attacking styles and recent form of both sides.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Dundalk and Sligo Rovers both average 1.4 goals scored per game this season.

Dundalk's matches have an 80% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, matched by Sligo Rovers' 80%.

Dundalk's recent form shows 4 points with a high goal involvement, while Sligo Rovers have 2 points but concede frequently.

Average shots per game favor Dundalk with 14 shots and 4.25 on target, indicating attacking pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.0, with recent matches often featuring multiple goals.
  • This trend, combined with both teams' attacking styles and defensive lapses, suggests a continued pattern of high-scoring games in this fixture.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Dundalk5.25
Avg corners for
Sligo Rovers2.25
Dundalk9.25
Avg total corners
Sligo Rovers10
Dundalk2
Avg yellow cards
Sligo Rovers1.5
Dundalk14
Avg shots
Sligo Rovers9

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Dundalk1.4
Avg goals scored
Sligo Rovers1.4
Dundalk1.8
Avg goals conceded
Sligo Rovers2.2
Dundalk100%
BTTS rate
Sligo Rovers80%
Dundalk80%
Over 2.5 goals
Sligo Rovers80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 65% · edge +0.3 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 48%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 38%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Both teams exhibit strong tendencies for goals and BTTS outcomes, with Dundalk's 100% BTTS rate and 80% Over 2.5 rate mirrored by Sligo Rovers' 80% Over 2.5 rate. This points to open matches where both sides contribute to the scoreline, enhancing the appeal of Over 2.5 Goals.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 65% · edge +0.3 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Sligo Rovers Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Sligo Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
DrawBetUK guide price · model 27%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Dundalk Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Dundalk to WinBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
The Over 2.5 Goals market aligns well with the model's 65.7% probability, indicating a solid chance for multiple goals. The absence of data suggests no immediate price sensitivity, supporting a standard stake approach based on consistent attacking and defensive patterns.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Dundalk

DLLLW
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
24 Jul 2026A St Patrick's Athl.1-1
10 Jul 2026H Drogheda United1-2
03 Jul 2026A Shelbourne1-2
26 Jun 2026H Waterford2-3
19 Jun 2026A Bohemians2-1

Sligo Rovers

DLLDL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 6L
25 Jul 2026H Drogheda United2-2
11 Jul 2026A Galway United2-3
03 Jul 2026H Shamrock Rovers1-2
27 Jun 2026H Shelbourne2-2
19 Jun 2026A St Patrick's Athl.0-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Load more odds for this section
Sligo Rovers Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Sligo Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 80%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
DrawBetUK guide price · model 27%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Dundalk Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Dundalk to WinBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Recent form data shows Dundalk securing 4 points with a high goal involvement and an 80% Over 2.5 rate, while Sligo Rovers have 2 points but also an 80% Over 2.5 rate. This suggests both teams are involved in matches with multiple goals, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals selection.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Dundalk wins
1Draws
4Sligo Rovers wins
25 Apr 2026Sligo Rovers v Dundalk2-0
16 Mar 2026Dundalk v Sligo Rovers1-0
18 Jul 2025Dundalk v Sligo Rovers0-2
21 Sep 2024Sligo Rovers v Dundalk2-1
13 Jun 2024Dundalk v Sligo Rovers1-0
19 Apr 2024Sligo Rovers v Dundalk1-1
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 65% · edge +0.3 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Sligo Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
DrawBetUK guide price · model 27%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Dundalk to WinBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
The head-to-head sample of ten matches shows an average of 2 goals per game, indicating moderately open contests historically. While not overwhelmingly high-scoring, this average supports the possibility of multiple goals, especially given current attacking and defensive trends for both teams.
Season team stats

Premier Division

Dundalk25
Played
Sligo Rovers25
Dundalk1.6
Avg goals for
Sligo Rovers0.9
Dundalk1.5
Avg goals against
Sligo Rovers1.7
Dundalk5
Clean sheets
Sligo Rovers5
Best odds for this sectionSligo Rovers Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 41% vs implied 26% · edge +15 pts
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Load more odds for this section
Sligo Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · model 31%
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
Dundalk Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Dundalk to WinBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Season-long statistics reveal both teams average 1.4 goals scored per game but concede more, with Dundalk allowing 1.8 and Sligo Rovers 2.2 goals per match. These defensive vulnerabilities combined with consistent attacking output underpin the expectation of a high-scoring encounter.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4Dundalk36259972
10Sligo Rovers21255614-20
Dundalk's fourth-place position with 36 points contrasts with Sligo Rovers' tenth place and 21 points, highlighting differing stakes. Dundalk aims to consolidate their league standing, likely pushing for goals, while Sligo Rovers' fight against relegation may lead to open play and scoring chances.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Dundalk Over 2.5
80%Sligo Rovers Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.0, with recent matches often featuring multiple goals. This trend, combined with both teams' attacking styles and defensive lapses, suggests a continued pattern of high-scoring games in this fixture.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Dundalk v Sligo Rovers prediction

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