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Dundalk crestDundalk
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Drogheda United crestDrogheda United

Premier Division | Fri 10 Jul, 19:45

Dundalk v Drogheda United Stats

Data last updated: Thu 09 Jul 2026, 03:50 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Premier Division clash between Drogheda United and Dundalk promises an intense, high-stakes encounter marked by contrasting tactical approaches. Drogheda United operate with a direct, counter-attacking style, averaging just 33.6% possession but maintaining a potent 1.4 goals per game, relying heavily on transitional speed and key players like Mark Doyle. Dundalk, holding 50.7% possession, prefer measured build-up play but have shown defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 11 goals in their last six matches. Both teams carry offensive threats and defensive frailties, setting the stage for an open, emotionally charged match likely to feature goals from both sides.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Drogheda average 1.4 goals per game despite low possession (33.6%).
  • Dundalk concede frequently, shipping 11 goals in last six matches.
  • Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, increasing goal chances.
  • Last meeting ended 1-1, reflecting a balanced, competitive fixture.
  • Dundalk average 16.7 attempts and 6.5 shots on goal per game.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The Both Teams to Score pick is strongly supported by the tactical and statistical profiles of both teams. Drogheda's direct attacking style yields 1.4 goals per match despite limited possession, while Dundalk's higher attacking volume and possession control create ample scoring opportunities. Both sides have conceded frequently recently, with Dundalk shipping 11 goals in six matches and Drogheda allowing 1.9 goals per game. This combination of offensive potency and defensive fragility makes a goal from each side highly probable. The model is high at 86%, with a significant due to the market's generous .

Drogheda's scoring rate1.4 goals per game despite 33.6% possession
Strong positive
Dundalk's attacking volume16.7 attempts and 6.5 shots on goal per match
Strong positive
Defensive vulnerabilitiesDundalk conceded 11 goals in last six matches; Drogheda concedes 1.9 goals per game
Strong positive
Recent head-to-headLast meeting ended 1-1, supporting balanced scoring
Positive
Main risk

The main risk is a sudden defensive improvement or tactical shift by either side that limits scoring chances, or a late decisive goal breaking the draw pattern, which could prevent both teams from scoring.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“This fixture's contrasting styles and recent defensive lapses practically guarantee goals at both ends, making the Both Teams to Score market a compelling and logical selection.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Drogheda average 1.4 goals per game despite low possession (33.6%).

Dundalk concede frequently, shipping 11 goals in last six matches.

Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, increasing goal chances.

Last meeting ended 1-1, reflecting a balanced, competitive fixture.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.8, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend.
  • Drogheda's recent six matches have averaged 3.5 goals, reflecting open play and defensive lapses.
  • These trends suggest a match tempo conducive to multiple goals and support the expectation of Both Teams to Score.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Dundalk5.75
Avg corners for
Drogheda United4.5
Dundalk9.5
Avg total corners
Drogheda United11.25
Dundalk1.5
Avg yellow cards
Drogheda United2.25
Dundalk17.5
Avg shots
Drogheda United11.75
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 60% · edge +1.7 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Dundalk averages 5.75 corners and 17.5 shots per game, while Drogheda averages 4.5 corners and 11.75 shots. Drogheda's higher average yellow cards (2.25) versus Dundalk's 1.5 suggests a physical match with fouls and set-piece opportunities, increasing chances for shots and goals from varied situations.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Dundalk1.6
Avg goals scored
Drogheda United1
Dundalk1.4
Avg goals conceded
Drogheda United2.2
Dundalk80%
BTTS rate
Drogheda United40%
Dundalk80%
Over 2.5 goals
Drogheda United40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 62% · edge +11.6 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 79%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 43%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 31%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams have demonstrated offensive potency alongside defensive fragility. Drogheda averages 1.4 goals per game with only 33.6% possession, while Dundalk averages 1.6 goals per game but concedes frequently. This balance of attacking threat and defensive vulnerability strongly supports a Both Teams to Score outcome.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 62% · edge +11.6 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Dundalk to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Dundalk Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Drogheda United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Drogheda United to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively at 13/4 (4.25 decimal), reflecting an implied chance of 23.5%. The model estimates a 73.3% chance, indicating strong value with a 49.8% edge. This pricing suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of both sides scoring, supported by recent goal trends and tactical setups.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Dundalk

LLWWW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
03 Jul 2026A Shelbourne1-2
26 Jun 2026H Waterford2-3
19 Jun 2026A Bohemians2-1
12 Jun 2026A Galway United1-0
29 May 2026H Derry City2-1

Drogheda United

LLDLD
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 6L
03 Jul 2026H Bohemians0-2
26 Jun 2026A Derry City0-2
19 Jun 2026H Shelbourne2-2
12 Jun 2026A St Patrick's Athl.0-2
29 May 2026H Waterford3-3
Best odds for this sectionDundalk to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 63% · edge +11.5 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Dundalk Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Drogheda United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Drogheda United to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Dundalk has collected 9 points recently, scoring 1.6 goals and conceding 1.4 per game, with an 80% rate of Both Teams to Score in matches. Drogheda has struggled, earning 2 points with 1 goal scored and 2.2 conceded per game, and a 40% BTTS rate. These trends reflect Dundalk's stronger offensive consistency and Drogheda's defensive frailty, reinforcing the likelihood of goals at both ends.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Dundalk wins
4Draws
2Drogheda United wins
22 May 2026Drogheda United v Dundalk1-1
20 Feb 2026Dundalk v Drogheda United1-1
01 Nov 2024Drogheda United v Dundalk0-0
19 Jul 2024Drogheda United v Dundalk2-1
12 Jul 2024Dundalk v Drogheda United4-2
06 May 2024Drogheda United v Dundalk2-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 62% · edge +11.6 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Dundalk to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Drogheda United to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
The recent head-to-head record between these teams is balanced, with the last meeting ending 1-1 and both sides scoring seven goals each across the last six encounters. This parity in scoring and results supports the expectation of goals from both teams in this fixture.
Season team stats

Premier Division

Dundalk23
Played
Drogheda United23
Dundalk1.6
Avg goals for
Drogheda United1.2
Dundalk1.5
Avg goals against
Drogheda United1.7
Dundalk5
Clean sheets
Drogheda United6
Best odds for this sectionDundalk to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 63% · edge +11.5 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
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Dundalk Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
Drogheda United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Drogheda United to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Over the season, Dundalk ranks 4th with 35 points, showing a balanced attack and defense but conceding goals regularly. Drogheda sits 8th with 22 points, exhibiting a direct attacking style but a porous defense. Both teams' season-long statistics underline their tendencies to both score and concede, aligning with the Both Teams to Score market.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4Dundalk35239863
8Drogheda United22235711-13
Dundalk's higher league position suggests better overall quality, but the narrow point gap and recent results indicate a competitive fixture. Drogheda's need for points after consecutive defeats adds urgency, while Dundalk seeks to maintain momentum. The standings highlight the fixture's importance but do not diminish the expected openness and goal-scoring chances.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Dundalk Over 2.5
40%Drogheda United Over 2.5
2.8H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.8, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend. Drogheda's recent six matches have averaged 3.5 goals, reflecting open play and defensive lapses. These trends suggest a match tempo conducive to multiple goals and support the expectation of Both Teams to Score.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Dundalk v Drogheda United prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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