Dundalk

Sligo Rovers

Premier Division | Fri 31 Jul, 19:45

Dundalk v Sligo Rovers Stats

Data last updated: Sat 22 Aug 2026, 07:37 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Dundalk face Sligo Rovers in Premier Division on Fri 31 Jul, 19:45. After winning the First Division in 2025, the Lilywhites have collected nine victories and nine draws from their opening 25 league matches. Dundalk, despite a recent winless run, maintain a stronger overall profile with high attacking volume and creative support from Daryl Horgan.

BT4Y best bet

Dundalk to win and both teams to score

At 7/4, Dundalk to win and both teams to score implies roughly 36%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 51%.
Dundalk's attacking tools and Sligo's defensive vulnerabilities, alongside Sligo's ability to score through Cian Kavanagh, make this exact score a logical prediction.
Dundalk have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 2 for Sligo Rovers.
Dundalk sit 4 in the table, while Sligo Rovers sit 10, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 51% for Dundalk to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 36% implied by the current price. Dundalk have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 2 for Sligo Rovers. Dundalk's attacking tools and Sligo's defensive vulnerabilities, alongside Sligo's ability to score through Cian Kavanagh, make this exact score a logical prediction.

Model chance vs price51% model chance against roughly 36% implied

Strong positive

Dundalk have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points.Visible data support

Positive

Dundalk sit 4 in the table, while Sligo Rovers sit.Visible data support

Positive

Dundalk's attacking tools and Sligo's defensive vulnerabilities, alongside Sligo's.Article support

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Dundalk Win is the preferred angle because dundalk's attacking tools and Sligo's defensive vulnerabilities, alongside Sligo's ability to score through Cian Kavanagh, make this exact score a logical prediction. Dundalk have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 2 for Sligo Rovers. Dundalk carry the stronger scoring threat, but Sligo Rovers must contribute for BTTS to land.

Main risk

Dundalk carry the stronger scoring threat, but Sligo Rovers must contribute for BTTS to land.

Key Data Signals

Dundalk to win and both teams to score evidence

Dundalk's attacking tools and Sligo's defensive vulnerabilities, alongside Sligo's ability to score through Cian Kavanagh, make this exact.

Dundalk have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 2 for Sligo Rovers.

Dundalk have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the Dundalk Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Dundalk sit 4 in the table, while Sligo Rovers sit 10, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Dundalk to win and both teams to score notes

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Dundalk5.25

Avg corners for

Sligo Rovers3

Dundalk9.25

Avg total corners

Sligo Rovers11.33

Dundalk2

Avg yellow cards

Sligo Rovers0.67

Dundalk14.25

Avg shots

Sligo Rovers8.33

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 71% · edge -5.9 pts

1.4

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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 72%

1.25

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Over 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price

1.67

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Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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Useful next reads

Dundalk v Sligo Rovers prediction corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles football stats hub football hub football predictions hub best bets research acca fixture filtering

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Dundalk1.4

Avg goals scored

Sligo Rovers1.4

Dundalk1.8

Avg goals conceded

Sligo Rovers2.2

Dundalk100%

BTTS rate

Sligo Rovers80%

Dundalk80%

Over 2.5 goals

Sligo Rovers80%

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 59% · edge +15 pts

1.7

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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 84%

1.14

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%

1.5

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Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 48%

2.2

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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 38%

2.5

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BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%

2.05

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Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickDundalk to WinBetfred guide price · Model 53% vs implied 71% · edge -18 pts

1.4

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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 74%

1.7

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%

1.5

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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 72%

1.25

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Dundalk Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%

1.24

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Dundalk to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Dundalk

DLLLW

Last 51W 1D 3L

Last 5 record

Last 104W 2D 4L

24 Jul 2026A St Patrick's Athl.1-1

10 Jul 2026H Drogheda United1-2

03 Jul 2026A Shelbourne1-2

26 Jun 2026H Waterford2-3

19 Jun 2026A Bohemians2-1

Sligo Rovers

DLLDL

Last 50W 2D 3L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 3D 6L

25 Jul 2026H Drogheda United2-2

11 Jul 2026A Galway United2-3

03 Jul 2026H Shamrock Rovers1-2

27 Jun 2026H Shelbourne2-2

19 Jun 2026A St Patrick's Athl.0-2

Market aligned with main pickDundalk to WinBetfred guide price · Model 53% vs implied 71% · edge -18 pts

1.4

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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 80%

1.11

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Dundalk Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%

1.24

Check odds @ 1.24

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Dundalk wins

1Draws

4Sligo Rovers wins

25 Apr 2026Sligo Rovers v Dundalk2-0

16 Mar 2026Dundalk v Sligo Rovers1-0

18 Jul 2025Dundalk v Sligo Rovers0-2

21 Sep 2024Sligo Rovers v Dundalk2-1

13 Jun 2024Dundalk v Sligo Rovers1-0

19 Apr 2024Sligo Rovers v Dundalk1-1

Market aligned with main pickDundalk to WinBetfred guide price · Model 53% vs implied 71% · edge -18 pts

1.4

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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 74%

1.7

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%

1.5

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The head-to-head sample gives context for Dundalk to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.

Season team stats

Premier Division

Dundalk28

Played

Sligo Rovers28

Dundalk1.5

Avg goals for

Sligo Rovers0.8

Dundalk1.5

Avg goals against

Sligo Rovers1.6

Dundalk5

Clean sheets

Sligo Rovers6

Market aligned with main pickDundalk to WinBetfred guide price · Model 53% vs implied 71% · edge -18 pts

1.4

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Dundalk Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%

1.24

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Season data supports Dundalk to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
4	Dundalk	37	28	9	10	9	0
10	Sligo Rovers	23	28	5	8	15	-22

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Dundalk Over 2.5

80%Sligo Rovers Over 2.5

2H2H avg goals

The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Dundalk sit at 80% and Sligo Rovers sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

Dundalk v Sligo Rovers Stats

Match Report

Dundalk to win and both teams to score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Dundalk

Sligo Rovers

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Football Stats Hub

Dundalk v Sligo Rovers Stats

Match Report

Dundalk to win and both teams to score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Dundalk

Sligo Rovers

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